ABR HOLDINGS LIMITED (533) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 1, 2026: fair value of ABR HOLDINGS LIMITED S$0.37, price S$0.39, upside -5.1%, quality 64 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 0.3584 SGD – 0.4542 SGD · fair‑value band 0.2800 SGD – 0.4600 SGD · the 0.3900 SGD price screens above the 0.3700 SGD fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
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ABR Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, manufactures and sells ice creams in Singapore and Malaysia. It operates through three segments: Food and Beverage, Property Investments, and Others. The company operates ice cream parlors cum restaurants, cafeteria, cafe and snack bars, food and beverage outlets, and other specialty restaurants.
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ABR Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, manufactures and sells ice creams in Singapore and Malaysia. It operates through three segments: Food and Beverage, Property Investments, and Others. The company operates ice cream parlors cum restaurants, cafeteria, cafe and snack bars, food and beverage outlets, and other specialty restaurants. It also offers frozen dairy dessert product, such as ice cream, ice cream cake, etc., as well as puff products. In addition, the company provides catering services and manufactures foodstuffs; provision of processing, supply, warehousing, and distribution activities; manages, obtains, and exploits industrial and intellectual rights with respect to the ice cream, fast food, and restaurant business; manufactures and retails bread, cakes, food products, and confectionery; and commission agents services. It serves its customers under the Chilli Api Catering, Chilli Padi, Earle Swensen's, Swensen's, Fiz, More Batter, Rempah, Season Café, Season Confectionary and Bakery, Tip Top Curry Puff, and Yogen Fruz brands. ABR Holdings Limited was incorporated in 1978 and is based in Singapore.
Stock analysis
ABR HOLDINGS LIMITED (533) currently trades at 0.3900 SGD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 0.3700 SGD, so the stock looks roughly fairly valued today (gap 5.4%).
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of 1.14 SGD per share, and 12 of the 23 models we run sit above the 0.3900 SGD price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at 0.0900 SGD, and 11 of the 23 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 0.2800 SGD (bear) to 0.4600 SGD (bull), the price of 0.3900 SGD sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 64/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
ABR HOLDINGS LIMITED reported revenue of 143M SGD in FY2025 versus 74.6M SGD in FY2021, a compound +17.7%/yr. Reported net income was 3.4M SGD in FY2025, compounding +7.7%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 78.4M SGD (≈ $61.2M) · P/E ratio 19.5 · P/S ratio 0.46 · EPS (TTM) 0.0200 SGD · Dividend yield 3.8% · Net margin 2.3% · Return on equity 3.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) 0.2%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 9% below its 52-week high and 9% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −19% fair-value upside, at −5%, 533 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 0.2800 SGDFair Value 0.3700 SGDBull 0.4600 SGD
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (0.0038 SGD per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.82/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+5.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+12.0%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+10.7%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +3.6% a year
Revenue growth 12 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+3.2%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+9.9%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+6.1%
Dividend (yield on the price)3.8%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.9% → −1%
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−29.7%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Singapore: IMF forecast 2.0% a year to 2030, 1.7% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −31.1% a year for the price.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Restaurants · 209 stocks
Beats the industry median on 5/14 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score64 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside−5.1% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)3.3% · Below median
Return on assets−0.6% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM)2.3% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)0.6% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth3.3% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM)3.8% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.17× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Restaurants median · lower = cheaper
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Is ABR HOLDINGS LIMITED (533) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 0.3700 SGD versus a price of 0.3900 SGD, about −5% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of 533?
Our model-based fair value for ABR HOLDINGS LIMITED is 0.3700 SGD (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 0.3900 SGD.
What is the quality score of 533?
ABR HOLDINGS LIMITED has a Quality Score of 64/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for ABR HOLDINGS LIMITED (533)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 0.3700 SGD (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 23 valuation models. Cautious scenario 0.2800 SGD, optimistic scenario 0.4600 SGD. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the ABR HOLDINGS LIMITED stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 0.3700 SGD, about −5% upside versus a price of 0.3900 SGD (fairly valued). Cautious scenario 0.2800 SGD, optimistic scenario 0.4600 SGD. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of ABR HOLDINGS LIMITED (533)?
ABR HOLDINGS LIMITED reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 143M SGD (latest available figure, as of Sep 27, 2026).
Does ABR HOLDINGS LIMITED pay a dividend?
ABR HOLDINGS LIMITED currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.85% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 27, 2026).
