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UMS Holdings Limited (558) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 1, 2026: fair value of UMS Holdings Limited S$0.69, price S$2.75, upside -75.0%, quality 48 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
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Technology · SG · ISIN SG1J94892465

UH Some data Oct 2, 2026

UMS Holdings Limited

558 · SG

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

!Fair value 0.6885 SGD · Strongly overvalued (−75.0%)
!Quality 48/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y +8.8 %/yr)
✓Solidly profitable · 19.4% net margin (TTM)
✓Low debt · generates free cash flow
!2.0% dividend yield · Watch coverage
✓Ranks above peers (10/14)
✓Wide moat 68/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

152.60 SGD 0.5951 SGD Fair Value 0.6885 SGD Jul 2021 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 2, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 0.5951 SGD – 152.60 SGD · fair‑value band 0.3655 SGD – 1.10 SGD · the 2.75 SGD price screens above the 0.6885 SGD fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 2, 2026.

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Company profile

UMS Integration Limited, an investment holding company, provides equipment manufacturing and engineering services to original equipment manufacturers of semiconductors and related products in Singapore, Malaysia, Taiwan, the United States, South Korea, the People's Republic of China, and internationally.

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UMS Integration Limited, an investment holding company, provides equipment manufacturing and engineering services to original equipment manufacturers of semiconductors and related products in Singapore, Malaysia, Taiwan, the United States, South Korea, the People's Republic of China, and internationally. It operates in three segments: Semiconductor, Aerospace, and Others. The Semiconductor segment offers precision machining components and equipment modules for semiconductor equipment manufacturers. Its Aerospace segment provides precision machining services for aerospace, electronics, and automotive industry. The Others segment is involved in the shipment of water disinfection systems, trading of non-ferrous metal alloys, and machine sales and customized cutting tools. The company also engages in the manufacture of precision machining of medical, water fabrication equipment parts, and machine parts for oilfield precision components; manufacture and assembly of stainless steel gaslines and weldment; manufacture and repair of waste water treatment equipment; supply of environmentally-friendly electrolyte water disinfection systems and other related products; precision engineering works for parts used in the aerospace, oil, and gas industries; general engineering and machinery works; plastic fabrication; and steel structure fabrication and high precision machining for aerospace, semiconductor, and oil and gas industries. In addition, it provides electroplating, anodizing, and precision engineering services. The company was formerly known as UMS Holdings Limited and changed its name to UMS Integration Limited in September 2024. UMS Holdings Limited was founded in 1996 and is headquartered in Singapore. UMS Integration Limited operates as a subsidiary of Catcher Technology Co., Ltd.

Stock analysis

UMS Holdings Limited (558) currently trades at 2.75 SGD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 0.6885 SGD, 75.0% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of 1.12 SGD per share, and 0 of the 25 models we run sit above the 2.75 SGD price.

Bear case: the Growth DCF group reads lowest at 0.0700 SGD, and 25 of the 25 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.

Scenario range: 0.3655 SGD (bear) to 1.10 SGD (bull), the price of 2.75 SGD sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 48/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.

