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Tropicana Corporation Bhd (5401) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Tropicana Corporation Bhd MYR 0.21, price MYR 1.16, upside -81.9%, quality 47 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
  3. Add to watchlist

Real Estate · MY · ISIN MYL5401OO004

TC Thin data Sep 23, 2026

Tropicana Corporation Bhd

5401 · KLSE

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

!Fair value 0.2100 MYR · Strongly overvalued (−82%)
!Quality 47/100
!Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +7.7 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -6.9% net margin (TTM)
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
!Trails peers (4/12)
!Narrow moat 22/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on dividend: 24 out of 100
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

1.76 MYR 0.8650 MYR Fair Value 0.2100 MYR May 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 0.8650 MYR – 1.76 MYR · fair‑value band 0.1200 MYR – 0.2100 MYR · the 1.16 MYR price screens above the 0.2100 MYR fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

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Company profile

Tropicana Corporation Berhad engages in the property development businesses in Malaysia. It operates through three segments: Property Development and Property Management; Property Investment, Recreation and Resort; and Investment Holding and Others.

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Tropicana Corporation Berhad engages in the property development businesses in Malaysia. It operates through three segments: Property Development and Property Management; Property Investment, Recreation and Resort; and Investment Holding and Others. The company develops residential and commercial properties; operates and manages hotels, resorts, golf courses, and club houses; invests in commercial and other properties; provides landscape services; and manages and operates private schools, and other operations. It provides property management and maintenance services; general trading; money lending and credit financing; management and education services; provision of network application and non-scheduled air passenger transport services; business information, enterprise management consultation, marketing, and exhibition services; and consultancy services on conferences and exhibitions. In addition, it is involved in the management of car parking facilities; installation of non-electric solar energy collectors; trading of building materials; agriculture, fishery; construction; and water treatment and supply businesses. Further, the company distributes and sells electricity; organic farming and vegetables; develops real estate; operates and manages department store and mall; sells land. It provides treasury, fund, cash, investment, financing and debt, financial risk management, and other related services; engages in timber and logging, food and beverage, and event organization businesses; and manufactures, distributes, wholesales, and trades in gloves, face masks, and other healthcare products. The company was formerly known as Dijaya Corporation Berhad and changed its name to Tropicana Corporation Berhad in May 2013. The company was incorporated in 1979 and is headquartered in Petaling Jaya, Malaysia.

Stock analysis

Tropicana Corporation Bhd (5401) currently trades at 1.16 MYR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 0.2100 MYR, implying the stock looks roughly 452.5% overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of 1.10 MYR per share, and 0 of the 6 models we run sit above the 1.16 MYR price.

Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at 0.2100 MYR, and 6 of the 6 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: 0.1200 MYR (bear) to 0.2100 MYR (bull), the price of 1.16 MYR sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 47/100 (below-average quality), in the Real Estate sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Tropicana Corporation Bhd reported revenue of 1.5B MYR in FY2025 versus 876M MYR in FY2021, a compound +15.1%/yr. Reported net income was −83.3M MYR in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap 2.8B MYR (≈ $694M) · P/S ratio 1.63 · EPS (TTM) −0.0600 MYR · Dividend yield 1.2% · Net margin −5.4% · Return on equity −2.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) 0.2% · Operating margin 8.0%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 11% below its 52-week high and 12% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at −3% fair-value upside, at −82%, 5401 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear 0.1200 MYR Fair Value 0.2100 MYR Bull 0.2100 MYR
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Gordon GGM 0.1300 MYR 0.2600 MYR 0.4000 MYR 66
DDM Multi-Stage 0.1300 MYR 0.2100 MYR 0.2800 MYR 66
EV/EBITDA 0.3200 MYR 0.5700 MYR 0.8200 MYR 65
All 6 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 0.1300 MYR 0.2600 MYR 0.4000 MYR 66
DDM Multi-Stage 0.1300 MYR 0.2100 MYR 0.2800 MYR 66
Multiples
EV/EBIT 0.3500 MYR 0.6100 MYR 0.8700 MYR 64
EV/EBITDA 0.3200 MYR 0.5700 MYR 0.8200 MYR 65
EV/Revenue n/a 0.1800 MYR 0.3700 MYR 50
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 0.8200 MYR 1.10 MYR 1.64 MYR 54

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 47/100

Of which business quality 45 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 52

Profitability 7
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 48
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 33
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 34
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 85
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 37
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 39
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 85
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 29/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+9.9%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+17.7%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+7.7%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +2.1% a year
Revenue growth 13 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+7.1%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
35.8% (2020) → 7.4% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

5401 screens 452% overvalued. Compare with Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Real Estate - Development · 579 stocks

Beats the industry median on 4/11 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 48 · Above median
Fair Value upside −83% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets 1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) −7% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 8% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 21% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.2% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.43× · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Real Estate - Development median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.18× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (TTM) 0.46× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 15.4× · Pricier than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 53
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 0
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 11
HEALTH (low debt)79 · sector 83
DIVIDEND (yield)24 · sector 56

