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539015 Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · IN · Market cap ₹41.0M

5 539015 539015 · BSE
Price₹1.86
Fair Value₹2.15
Upside+15.3%
Quality44/100
Weak Growth
Thin margins · 0.0% net margin
Negative equity (buybacks among others) · generates free cash flow
Ranks above peers (7/8)
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Evidence: Medium Range ₹1.39 – ₹2.90 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 2, 2026

From 10 valuation models · updated today

Share price +14.1% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and the price sits 15% below our fair value.

What matters now

  • A fairly wide model range (₹1.39 to ₹2.90) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
  • Our model range runs from ₹1.39 (bear) to ₹2.90 (bull), base ₹2.15. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 44/100 (below-average quality) with medium evidence: read the verdict with care.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

₹36.95 ₹0.4300 Fair Value ₹2.15 Dec 2017 Jul 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 2, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ₹0.4300 – ₹36.95 · fair‑value band ₹1.39 – ₹2.90 · the ₹1.86 price screens below the ₹2.15 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 2, 2026.

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Analysis

539015 (539015) currently trades at ₹1.86, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹2.15, implying the stock looks roughly 15.3% undervalued today. We read business quality at 44/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.

Net debt stands at ₹293M. Fundamentals as of Aug 2, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ₹1.39 (bear case) to ₹2.90 (bull case); at ₹1.86, the current price sits within that range. The share trades about 16% below its 52-week high and 46% above its 52-week low. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 21% fair-value upside, at 15%, 539015 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
EV/EBITDA ₹2.38 54
All 1 models by family
Multiples
EV/EBITDA ₹2.38 54

Key figures & financial health

Free cash flow ₹27.1M FY2020
EPS (TTM) ₹-10.24
Net debt ₹293M FY2020

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 2, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 44/100

Of which business quality 38 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 41

Profitability 5
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 42
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 52
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 1
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 14
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 52
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 53
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 68
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2016 – FY2020 · reported fiscal years

539015 reported revenue of ₹680M in FY2020 versus ₹2.0B in FY2016, a compound −24.0%/yr. Reported net income was −₹220M in FY2020.

Growth Quality 10/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2020)
₹680M
Latest YoY
−21.2%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
−28.3%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
−18.4%
Revenue −24.0%/yr
FY16 ₹2.0B
FY17 ₹1.8B
FY18 ₹1.1B
FY19 ₹863M
FY20 ₹680M
Net income
FY16 ₹14.3M
FY17 −₹953M
FY18 −₹512M
FY19 −₹349M
FY20 −₹220M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "539015 Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/539015

Peer Group

Media & Publishing · 17 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 44 · Above median
Fair Value upside +16% · Above median
Return on assets 0% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 0% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 0% · Above median
Revenue growth 0% · Above median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 54 / 30
FUTURE 0 / 0
PAST 0 / 37
HEALTH 100 / 100
DIVIDEND 0 / 0

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Media & Publishing stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 2, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Megacable Holdings MEGACPO 62.14 MXN 72.22 MXN +16%
GTNA GTNA $7.48 $9.04 +21%
GMA7 GMA7 4.39 PHP 9.86 PHP +125%
SM Culture & Contents Co 048550 1,509 KRW 1,113 KRW -26%
ABS ABS 3.14 PHP 3.07 PHP -2%
Showbox Corp 086980 1,996 KRW 3,511 KRW +76%
DIGITAL CHOSUN Inc 033130 1,965 KRW 2,439 KRW +24%
SM Life Design Group 063440 1,136 KRW 2,085 KRW +84%
PLI PLI 6.70 PLN 1.88 PLN -72%
eMnet Inc 123570 1,667 KRW 1,497 KRW -10%

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Frequently asked questions

Is 539015 overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 2, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹2.15 versus a price of ₹1.86, about +15% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 539015?
Our model-based fair value for 539015 is ₹2.15 (as of Aug 2, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ₹1.86.
What is the quality score of 539015?
539015 has a Quality Score of 44/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the net profit margin of 539015?
The net profit margin of 539015 is about 0.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 0.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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