Creative Castings Limited (539527) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 1, 2026: fair value of Creative Castings Limited ₹778, price ₹618, upside +25.8%, quality 74 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ₹297.42 – ₹1,048 · fair‑value band ₹553.23 – ₹1,011 · the ₹618.15 price screens below the ₹777.53 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
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Creative Castings Limited manufactures and sells machined and unmachined investment castings in India. The company operates in two segments, Investment Casting and Power. The company manufactures ferrous castings comprising stainless and carbon steel; and non-ferrous castings, including cobalt and nickel base castings.
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Creative Castings Limited manufactures and sells machined and unmachined investment castings in India. The company operates in two segments, Investment Casting and Power. The company manufactures ferrous castings comprising stainless and carbon steel; and non-ferrous castings, including cobalt and nickel base castings. Its products are used in a range of applications, such as pumps and valves, oil and refinery, general and electrical engineering, and automobile, as well as fire control equipment, instrumentation, medical implant, power, agricultural machinery, defense, and other industries. The company also supplies its products in the United States, the United Kingdom, Italy, Germany, Hungary, and France. In addition, it generates electricity through windmills. Creative Castings Limited was founded in 1980 and is based in Junagadh, India.
Stock analysis
Creative Castings Limited (539527) currently trades at ₹618.15, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹777.53, implying the stock looks roughly 20.5% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of ₹1,328 per share, and 18 of the 24 models we run sit above the ₹618.15 price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at ₹330.02, and 6 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: ₹553.23 (bear) to ₹1,011 (bull), the price of ₹618.15 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 74/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Creative Castings Limited reported revenue of ₹483M in FY2026 versus ₹417M in FY2022, a compound +3.7%/yr. Reported net income was ₹43.7M in FY2026, compounding +7.4%/yr from FY2022.
Key figures
Market cap ₹804M (≈ $8.3M) · P/E ratio 14.7 · P/S ratio 1.33 · EPS (TTM) ₹23.18 · Dividend yield 2.9% · Net margin 9.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) 9.9% · Free cash flow ₹86.4M.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 52 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 7% below its 52-week high and 24% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −44% fair-value upside, at 26%, 539527 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear ₹553.23Fair Value ₹777.53Bull ₹1,011
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2026 figures (about 6 months old). Earnings retained since then (₹11.81 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.81/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+10.9%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−1.7%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+10.0%
Start year 2021 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +6.7% a year
Revenue growth 12 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.8%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in INR ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in INR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+10.6%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+7.7%
Dividend (yield on the price)2.9%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.7.7% vs 5.1%, steady
Profit margin 2021 to 2026 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.9% → 10%
Start year 2021 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−2.4%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (India: IMF forecast 4.1% a year to 2030, 4.7% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −6.3% a year for the price.
Compare Creative Castings Limited with another stock
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Steel · 405 stocks
Beats the industry median on 6/9 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score74 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside+25.8% · Above median
Profitability
Return on assets0.0% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM)9.1% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM)0.0% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth0.0% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM)2.9% · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Steel median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Is Creative Castings Limited (539527) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹777.53 versus a price of ₹618.15, about +26% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 539527?
Our model-based fair value for Creative Castings Limited is ₹777.53 (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ₹618.15.
What is the quality score of 539527?
Creative Castings Limited has a Quality Score of 74/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Creative Castings Limited (539527)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ₹777.53 (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario ₹553.23, optimistic scenario ₹1,011. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Creative Castings Limited stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ₹777.53, about +26% upside versus a price of ₹618.15 (undervalued). Cautious scenario ₹553.23, optimistic scenario ₹1,011. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
Does Creative Castings Limited pay a dividend?
Creative Castings Limited currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.93% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 27, 2026).
What growth is priced into Creative Castings Limited (539527)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Creative Castings Limited would have to grow free cash flow by -2.4 % per year for five years (discount rate 12.4 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +10.0 % per year. As of Sep 27, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 539527 use?
Our models discount Creative Castings Limited at 12.4 %: a base by market capitalisation (nano), country premium for India. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Creative Castings Limited that is -2.4 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (12.4 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Creative Castings Limited (539527) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Creative Castings Limited grew +10.0 % a year. The price currently implies -2.4 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Creative Castings Limited (539527) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +8.1 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Creative Castings Limited (-2.4 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Creative Castings Limited (539527)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 10.75 %: that much free cash flow Creative Castings Limited produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (12.4 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Creative Castings Limited (539527)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Creative Castings Limited it is ₹777.53 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of ₹618.15. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Creative Castings Limited stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 27, 2026, 539527 trades below its calculated fair value: price ₹618.15, fair value ₹777.53, a gap of about +26% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 539527?
No. The price is what the market pays today (₹618.15); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (₹777.53). For Creative Castings Limited the two are ₹159.38 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Creative Castings Limited worth?
The market values Creative Castings Limited at about ₹804M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is ₹618.15; our models calculate a fair value of ₹777.53 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 539527?
Our models span a range for Creative Castings Limited: cautious scenario ₹553.23, base ₹777.53, optimistic ₹1,011 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026, price ₹618.15). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 539527?
Creative Castings Limited trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 14.7 (as of Sep 27, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ₹777.53 is built from several models across several years.
How far is 539527 from its 52-week high?
Creative Castings Limited trades at ₹618.15, about 7% below its 52-week high of ₹667.35 and 24% above the low of ₹500.00 (as of Oct 1, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ₹777.53 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Creative Castings Limited?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Nucor Corporation, ArcelorMittal S.A, Steel Dynamics, Inc, JSW Steel Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Creative Castings Limited stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price ₹618.15, calculated fair value ₹777.53 (+26%), Quality Score 74/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 539527 calculated?
We run Creative Castings Limited through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ₹777.53, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Creative Castings Limited currently trades 20 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Creative Castings Limited (539527)?
The closing price on Oct 1, 2026 was ₹618.15. Our model-based fair value is ₹777.53, about +26% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Creative Castings Limited right now?
The rarer combination: high quality (74/100) AND below fair value. That earns a closer look rather than a quick verdict. A fairly wide model range (₹553.23 to ₹1,011) leaves room in how you read the outcome. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Key figures of Creative Castings Limited
How large is the market capitalisation of Creative Castings Limited (539527)?
The market capitalisation of Creative Castings Limited is ₹804M (≈ $8.3M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Creative Castings Limited (539527)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Creative Castings Limited is 1.33 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Creative Castings Limited (539527)?
Earnings per share at Creative Castings Limited are ₹23.18 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 14.7). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Creative Castings Limited (539527)?
The dividend yield of Creative Castings Limited is 2.9% (payout 78.1%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Creative Castings Limited (539527)?
The net margin of Creative Castings Limited is 9.1% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Creative Castings Limited (539527)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Creative Castings Limited is 9.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
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