ABR HOLDINGS LIMITED (533) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · SG · Market cap 79.4M SGD
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 23 valuation models · updated 4 days ago
Share price −1.3% over the past month.
A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value.
What matters now
- The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
- Our model range runs from 0.2800 SGD (bear) to 0.4600 SGD (bull), base 0.3700 SGD. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
- Quality 64/100 (solid quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 0.3584 SGD – 0.5799 SGD · fair‑value band 0.2800 SGD – 0.4600 SGD · the 0.3900 SGD price screens above the 0.3700 SGD fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
ABR HOLDINGS LIMITED (533) currently trades at 0.3900 SGD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 0.3700 SGD, implying the stock looks roughly 5.1% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 64/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, ABR HOLDINGS LIMITED generated revenue of 143M SGD at a net margin of 2.3%. Revenue grew 3.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 3.3%. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 19.5. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 0.2800 SGD (bear case) to 0.4600 SGD (bull case); at 0.3900 SGD, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 9% below its 52-week high and 9% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -51% fair-value upside, at -5%, 533 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 23 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (1.08 SGD) versus Earnings-Based (0.0900 SGD). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 66 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 52
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
ABR Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, manufactures and sells ice creams in Singapore and Malaysia. It operates through three segments: Food and Beverage, Property Investments, and Others. The company operates ice cream parlors cum restaurants, cafeteria, cafe and snack bars, food and beverage outlets, and other specialty restaurants.
Full company description
ABR Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, manufactures and sells ice creams in Singapore and Malaysia. It operates through three segments: Food and Beverage, Property Investments, and Others. The company operates ice cream parlors cum restaurants, cafeteria, cafe and snack bars, food and beverage outlets, and other specialty restaurants. It also offers frozen dairy dessert product, such as ice cream, ice cream cake, etc., as well as puff products. In addition, the company provides catering services and manufactures foodstuffs; provision of processing, supply, warehousing, and distribution activities; manages, obtains, and exploits industrial and intellectual rights with respect to the ice cream, fast food, and restaurant business; manufactures and retails bread, cakes, food products, and confectionery; and commission agents services. It serves its customers under the Chilli Api Catering, Chilli Padi, Earle Swensen's, Swensen's, Fiz, More Batter, Rempah, Season Café, Season Confectionary and Bakery, Tip Top Curry Puff, and Yogen Fruz brands. ABR Holdings Limited was incorporated in 1978 and is based in Singapore.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
ABR HOLDINGS LIMITED reported revenue of 143M SGD in FY2025 versus 74.6M SGD in FY2021, a compound +17.7%/yr. Reported net income was 3.4M SGD in FY2025, compounding +7.7%/yr from FY2021.
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Peer Group
Restaurants · 228 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Restaurants median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Restaurants stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| McDonald's Corporation MCDS | C$24.01 | C$10.84 | -55% |
| Starbucks Corporation SBUX | $108.49 | $35.83 | -67% |
| Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc CMG | $32.00 | $17.92 | -44% |
| Yum! Brands, Inc YUM | $150.34 | $58.17 | -61% |
| Restaurant Brands International Inc QSR | C$104.50 | C$36.37 | -65% |
| Darden Restaurants, Inc DRI | $218.90 | $173.68 | -21% |
| Yum China Holdings YUMC | $47.90 | $54.27 | +13% |
| Texas Roadhouse, Inc TXRH | $214.28 | $104.89 | -51% |
| Dutch Bros Inc BROS | $51.02 | $12.80 | -75% |
| Domino's Pizza, Inc DPZ | $353.72 | $227.31 | -36% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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