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CTOS Digital Berhad, an investment holding company, (5301) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · MY · Market cap 1.5B MYR

CD CTOS Digital Berhad, an investment holding company, 5301 · KLSE
Price0.6850 MYR
Fair Value0.5300 MYR
Upside-22.6%
Quality74/100
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Healthy Growth
Highly profitable · 32.9% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
4.21% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (11/15)
Wide moat 65/100
Evidence: High Range 0.3900 MYR – 0.8300 MYR Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 16, 2026

From 25 valuation models · updated 25 days ago

Share price +0.7% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 23% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • A high-quality business (quality 74/100), yet the market already pays well above fair value. Quality at a full price, with little margin of safety.
  • A fairly wide model range (0.3900 MYR to 0.8300 MYR) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
  • For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

1.85 MYR 0.5901 MYR Fair Value 0.5300 MYR Jul 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 0.5901 MYR – 1.85 MYR · fair‑value band 0.3900 MYR – 0.8300 MYR · the 0.6850 MYR price screens above the 0.5300 MYR fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

CTOS Digital Berhad, an investment holding company, (5301) currently trades at 0.6850 MYR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 0.5300 MYR, implying the stock looks roughly 22.6% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 74/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, CTOS Digital Berhad, an investment holding company, generated revenue of 332M MYR at a net margin of 32.9%. Revenue grew 7.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 14.6%. Net debt stands at 63.8M MYR. Fundamentals as of Jul 16, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 0.3900 MYR (bear case) to 0.8300 MYR (bull case); at 0.6850 MYR, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 31% below its 52-week high and 20% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at -53% fair-value upside, at -23%, 5301 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF 1.10 MYR 2.02 MYR 3.31 MYR 80
Residual Income 0.2700 MYR 0.3300 MYR 0.6700 MYR 76
ROIC Compounder 0.2200 MYR 0.2500 MYR 0.2800 MYR 72
All 25 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 1.14 MYR 1.91 MYR 3.71 MYR 38
Owner Earnings 0.6100 MYR 1.17 MYR 2.13 MYR 31
5Y Revenue Exit 0.5600 MYR 0.8600 MYR 1.26 MYR 39
5Y EBITDA Exit 0.6200 MYR 0.9900 MYR 1.47 MYR 41
5Y P/E Exit 0.8200 MYR 1.45 MYR 2.20 MYR 38
10Y Revenue Exit 0.7500 MYR 1.12 MYR 1.67 MYR 36
10Y EBITDA Exit 0.7900 MYR 1.22 MYR 1.86 MYR 37
10Y P/E Exit 0.9200 MYR 1.54 MYR 2.48 MYR 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 0.3100 MYR 1.91 MYR 2.66 MYR 54
Lynch FV 0.5500 MYR 0.7800 MYR 1.02 MYR 50
PEG = 1.0 0.5500 MYR 0.7800 MYR 1.02 MYR 46
EPV 0.2200 MYR 0.2500 MYR 0.2700 MYR 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 0.2300 MYR 0.4100 MYR 0.5700 MYR 70
DDM Multi-Stage 0.2300 MYR 0.3800 MYR 0.4400 MYR 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple 0.6900 MYR 0.9200 MYR 1.15 MYR 63
P/S Multiple 0.2700 MYR 0.3600 MYR 0.4500 MYR 58
P/B Multiple 0.5900 MYR 0.7800 MYR 0.9800 MYR 55
EV/EBIT 0.4200 MYR 0.5600 MYR 0.6900 MYR 53
EV/EBITDA 0.3600 MYR 0.4800 MYR 0.6000 MYR 54
EV/Revenue 0.2500 MYR 0.3600 MYR 0.4600 MYR 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 0.1300 MYR 0.1800 MYR 0.2700 MYR 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 1.10 MYR 2.02 MYR 3.31 MYR 80
Economic Profit
Residual Income 0.2700 MYR 0.3300 MYR 0.6700 MYR 76
ROIC Compounder 0.2200 MYR 0.2500 MYR 0.2800 MYR 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 0.7700 MYR 1.10 MYR 1.43 MYR 68

