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Tropicana Corporation (5401) Fair Value & Analysis

Real Estate · MY · Market cap 3.0B MYR

TC Tropicana Corporation 5401 · KLSE
Price1.20 MYR
Fair Value0.2600 MYR
Upside-78.3%
Quality47/100
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Expensive Growth
Loss-making · -6.9% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
Trails peers (4/11)
Narrow moat 22/100
Evidence: Medium Range 0.1300 MYR – 0.2600 MYR Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 12, 2026

From 6 valuation models · updated 29 days ago

Share price −0.8% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 78% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (0.2600 MYR). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (47/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • A fairly wide model range (0.1300 MYR to 0.2600 MYR) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
  • As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

1.76 MYR 0.8400 MYR Fair Value 0.2600 MYR Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 0.8400 MYR – 1.76 MYR · fair‑value band 0.1300 MYR – 0.2600 MYR · the 1.20 MYR price screens above the 0.2600 MYR fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.

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Analysis

Tropicana Corporation (5401) currently trades at 1.20 MYR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 0.2600 MYR, implying the stock looks roughly 78.3% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 47/100 (below-average quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, Tropicana Corporation generated revenue of 1.6B MYR at a net margin of -6.9%. Revenue grew 20.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -2.3%. Net debt stands at 2.6B MYR. Fundamentals as of Jul 12, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 0.1300 MYR (bear case) to 0.2600 MYR (bull case); at 1.20 MYR, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 9% below its 52-week high and 18% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at 32% fair-value upside, at -78%, 5401 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Gordon GGM 0.1300 MYR 0.2600 MYR 0.4000 MYR 70
DDM Multi-Stage 0.1300 MYR 0.2100 MYR 0.2800 MYR 61
EV/EBITDA 0.3200 MYR 0.5700 MYR 0.8200 MYR 54
All 6 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 0.1300 MYR 0.2600 MYR 0.4000 MYR 70
DDM Multi-Stage 0.1300 MYR 0.2100 MYR 0.2800 MYR 61
Multiples
EV/EBIT 0.3500 MYR 0.6100 MYR 0.8700 MYR 53
EV/EBITDA 0.3200 MYR 0.5700 MYR 0.8200 MYR 54
EV/Revenue 0.1800 MYR 0.3700 MYR 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 0.8200 MYR 1.10 MYR 1.64 MYR 50

Widest divergence: Asset-Based (1.10 MYR) versus Dividend Discount (0.2100 MYR). Highest evidence: Gordon GGM (70).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 1.6B MYR
Revenue growth (YoY) +20.5%
Net margin -6.9%
Return on equity -2.3%
Free cash flow −521M MYR FY2025
Operating margin 8.0%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) -0.0600 MYR
EPS growth (YoY) -97.1%
Net debt 2.6B MYR FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 12, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 47/100

Of which business quality 45 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 60

Profitability 7
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 48
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 33
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 34
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 86
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 47
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 52
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 85
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Tropicana Corporation Berhad engages in the property development businesses in Malaysia. It operates through three segments: Property Development and Property Management; Property Investment, Recreation and Resort; and Investment Holding and Others.

Full company description

Tropicana Corporation Berhad engages in the property development businesses in Malaysia. It operates through three segments: Property Development and Property Management; Property Investment, Recreation and Resort; and Investment Holding and Others. The company develops residential and commercial properties; operates and manages hotels, resorts, golf courses, and club houses; invests in commercial and other properties; provides landscape services; and manages and operates private schools, and other operations. It provides property management and maintenance services; general trading; money lending and credit financing; management and education services; provision of network application and non-scheduled air passenger transport services; business information, enterprise management consultation, marketing, and exhibition services; and consultancy services on conferences and exhibitions. In addition, it is involved in the management of car parking facilities; installation of non-electric solar energy collectors; trading of building materials; agriculture, fishery; construction; and water treatment and supply businesses. Further, the company distributes and sells electricity; organic farming and vegetables; develops real estate; operates and manages department store and mall; sells land. It provides treasury, fund, cash, investment, financing and debt, financial risk management, and other related services; engages in timber and logging, food and beverage, and event organization businesses; and manufactures, distributes, wholesales, and trades in gloves, face masks, and other healthcare products. The company was formerly known as Dijaya Corporation Berhad and changed its name to Tropicana Corporation Berhad in May 2013. The company was incorporated in 1979 and is headquartered in Petaling Jaya, Malaysia.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Tropicana Corporation reported revenue of 1.5B MYR in FY2025 versus 876M MYR in FY2021, a compound +15.1%/yr. Reported net income was −83.3M MYR in FY2025.

Growth Quality 29/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
1.5B MYR
Latest YoY
+9.9%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+17.7%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+7.7%
Avg. growth/yr (13Y)
+7.1%
Revenue +15.1%/yr
FY21 876M MYR
FY22 943M MYR
FY23 1.5B MYR
FY24 1.4B MYR
FY25 1.5B MYR
Net income
FY21 −29.5M MYR
FY22 −393M MYR
FY23 −130M MYR
FY24 −152M MYR
FY25 −83.3M MYR

5401 screens 78% overvalued. Compare with DLF Limited →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Tropicana Corporation Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/5401

Peer Group

Real Estate - Development · 588 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 48 · Above median
Fair Value upside −78% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets 1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) -7% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 8% · Below median
Revenue growth 21% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.43× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Real Estate - Development median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.19× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.47× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 15.6× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 48
FUTURE 100 · sector 0
PAST 0 · sector 10
HEALTH 79 · sector 84
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 38

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Real Estate - Development stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 12, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
DLF Limited DLF ₹657.75 ₹159.49 -76%
Lodha Developers Limited LODHA ₹1,188 ₹583.43 -51%
PT Pantai Indah Kapuk Dua Tbk, PANI 6,125 IDR 1,330 IDR -78%
Oberoi Realty Limited OBEROIRLTY ₹1,925 ₹1,183 -39%
Godrej Properties Limited GODREJPROP ₹2,102 ₹1,044 -50%
PT Jaya Real Property, Tbk., JRPT 1,080 IDR 1,674 IDR +55%
PT Bumi Serpong Damai Tbk, BSDE 555.00 IDR 1,388 IDR +150%
PT Sentul City Tbk, BKSL 64.00 IDR 84.16 IDR +32%
PT Ciputra Development Tbk, CTRA 555.00 IDR 1,388 IDR +150%
PT Duta Pertiwi Tbk DUTI 4,100 IDR 6,239 IDR +52%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Tropicana Corporation (5401) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 12, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 0.2600 MYR versus a price of 1.20 MYR, about −78% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 5401?
Our model-based fair value for Tropicana Corporation is 0.2600 MYR (as of Jul 12, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 1.20 MYR.
What is the quality score of 5401?
Tropicana Corporation has a Quality Score of 47/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Tropicana Corporation (5401)?
Tropicana Corporation reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.6B MYR (latest available figure, as of Jul 12, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 5401?
The net profit margin of Tropicana Corporation is about -6.9%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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