UMS Holdings Limited reported revenue of 250M SGD in FY2025 versus 271M SGD in FY2021, a compound −1.9%/yr. Reported net income was 41.6M SGD in FY2025, compounding −5.9%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap 2.4B SGD (≈ $1.9B) · P/E ratio 45.8 · P/S ratio 7.61 · EPS (TTM) 0.0600 SGD · Dividend yield 2.0% · Net margin 16.6% · Return on equity 12.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) 14.3%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 7% below its 52-week high and 165% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −28% fair-value upside, at −75%, 558 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear 0.3655 SGD Fair Value 0.6885 SGD Bull 1.10 SGD
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (0.0045 SGD per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF 0.0700 SGD 0.0800 SGD 0.0900 SGD 80
Growth DCF 0.0700 SGD 0.0700 SGD 0.0900 SGD 78
Owner Earnings 0.3900 SGD 0.5700 SGD 0.8200 SGD 74
All 25 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 0.0700 SGD 0.0800 SGD 0.0900 SGD 80
Owner Earnings 0.3900 SGD 0.5700 SGD 0.8200 SGD 74
5Y Revenue Exit 0.3600 SGD 0.6300 SGD 0.9700 SGD 69
5Y EBITDA Exit 0.7000 SGD 1.25 SGD 1.90 SGD 71
5Y P/E Exit 0.6100 SGD 1.09 SGD 1.59 SGD 68
10Y Revenue Exit 0.2400 SGD 0.4500 SGD 0.7400 SGD 63
10Y EBITDA Exit 0.4600 SGD 0.8700 SGD 1.43 SGD 64
10Y P/E Exit 0.4000 SGD 0.7600 SGD 1.20 SGD 60
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 0.3200 SGD 0.9600 SGD 1.27 SGD 63
Lynch FV 0.2000 SGD 0.2900 SGD 0.3800 SGD 59
PEG = 1.0 0.2000 SGD 0.2900 SGD 0.3800 SGD 55
EPV 0.5100 SGD 0.5800 SGD 0.6400 SGD 74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 0.3500 SGD 0.7000 SGD 1.06 SGD 64
DDM Multi-Stage 0.3500 SGD 0.5600 SGD 0.7400 SGD 64
Multiples
P/E Multiple 0.9800 SGD 1.31 SGD 1.64 SGD 63
P/S Multiple 0.6000 SGD 0.8000 SGD 1.00 SGD 58
P/B Multiple 0.6000 SGD 0.8000 SGD 1.00 SGD 55
EV/EBIT 1.06 SGD 1.40 SGD 1.73 SGD 66
EV/EBITDA 1.19 SGD 1.57 SGD 1.95 SGD 67
EV/Revenue 0.5600 SGD 0.7800 SGD 1.00 SGD 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 0.2400 SGD 0.3200 SGD 0.4800 SGD 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 0.0700 SGD 0.0700 SGD 0.0900 SGD 78
Economic Profit
Residual Income 0.4200 SGD 0.4600 SGD 0.5400 SGD 74
ROIC Compounder 0.5100 SGD 0.6300 SGD 0.7600 SGD 70
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 0.7800 SGD 1.12 SGD 1.46 SGD 65

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 48/100

Of which business quality 47 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 76

Profitability 49
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 57
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 27
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 85
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 58
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 44
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 86
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 95
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 40/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
+3.7%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−12.3%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+8.8%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +8.5% a year
Revenue growth 21 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.1%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−1.0%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−3.0%
Dividend (yield on the price)2.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−3.0% vs 2.3%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.29% → 20%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)

558 screens overvalued: fair value 75% below the price. Compare with ASML Holding →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Semiconductor Equipment & Materials · 216 stocks

Beats the industry median on 9/13 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 48 · Below median
Fair Value upside −75.0% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 12.5% · Above median
Return on assets 7.1% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 19.4% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 25.8% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 29.4% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.0% · Top 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Semiconductor Equipment & Materials median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 45.8× · Cheaper than median
P/B 5.69× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 8.64× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 27.7× · Cheaper than median
PEG 0.74× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 96
PAST (return on equity)50 · sector 36
HEALTH (low debt)100 · sector 96
DIVIDEND (yield)39 · sector 15

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Semiconductor Equipment & Materials stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

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ASML Holding ASML €1,597 €1,350 −15%
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Applied Materials, Inc AMAT $511.38 $368.52 −28%
KLA Corporation KLAC $187.92 $160.12 −15%
Teradyne, Inc TER $398.38 $65.79 −83%
Advanced Micro-Fabrication Equipment Inc 688012 ¥339.30 ¥110.10 −68%
Hon. Precision, Inc 7769 5,670 TWD 4,864 TWD −14%
Piotech Inc 688072 ¥700.90 ¥320.60 −54%
Qnity Electronics, Inc Q $124.69 $70.44 −44%
Entegris, Inc ENTG $151.89 $92.64 −39%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "UMS Holdings Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/558

