SAKAE HOLDINGS LTD. (5DO) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of SAKAE HOLDINGS LTD. S$0.15, price S$0.08, upside +95.1%, quality 44 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 0.0698 SGD – 0.2139 SGD · fair‑value band 0.1163 SGD – 0.1763 SGD · the 0.0750 SGD price screens below the 0.1463 SGD fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
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Sakae Holdings Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a food and beverage company in Singapore and Malaysia. It operates through the Sakae Sushi, Hei Sushi, and Other Products and Services segments. The company operates restaurants, kiosks, and cafes.
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Sakae Holdings Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a food and beverage company in Singapore and Malaysia. It operates through the Sakae Sushi, Hei Sushi, and Other Products and Services segments. The company operates restaurants, kiosks, and cafes. It also provides corporate advisory, cleaning, and cold storage warehousing and logistics services. In addition, the company engages in investment property holding activities, general wholesale trading, wholesale of fruits, manufacture of food products, and catering and event organizing operations. Its brand portfolio includes the Sakae Sushi, Hei Sushi, Sakae Teppanyaki, Sachi, Senjyu, Crepes & Crème, Nouvelle, Sakae Shoppe, Sakae Delivery, Hei Delivery, Sakae Corporate Advisory, Sakae Global Resources, Sakae Foundation, Ichigo Ichie, Sakae Go, Umai, ASP, JapanMart, Tendon Sekai, and San Go brand names. The company was formerly known as Apex-Pal International Ltd. and changed its name to Sakae Holdings Ltd. in 2010. Sakae Holdings Ltd. was incorporated in 1996 and is headquartered in Singapore.
Stock analysis
SAKAE HOLDINGS LTD. (5DO) currently trades at 0.0750 SGD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 0.1463 SGD, implying the stock looks roughly 48.7% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of 0.2700 SGD per share, and 11 of the 11 models we run sit above the 0.0750 SGD price.
Bear case: the Multiples group reads lowest at 0.0800 SGD, and 0 of the 11 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 0.1163 SGD (bear) to 0.1763 SGD (bull), the price of 0.0750 SGD sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 44/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
SAKAE HOLDINGS LTD. reported revenue of 12.3M SGD in FY2025 versus 21.1M SGD in FY2021, a compound −12.7%/yr. Reported net income was −4.0M SGD in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap 12.4M SGD (≈ $9.7M) · P/S ratio 1.04 · EPS (TTM) −0.0300 SGD · Dividend yield 5.6% · Net margin −32.8% · Return on equity −7.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) −2.5% · Operating margin −9.1%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 27% below its 52-week high and 7% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −19% fair-value upside, at 95%, 5DO screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 0.1163 SGDFair Value 0.1463 SGDBull 0.1763 SGD
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.18/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−14.7%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−10.6%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−17.1%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −18.7% a year
Revenue growth 11 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−17.3%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
1.6% (2020) → −20.3% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+14.2%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Singapore: IMF forecast 2.0% a year to 2030, 1.7% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +12.0% a year for the price.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Restaurants · 209 stocks
Beats the industry median on 3/10 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score44 · Below median
Fair Value upside+95.1% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on assets−1.7% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM)−34.1% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)−9.1% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−5.3% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)5.6% · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Restaurants median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Is SAKAE HOLDINGS LTD. (5DO) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 0.1463 SGD versus the last price from Sep 24, 2026 of 0.0750 SGD, about +95% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 5DO?
Our model-based fair value for SAKAE HOLDINGS LTD. is 0.1463 SGD (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. Last price (from Sep 24, 2026): 0.0750 SGD.
What is the quality score of 5DO?
SAKAE HOLDINGS LTD. has a Quality Score of 44/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for SAKAE HOLDINGS LTD. (5DO)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 0.1463 SGD (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 11 valuation models. Cautious scenario 0.1163 SGD, optimistic scenario 0.1763 SGD. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the SAKAE HOLDINGS LTD. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 0.1463 SGD, about +95% upside versus the last price from Sep 24, 2026 of 0.0750 SGD (undervalued). Cautious scenario 0.1163 SGD, optimistic scenario 0.1763 SGD. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of SAKAE HOLDINGS LTD. (5DO)?
SAKAE HOLDINGS LTD. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 11.9M SGD (latest available figure, as of Sep 27, 2026).
Does SAKAE HOLDINGS LTD. pay a dividend?
SAKAE HOLDINGS LTD. currently shows a dividend yield of about 5.62% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 27, 2026).
What growth is priced into SAKAE HOLDINGS LTD. (5DO)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, SAKAE HOLDINGS LTD. would have to grow free cash flow by +14.2 % per year for five years (discount rate 8.3 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew -17.1 % per year. As of Sep 27, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 5DO use?