Widest divergence: Growth DCF (2.02 MYR) versus Asset-Based (0.1800 MYR). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 332M MYR
Revenue growth (YoY) +7.3%
Net margin 32.9%
Return on equity 14.6%
Free cash flow 219M MYR FY2025
P/E ratio 15.9
More key figures
Operating margin 19.4%
EPS (TTM) 0.0400 MYR
Dividend yield 4.3%
EPS growth (YoY) +30.2%
Net debt 63.8M MYR FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 74/100

Of which business quality 72 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 39

Profitability 62
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 35
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 100
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 66
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 84
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 81
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 23
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 21
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 83
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

CTOS Digital Berhad, an investment holding company, provides a credit reporting agency and digital software related services in Malaysia, Thailand, Indonesia, and the Philippines.

Full company description

CTOS Digital Berhad, an investment holding company, provides a credit reporting agency and digital software related services in Malaysia, Thailand, Indonesia, and the Philippines. The company offers credit reporting services, such as sales reports, monitoring and trade referencing, and other services; sells digital solutions; and provides installation and maintenance services to key accounts, commercial, and direct to consumers. It also provides comprehensive commercial credit reports and bulk commercial data services. In addition, the company offers CTOS electronic Know-Your-Customer, CTOS application and decisioning, fraud bureau, and portfolio review services. Further, it provides software development, outsourcing, and training services; consulting, debt collection, and database management; business information services; and credit bureau, marketing list, market research, industry studies, and related consultation services. The company serves key account customers in banking, insurance, financial services, telecommunications, legal firms, statutory bodies, small and medium enterprises, and individual customers. The company was founded in 1990 and is headquartered in Petaling Jaya, Malaysia.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

CTOS Digital Berhad, an investment holding company, reported revenue of 326M MYR in FY2025 versus 153M MYR in FY2021, a compound +20.8%/yr. Reported net income was 105M MYR in FY2025, compounding +24.9%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 100/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
326M MYR
Latest YoY
+7.0%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+18.7%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+17.2%
Avg. growth/yr (7Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+16.7%
Revenue +20.8%/yr
FY21 153M MYR
FY22 195M MYR
FY23 261M MYR
FY24 305M MYR
FY25 326M MYR
Net income +24.9%/yr
FY21 43.1M MYR
FY22 71.7M MYR
FY23 118M MYR
FY24 106M MYR
FY25 105M MYR

5301 screens 23% overvalued. Compare with S&P Global Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "CTOS Digital Berhad, an investment holding company, Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/5301

Peer Group

Financial Data & Stock Exchanges · 54 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 73 · Above median
Fair Value upside −23% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 15% · Below median
Return on assets 5% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 33% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 19% · Below median
Revenue growth 7% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 4.2% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.11× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Financial Data & Stock Exchanges median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 16.4× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/B 0.60× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 1.10× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 1.7× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 4.4× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
PEG 1.85× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 3 · sector 0
FUTURE 37 · sector 69
PAST 58 · sector 77
HEALTH 95 · sector 94
DIVIDEND 84 · sector 32

Insider activity: 45/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Financial Data & Stock Exchanges stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 16, 2026).

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CME Group CME $245.05 $145.51 -41%
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Cboe Global Markets, Inc CBOE $273.41 $136.64 -50%
Hithink RoyalFlush Information Network Co 300033 ¥215.56 ¥55.36 -74%

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Frequently asked questions

Is CTOS Digital Berhad, an investment holding company, (5301) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 16, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 0.5300 MYR versus a price of 0.6850 MYR, about −23% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 5301?
Our model-based fair value for CTOS Digital Berhad, an investment holding company, is 0.5300 MYR (as of Jul 16, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 0.6850 MYR.
What is the quality score of 5301?
CTOS Digital Berhad, an investment holding company, has a Quality Score of 74/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of CTOS Digital Berhad, an investment holding company, (5301)?
CTOS Digital Berhad, an investment holding company, reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 332M MYR (latest available figure, as of Jul 16, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 5301?
The net profit margin of CTOS Digital Berhad, an investment holding company, is about 32.9%, meaning it keeps roughly 32.9% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does CTOS Digital Berhad, an investment holding company, pay a dividend?
CTOS Digital Berhad, an investment holding company, currently shows a dividend yield of about 4.31% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 16, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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