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Hotel Royal Chihpen (5704) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Hotel Royal Chihpen TWD 5.67, price TWD 22.60, upside -74.9%, quality 53 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? Yes
  3. Add to watchlist

Consumer Cyclical · TW · ISIN TW0005704001

HR Thin data Sep 24, 2026

Hotel Royal Chihpen

5704 · TWO

Stretched ValuationStrong overvaluation with only moderate quality.

!Fair value 5.67 TWD · Strongly overvalued (−75%)
!Quality 53/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y −5.4 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 2.7% net margin (TTM)
!negative free cash flow
!Trails peers (2/11)
!Narrow moat 26/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on past: 4 out of 100

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

71.00 TWD 21.00 TWD Fair Value 5.67 TWD Apr 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 21.00 TWD – 71.00 TWD · fair‑value band 4.25 TWD – 5.67 TWD · the 22.60 TWD price screens above the 5.67 TWD fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

Hotel Royal Chihpen operates a resort hotel in Taiwan. Its resort hotel comprises guest accommodations, as well as offers recreational facilities and amenities. The company is based in Taitung, Taiwan.

Stock analysis

Hotel Royal Chihpen (5704) currently trades at 22.60 TWD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 5.67 TWD, implying the stock looks roughly 298.6% overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Dividend Discount group reads highest at a median of 9.48 TWD per share, and 0 of the 14 models we run sit above the 22.60 TWD price.

Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at 2.14 TWD, and 14 of the 14 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: 4.25 TWD (bear) to 5.67 TWD (bull), the price of 22.60 TWD sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 53/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.

Hotel Royal Chihpen reported revenue of 328M TWD in FY2025 versus 362M TWD in FY2021, a compound −2.5%/yr. Reported net income was 15.2M TWD in FY2025, compounding −28.7%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap 1.4B TWD (≈ $43.6M) · P/E ratio 77.9 · P/S ratio 3.61 · EPS (TTM) 0.2900 TWD · Dividend yield 4.2% · Net margin 4.6% · Return on equity 1.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) 10.0%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 19% below its 52-week high and 8% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −32% fair-value upside, at −75%, 5704 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear 4.25 TWD Fair Value 5.67 TWD Bull 5.67 TWD
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (0.2129 TWD per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Residual Income 6.74 TWD 6.57 TWD 5.44 TWD 76
EPV 3.80 TWD 3.98 TWD 4.13 TWD 70
ROIC Compounder 3.80 TWD 3.98 TWD 4.13 TWD 70
All 14 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 1.75 TWD 2.14 TWD 2.41 TWD 67
EPV 3.80 TWD 3.98 TWD 4.13 TWD 70
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 8.70 TWD 9.48 TWD 10.66 TWD 69
DDM Multi-Stage 8.70 TWD 10.75 TWD 13.55 TWD 67
Multiples
P/E Multiple 4.25 TWD 5.67 TWD 7.09 TWD 63
P/S Multiple 3.28 TWD 4.38 TWD 5.47 TWD 58
P/B Multiple 3.28 TWD 4.38 TWD 5.47 TWD 55
EV/EBIT 6.03 TWD 7.15 TWD 8.27 TWD 63
EV/EBITDA 9.35 TWD 11.58 TWD 13.81 TWD 64
EV/Revenue 4.93 TWD 5.90 TWD 6.87 TWD 52
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 4.72 TWD 6.32 TWD 9.43 TWD 51
Economic Profit
Residual Income 6.74 TWD 6.57 TWD 5.44 TWD 76
ROIC Compounder 3.80 TWD 3.98 TWD 4.13 TWD 70
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 3.00 TWD 4.28 TWD 5.57 TWD 67

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 53/100

Of which business quality 56 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 50

Profitability 27
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 43
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 41
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 94
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 64
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 93
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 39
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 18
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 69
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 8/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−6.8%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−11.9%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−5.4%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −0.1% a year
Revenue growth 10 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−0.1%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in TWD ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in TWD: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
−20.6%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−24.8%
Dividend (yield on the price)4.2%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.26% → 5%

5704 screens 299% overvalued. Compare with Marriott International, Inc →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Lodging · 169 stocks

Beats the industry median on 2/11 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 53 · Above median
Fair Value upside −75% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 1% · Below median
Return on assets 0% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 3% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −96% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 4.2% · Top 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Lodging median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 77.9× · Priciest 25%
P/B 2.50× · Priciest 25%
P/S (TTM) 4.67× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA 41.6× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 19
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 25
PAST (return on equity)4 · sector 13
HEALTH (low debt)0 · sector 89
DIVIDEND (yield)84 · sector 30