Frequently asked questions

Is UMS Holdings Limited (558) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 2, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 0.6885 SGD versus a price of 2.75 SGD, about −75% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 558?
Our model-based fair value for UMS Holdings Limited is 0.6885 SGD (as of Oct 2, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 2.75 SGD.
What is the quality score of 558?
UMS Holdings Limited has a Quality Score of 48/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for UMS Holdings Limited (558)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 0.6885 SGD (as of Oct 2, 2026) from 25 valuation models. Cautious scenario 0.3655 SGD, optimistic scenario 1.10 SGD. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the UMS Holdings Limited stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 0.6885 SGD, about −75% upside versus a price of 2.75 SGD (overvalued). Cautious scenario 0.3655 SGD, optimistic scenario 1.10 SGD. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of UMS Holdings Limited (558)?
UMS Holdings Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 283M SGD (latest available figure, as of Oct 2, 2026).
Does UMS Holdings Limited pay a dividend?
UMS Holdings Limited currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.96% relative to its recent price (as of Oct 2, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of UMS Holdings Limited (558)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For UMS Holdings Limited it is 0.6885 SGD per share (as of Oct 2, 2026), against a price of 2.75 SGD. It is the blended result of 25 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is UMS Holdings Limited stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 2, 2026, 558 trades above its calculated fair value: price 2.75 SGD, fair value 0.6885 SGD, a gap of about −75% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 558?
No. The price is what the market pays today (2.75 SGD); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (0.6885 SGD). For UMS Holdings Limited the two are 2.06 SGD per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is UMS Holdings Limited worth?
The market values UMS Holdings Limited at about 2.4B SGD (market capitalisation, as of Oct 2, 2026). Per share that is 2.75 SGD; our models calculate a fair value of 0.6885 SGD per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 558?
Our models span a range for UMS Holdings Limited: cautious scenario 0.3655 SGD, base 0.6885 SGD, optimistic 1.10 SGD per share (as of Oct 2, 2026, price 2.75 SGD). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 558?
UMS Holdings Limited trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 45.8 (as of Oct 2, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 0.6885 SGD is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 0.7, P/B 5.7, P/S 8.6, EV/EBITDA 27.7.
What is the PEG ratio of 558?
The PEG ratio of UMS Holdings Limited is 0.74 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Oct 2, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.
How solid is the balance sheet of UMS Holdings Limited (558)?
Balance-sheet figures for UMS Holdings Limited (as of Oct 2, 2026): return on equity 12.5%. They feed the Quality Score of 48/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 558 from its 52-week high?
UMS Holdings Limited trades at 2.75 SGD, about 7% below its 52-week high of 2.95 SGD and 165% above the low of 1.04 SGD (as of Oct 1, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 0.6885 SGD is for.
Which stocks are comparable to UMS Holdings Limited?
From the same area (Technology) we also value ASML Holding, Lam Research Corporation, Applied Materials, Inc, KLA Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is UMS Holdings Limited stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 2, 2026: price 2.75 SGD, calculated fair value 0.6885 SGD (−75%), Quality Score 48/100, from 25 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 558 calculated?
We run UMS Holdings Limited through 25 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 0.6885 SGD, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. UMS Holdings Limited itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of UMS Holdings Limited (558)?
The closing price on Oct 1, 2026 was 2.75 SGD. Our model-based fair value is 0.6885 SGD, about −75% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with UMS Holdings Limited right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (1.10 SGD). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The model range is unusually wide (0.3655 SGD to 1.10 SGD). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (48/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Where does the earnings growth of UMS Holdings Limited (558) come from?
Earnings per share at UMS Holdings Limited grew +11.0 % a year from 2011 to 2022. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +9.9 %, EBIT margin +2.7 %, tax rate −0.1 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −1.4 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.

Key figures of UMS Holdings Limited

How large is the market capitalisation of UMS Holdings Limited (558)?
The market capitalisation of UMS Holdings Limited is 2.4B SGD (≈ $1.9B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of UMS Holdings Limited (558)?
The price-to-sales ratio of UMS Holdings Limited is 7.61 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of UMS Holdings Limited (558)?
Earnings per share at UMS Holdings Limited are 0.0600 SGD (price ÷ EPS = P/E 45.8). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of UMS Holdings Limited (558)?
The dividend yield of UMS Holdings Limited is 2.0% (payout 90.0%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of UMS Holdings Limited (558)?
The net margin of UMS Holdings Limited is 16.6% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of UMS Holdings Limited (558)?
The return on equity (ROE) of UMS Holdings Limited is 12.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of UMS Holdings Limited (558)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of UMS Holdings Limited is 14.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of UMS Holdings Limited (558)?
The operating margin of UMS Holdings Limited is 25.8% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at UMS Holdings Limited (558)?
Revenue at UMS Holdings Limited is growing +29.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg −12.3%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at UMS Holdings Limited (558)?
Earnings per share at UMS Holdings Limited are growing +87.9% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does UMS Holdings Limited (558) generate?
The free cash flow of UMS Holdings Limited is 1.0M SGD (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does UMS Holdings Limited (558) hold?
UMS Holdings Limited holds more cash than debt, 28.3M SGD net (fiscal year 2020). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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