Our models discount SAKAE HOLDINGS LTD. at 8.3 %: a base by market capitalisation (nano), damped by beta 0.02, country premium for Singapore. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For SAKAE HOLDINGS LTD. that is +14.2 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (8.3 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has SAKAE HOLDINGS LTD. (5DO) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at SAKAE HOLDINGS LTD. grew -17.1 % a year. The price currently implies +14.2 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of SAKAE HOLDINGS LTD. (5DO) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +3.1 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into SAKAE HOLDINGS LTD. (+14.2 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of SAKAE HOLDINGS LTD. (5DO)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 7.09 %: that much free cash flow SAKAE HOLDINGS LTD. produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (8.3 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of SAKAE HOLDINGS LTD. (5DO)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For SAKAE HOLDINGS LTD. it is 0.1463 SGD per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of 0.0750 SGD. It is the blended result of 11 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is SAKAE HOLDINGS LTD. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 27, 2026, 5DO trades below its calculated fair value: price 0.0750 SGD, fair value 0.1463 SGD, a gap of about +95% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 5DO?
No. The price is what the market pays today (0.0750 SGD); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (0.1463 SGD). For SAKAE HOLDINGS LTD. the two are 0.0713 SGD per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is SAKAE HOLDINGS LTD. worth?
The market values SAKAE HOLDINGS LTD. at about 12.4M SGD (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is 0.0750 SGD; our models calculate a fair value of 0.1463 SGD per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 5DO?
Our models span a range for SAKAE HOLDINGS LTD.: cautious scenario 0.1163 SGD, base 0.1463 SGD, optimistic 0.1763 SGD per share (as of Sep 27, 2026, price 0.0750 SGD). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of SAKAE HOLDINGS LTD. (5DO)?
Balance-sheet figures for SAKAE HOLDINGS LTD. (as of Sep 27, 2026): return on equity −7.3%. They feed the Quality Score of 44/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 5DO from its 52-week high?
SAKAE HOLDINGS LTD. trades at 0.0750 SGD, about 27% below its 52-week high of 0.1030 SGD and 7% above the low of 0.0700 SGD (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 0.1463 SGD is for.
Which stocks are comparable to SAKAE HOLDINGS LTD.?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value McDonald's Corporation, Starbucks Corporation, Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc, Yum! Brands, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is SAKAE HOLDINGS LTD. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price 0.0750 SGD, calculated fair value 0.1463 SGD (+95%), Quality Score 44/100, from 11 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 5DO calculated?
We run SAKAE HOLDINGS LTD. through 11 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 0.1463 SGD, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. SAKAE HOLDINGS LTD. currently trades 49 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of SAKAE HOLDINGS LTD. (5DO)?
The latest price we hold is from Sep 24, 2026 and stands at 0.0750 SGD. Our model-based fair value is 0.1463 SGD, about +95% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with SAKAE HOLDINGS LTD. right now?
The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (44/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain. The price is below even our cautious bear case (0.1163 SGD). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Key figures of SAKAE HOLDINGS LTD.
How large is the market capitalisation of SAKAE HOLDINGS LTD. (5DO)?
The market capitalisation of SAKAE HOLDINGS LTD. is 12.4M SGD (≈ $9.7M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of SAKAE HOLDINGS LTD. (5DO)?
The price-to-sales ratio of SAKAE HOLDINGS LTD. is 1.04 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of SAKAE HOLDINGS LTD. (5DO)?
Earnings per share at SAKAE HOLDINGS LTD. are −0.0300 SGD. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of SAKAE HOLDINGS LTD. (5DO)?
The dividend yield of SAKAE HOLDINGS LTD. is 5.6%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of SAKAE HOLDINGS LTD. (5DO)?
The net margin of SAKAE HOLDINGS LTD. is −32.8% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of SAKAE HOLDINGS LTD. (5DO)?
The return on equity (ROE) of SAKAE HOLDINGS LTD. is −7.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of SAKAE HOLDINGS LTD. (5DO)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of SAKAE HOLDINGS LTD. is −2.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of SAKAE HOLDINGS LTD. (5DO)?
The operating margin of SAKAE HOLDINGS LTD. is −9.1% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at SAKAE HOLDINGS LTD. (5DO)?
Revenue at SAKAE HOLDINGS LTD. is growing −5.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg −10.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at SAKAE HOLDINGS LTD. (5DO)?
Earnings per share at SAKAE HOLDINGS LTD. are growing −64.6% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does SAKAE HOLDINGS LTD. (5DO) carry?
The net debt of SAKAE HOLDINGS LTD. is 19.0M SGD (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 25.7 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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