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Lodging stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Marriott International, Inc MAR $351.66 $150.61 −57%
Hilton Worldwide Holdings HLT $307.22 $268.06 −13%
InterContinental Hotels Group IHG $154.85 $97.57 −37%
Hyatt Hotels Corporation H $157.80 $49.88 −68%
H World Group HTHT $42.78 $63.51 +48%
Accor SA AC €45.22 €40.27 −11%
The Indian Hotels Company INDHOTEL ₹743.70 ₹502.32 −32%
Wyndham Hotels & Resorts, Inc WH $67.86 $29.84 −56%
Hanjin Kal, 180640 140,100 KRW 28,728 KRW −79%
Choice Hotels International, Inc CHH $100.32 $73.41 −27%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Hotel Royal Chihpen Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/5704

Frequently asked questions

Is Hotel Royal Chihpen (5704) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 5.67 TWD versus a price of 22.60 TWD, about −75% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 5704?
Our model-based fair value for Hotel Royal Chihpen is 5.67 TWD (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 22.60 TWD.
What is the quality score of 5704?
Hotel Royal Chihpen has a Quality Score of 53/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Hotel Royal Chihpen (5704)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 5.67 TWD (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 14 valuation models. Cautious scenario 4.25 TWD, optimistic scenario 5.67 TWD. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Hotel Royal Chihpen stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 5.67 TWD, about −75% upside versus a price of 22.60 TWD (overvalued). Cautious scenario 4.25 TWD, optimistic scenario 5.67 TWD. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Hotel Royal Chihpen (5704)?
Hotel Royal Chihpen reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 297M TWD (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Hotel Royal Chihpen pay a dividend?
Hotel Royal Chihpen currently shows a dividend yield of about 4.21% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Hotel Royal Chihpen (5704)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Hotel Royal Chihpen it is 5.67 TWD per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 22.60 TWD. It is the blended result of 14 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Hotel Royal Chihpen stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 5704 trades above its calculated fair value: price 22.60 TWD, fair value 5.67 TWD, a gap of about −75% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 5704?
No. The price is what the market pays today (22.60 TWD); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (5.67 TWD). For Hotel Royal Chihpen the two are 16.93 TWD per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Hotel Royal Chihpen worth?
The market values Hotel Royal Chihpen at about 1.4B TWD (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 22.60 TWD; our models calculate a fair value of 5.67 TWD per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 5704?
Our models span a range for Hotel Royal Chihpen: cautious scenario 4.25 TWD, base 5.67 TWD, optimistic 5.67 TWD per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 22.60 TWD). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 5704?
Hotel Royal Chihpen trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 77.9 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 5.67 TWD is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 2.5, P/S 4.7, EV/EBITDA 41.6.
How solid is the balance sheet of Hotel Royal Chihpen (5704)?
Balance-sheet figures for Hotel Royal Chihpen (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 1.1%. They feed the Quality Score of 53/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 5704 from its 52-week high?
Hotel Royal Chihpen trades at 22.60 TWD, about 19% below its 52-week high of 27.90 TWD and 8% above the low of 21.00 TWD (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 5.67 TWD is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Hotel Royal Chihpen?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Marriott International, Inc, Hilton Worldwide Holdings, InterContinental Hotels Group, Hyatt Hotels Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Hotel Royal Chihpen stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 22.60 TWD, calculated fair value 5.67 TWD (−75%), Quality Score 53/100, from 14 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 5704 calculated?
We run Hotel Royal Chihpen through 14 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 5.67 TWD, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Hotel Royal Chihpen itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Hotel Royal Chihpen (5704)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was 22.60 TWD. Our model-based fair value is 5.67 TWD, about −75% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Hotel Royal Chihpen right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (5.67 TWD). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (53/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.

Key figures of Hotel Royal Chihpen

How large is the market capitalisation of Hotel Royal Chihpen (5704)?
The market capitalisation of Hotel Royal Chihpen is 1.4B TWD (≈ $43.6M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Hotel Royal Chihpen (5704)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Hotel Royal Chihpen is 3.61 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Hotel Royal Chihpen (5704)?
Earnings per share at Hotel Royal Chihpen are 0.2900 TWD (price ÷ EPS = P/E 77.9). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Hotel Royal Chihpen (5704)?
The dividend yield of Hotel Royal Chihpen is 4.2%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Hotel Royal Chihpen (5704)?
The net margin of Hotel Royal Chihpen is 4.6% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Hotel Royal Chihpen (5704)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Hotel Royal Chihpen is 1.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Hotel Royal Chihpen (5704)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Hotel Royal Chihpen is 10.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Hotel Royal Chihpen (5704)?
The operating margin of Hotel Royal Chihpen is −1,590% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Hotel Royal Chihpen (5704)?
Revenue at Hotel Royal Chihpen is growing −95.9% versus a year earlier (3y avg −11.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Hotel Royal Chihpen (5704)?
Earnings per share at Hotel Royal Chihpen are growing +462% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Hotel Royal Chihpen (5704) generate?
The free cash flow of Hotel Royal Chihpen is −17.1M TWD (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Hotel Royal Chihpen (5704) hold?
Hotel Royal Chihpen holds more cash than debt, 247M TWD net (fiscal year 2023). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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