What growth is priced into ABR HOLDINGS LIMITED (533)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, ABR HOLDINGS LIMITED would have to grow free cash flow by -29.7 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.0 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +10.7 % per year. As of Sep 27, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 533 use?
Our models discount ABR HOLDINGS LIMITED at 11.0 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), damped by beta 0.17, country premium for Singapore. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For ABR HOLDINGS LIMITED that is -29.7 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (11.0 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has ABR HOLDINGS LIMITED (533) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at ABR HOLDINGS LIMITED grew +10.7 % a year. The price currently implies -29.7 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of ABR HOLDINGS LIMITED (533) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +3.2 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into ABR HOLDINGS LIMITED (-29.7 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of ABR HOLDINGS LIMITED (533)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 26.88 %: that much free cash flow ABR HOLDINGS LIMITED produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.0 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of ABR HOLDINGS LIMITED (533)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For ABR HOLDINGS LIMITED it is 0.3700 SGD per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of 0.3900 SGD. It is the blended result of 23 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is ABR HOLDINGS LIMITED stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 27, 2026, 533 trades above its calculated fair value: price 0.3900 SGD, fair value 0.3700 SGD, a gap of about −5% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 533?
No. The price is what the market pays today (0.3900 SGD); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (0.3700 SGD). For ABR HOLDINGS LIMITED the two are 0.0200 SGD per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is ABR HOLDINGS LIMITED worth?
The market values ABR HOLDINGS LIMITED at about 78.4M SGD (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is 0.3900 SGD; our models calculate a fair value of 0.3700 SGD per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 533?
Our models span a range for ABR HOLDINGS LIMITED: cautious scenario 0.2800 SGD, base 0.3700 SGD, optimistic 0.4600 SGD per share (as of Sep 27, 2026, price 0.3900 SGD). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 533?
ABR HOLDINGS LIMITED trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 19.5 (as of Sep 27, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 0.3700 SGD is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.6, P/S 0.4, EV/EBITDA 11.6.
How solid is the balance sheet of ABR HOLDINGS LIMITED (533)?
Balance-sheet figures for ABR HOLDINGS LIMITED (as of Sep 27, 2026): return on equity 3.3%, debt of 0.17 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 64/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 533 from its 52-week high?
ABR HOLDINGS LIMITED trades at 0.3900 SGD, about 9% below its 52-week high of 0.4300 SGD and 9% above the low of 0.3584 SGD (as of Oct 1, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 0.3700 SGD is for.
Which stocks are comparable to ABR HOLDINGS LIMITED?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value McDonald's Corporation, Starbucks Corporation, Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc, Yum! Brands, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is ABR HOLDINGS LIMITED stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price 0.3900 SGD, calculated fair value 0.3700 SGD (−5%), Quality Score 64/100, from 23 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 533 calculated?
We run ABR HOLDINGS LIMITED through 23 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 0.3700 SGD, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. ABR HOLDINGS LIMITED itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of ABR HOLDINGS LIMITED (533)?
The closing price on Oct 1, 2026 was 0.3900 SGD. Our model-based fair value is 0.3700 SGD, about −5% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with ABR HOLDINGS LIMITED right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Key figures of ABR HOLDINGS LIMITED
How large is the market capitalisation of ABR HOLDINGS LIMITED (533)?
The market capitalisation of ABR HOLDINGS LIMITED is 78.4M SGD (≈ $61.2M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of ABR HOLDINGS LIMITED (533)?
The price-to-sales ratio of ABR HOLDINGS LIMITED is 0.46 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of ABR HOLDINGS LIMITED (533)?
Earnings per share at ABR HOLDINGS LIMITED are 0.0200 SGD (price ÷ EPS = P/E 19.5). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of ABR HOLDINGS LIMITED (533)?
The dividend yield of ABR HOLDINGS LIMITED is 3.8% (payout 75.0%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of ABR HOLDINGS LIMITED (533)?
The net margin of ABR HOLDINGS LIMITED is 2.3% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of ABR HOLDINGS LIMITED (533)?
The return on equity (ROE) of ABR HOLDINGS LIMITED is 3.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of ABR HOLDINGS LIMITED (533)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of ABR HOLDINGS LIMITED is 0.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of ABR HOLDINGS LIMITED (533)?
The operating margin of ABR HOLDINGS LIMITED is 0.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at ABR HOLDINGS LIMITED (533)?
Revenue at ABR HOLDINGS LIMITED is growing +3.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg +12.0%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at ABR HOLDINGS LIMITED (533)?
Earnings per share at ABR HOLDINGS LIMITED are growing −14.4% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
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