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Real Estate - Development stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited 0016 HK$109.70 HK$153.48 +40%
CK Asset Holdings 1113 HK$46.44 HK$71.69 +54%
Hongkong Land Holdings H78 $8.74 $1.52 −83%
DLF Limited DLF ₹669.50 ₹170.37 −75%
China Overseas Land & Investment Limited 0688 HK$12.43 HK$22.35 +80%
Lodha Developers Limited LODHA ₹1,144 ₹285.04 −75%
PT Pantai Indah Kapuk Dua Tbk, PANI 4,980 IDR 1,325 IDR −73%
Poly Developments and Holdings 600048 ¥5.68 ¥14.20 +150%
CTP N.V CTPNV €13.58 €10.30 −24%
China Merchants Shekou Industrial Zone Holdings 001979 ¥7.27 ¥7.06 −3%

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Tropicana Corporation Bhd · Fair Value
0.2100 MYR −452%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Tropicana Corporation Bhd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/5401

Frequently asked questions

Is Tropicana Corporation Bhd (5401) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 0.2100 MYR versus a price of 1.16 MYR, about −82% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 5401?
Our model-based fair value for Tropicana Corporation Bhd is 0.2100 MYR (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 1.16 MYR.
What is the quality score of 5401?
Tropicana Corporation Bhd has a Quality Score of 47/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Tropicana Corporation Bhd (5401)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 0.2100 MYR (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 6 valuation models. Cautious scenario 0.1200 MYR, optimistic scenario 0.2100 MYR. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Tropicana Corporation Bhd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 0.2100 MYR, about −82% upside versus a price of 1.16 MYR (overvalued). Cautious scenario 0.1200 MYR, optimistic scenario 0.2100 MYR. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Tropicana Corporation Bhd (5401)?
Tropicana Corporation Bhd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.6B MYR (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
Does Tropicana Corporation Bhd pay a dividend?
Tropicana Corporation Bhd currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.20% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 23, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Tropicana Corporation Bhd (5401)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Tropicana Corporation Bhd it is 0.2100 MYR per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of 1.16 MYR. It is the blended result of 6 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Tropicana Corporation Bhd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, 5401 trades above its calculated fair value: price 1.16 MYR, fair value 0.2100 MYR, a gap of about −82% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 5401?
No. The price is what the market pays today (1.16 MYR); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (0.2100 MYR). For Tropicana Corporation Bhd the two are 0.9500 MYR per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Tropicana Corporation Bhd worth?
The market values Tropicana Corporation Bhd at about 2.8B MYR (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is 1.16 MYR; our models calculate a fair value of 0.2100 MYR per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 5401?
Our models span a range for Tropicana Corporation Bhd: cautious scenario 0.1200 MYR, base 0.2100 MYR, optimistic 0.2100 MYR per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price 1.16 MYR). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Tropicana Corporation Bhd (5401)?
Balance-sheet figures for Tropicana Corporation Bhd (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity −2.3%, debt of 0.43 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 47/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 5401 from its 52-week high?
Tropicana Corporation Bhd trades at 1.16 MYR, about 11% below its 52-week high of 1.30 MYR and 12% above the low of 1.04 MYR (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 0.2100 MYR is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Tropicana Corporation Bhd?
From the same area (Real Estate) we also value Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited, CK Asset Holdings, Hongkong Land Holdings, DLF Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Tropicana Corporation Bhd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price 1.16 MYR, calculated fair value 0.2100 MYR (−82%), Quality Score 47/100, from 6 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 5401 calculated?
We run Tropicana Corporation Bhd through 6 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 0.2100 MYR, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Tropicana Corporation Bhd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Tropicana Corporation Bhd (5401)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was 1.16 MYR. Our model-based fair value is 0.2100 MYR, about −82% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Tropicana Corporation Bhd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (0.2100 MYR). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (47/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.

Key figures of Tropicana Corporation Bhd

How large is the market capitalisation of Tropicana Corporation Bhd (5401)?
The market capitalisation of Tropicana Corporation Bhd is 2.8B MYR (≈ $694M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Tropicana Corporation Bhd (5401)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Tropicana Corporation Bhd is 1.63 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Tropicana Corporation Bhd (5401)?
Earnings per share at Tropicana Corporation Bhd are −0.0600 MYR. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Tropicana Corporation Bhd (5401)?
The dividend yield of Tropicana Corporation Bhd is 1.2%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Tropicana Corporation Bhd (5401)?
The net margin of Tropicana Corporation Bhd is −5.4% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Tropicana Corporation Bhd (5401)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Tropicana Corporation Bhd is −2.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Tropicana Corporation Bhd (5401)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Tropicana Corporation Bhd is 0.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Tropicana Corporation Bhd (5401)?
The operating margin of Tropicana Corporation Bhd is 8.0% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Tropicana Corporation Bhd (5401)?
Revenue at Tropicana Corporation Bhd is growing +20.5% versus a year earlier (3y avg +17.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Tropicana Corporation Bhd (5401)?
Earnings per share at Tropicana Corporation Bhd are growing −97.1% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Tropicana Corporation Bhd (5401) generate?
The free cash flow of Tropicana Corporation Bhd is −521M MYR (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Tropicana Corporation Bhd (5401) carry?
The net debt of Tropicana Corporation Bhd is 2.6B MYR (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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