TUNG LOK RESTAURANTS(2000) LTD (540) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · SG · Market cap 14.8M SGD
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 11 valuation models · updated 4 days ago
Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from 0.0584 SGD to 0.0583 SGD (−0.1%) since Aug 8, 2026. Share price +46.3% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 26% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (0.0654 SGD). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (62/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 0.0540 SGD – 0.1679 SGD · fair‑value band 0.0512 SGD – 0.0654 SGD · the 0.0790 SGD price screens above the 0.0583 SGD fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
TUNG LOK RESTAURANTS(2000) LTD (540) currently trades at 0.0790 SGD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 0.0583 SGD, implying the stock looks roughly 26.2% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 62/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, TUNG LOK RESTAURANTS(2000) LTD generated revenue of 79.6M SGD at a net margin of -2.1%. Revenue declined 2.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -15.5%. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 0.0512 SGD (bear case) to 0.0654 SGD (bull case); at 0.0790 SGD, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 23% below its 52-week high and 84% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -51% fair-value upside, at -26%, 540 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 11 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (0.3800 SGD) versus Asset-Based (0.0300 SGD). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 63 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 48
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Tung Lok Restaurants (2000) Ltd, together with its subsidiaries, owns, operates, and manages restaurants in Singapore, Indonesia, Japan, Vietnam, and the Philippines. It operates in four segments: Restaurant, Catering, Manufacturing, and Others.
Full company description
Tung Lok Restaurants (2000) Ltd, together with its subsidiaries, owns, operates, and manages restaurants in Singapore, Indonesia, Japan, Vietnam, and the Philippines. It operates in four segments: Restaurant, Catering, Manufacturing, and Others. The company also manufactures fresh dim sum, rice dumplings, mooncakes, and Chinese New Year pastries and festive food under the HOME FIESTA brand. In addition, it engages in central kitchen support function business, as well as sells original equipment manufacturer products. Further, the company provides franchising and management consultancy services. It exports its products. Tung Lok Restaurants (2000) Ltd was founded in 1980 and is based in Singapore.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years
TUNG LOK RESTAURANTS(2000) LTD reported revenue of 79.6M SGD in FY2026 versus 52.2M SGD in FY2022, a compound +11.1%/yr. Reported net income was −1.7M SGD in FY2026.
540 screens 26% overvalued. Compare with McDonald's Corporation →
Peer Group
Restaurants · 228 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Restaurants median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Restaurants stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| McDonald's Corporation MCDS | C$24.01 | C$10.84 | -55% |
| Starbucks Corporation SBUX | $108.49 | $35.83 | -67% |
| Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc CMG | $32.00 | $17.92 | -44% |
| Yum! Brands, Inc YUM | $150.34 | $58.17 | -61% |
| Restaurant Brands International Inc QSR | C$104.50 | C$36.37 | -65% |
| Darden Restaurants, Inc DRI | $218.90 | $173.68 | -21% |
| Yum China Holdings YUMC | $47.90 | $54.27 | +13% |
| Texas Roadhouse, Inc TXRH | $214.28 | $104.89 | -51% |
| Dutch Bros Inc BROS | $51.02 | $12.80 | -75% |
| Domino's Pizza, Inc DPZ | $353.72 | $227.31 | -36% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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