OLD CHANG KEE LTD. (5ML) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · SG · Market cap 140M SGD
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 25 valuation models · updated 4 days ago
Share price −1.7% over the past month.
A solid business, screening 49% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The rarer combination: high quality (70/100) AND below fair value. That earns a closer look rather than a quick verdict.
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (1.30 SGD). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 0.5484 SGD – 1.29 SGD · fair‑value band 1.30 SGD – 2.16 SGD · the 1.16 SGD price screens below the 1.73 SGD fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
OLD CHANG KEE LTD. (5ML) currently trades at 1.16 SGD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 1.73 SGD, implying the stock looks roughly 49.1% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 70/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, OLD CHANG KEE LTD. generated revenue of 103M SGD at a net margin of 9.2%. Revenue grew 2.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 15.7%. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 14.5. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 1.30 SGD (bear case) to 2.16 SGD (bull case); at 1.16 SGD, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 11% below its 52-week high and 16% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -51% fair-value upside, at 49%, 5ML screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 25 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (2.20 SGD) versus Dividend Discount (0.1800 SGD). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Notify me when 5ML reaches fair value
Free. You confirm by email (double opt-in) and can unsubscribe anytime in one click.
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 74 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 59
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Old Chang Kee Ltd., an investment holding company, engages in the manufacture and distribution of food products under the Old Chang Kee brand in Singapore, Australia, and Malaysia. The company offers traditional, seafood, and chicken products; and desserts and breakfast set products.
Full company description
Old Chang Kee Ltd., an investment holding company, engages in the manufacture and distribution of food products under the Old Chang Kee brand in Singapore, Australia, and Malaysia. The company offers traditional, seafood, and chicken products; and desserts and breakfast set products. It also operates retail food outlets; provides general trading and delivery, catering services and non-retail sales; and franchise rights to sell its products. In addition, the company operates Curry Times, a curry-themed restaurant; O' My Darling, a mobile kitchen food truck; and Dip'n'Go, a concept of food on the go. Old Chang Kee Ltd. was founded in 1956 and is headquartered in Singapore.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years
OLD CHANG KEE LTD. reported revenue of 103M SGD in FY2026 versus 77.5M SGD in FY2022, a compound +7.5%/yr. Reported net income was 9.6M SGD in FY2026, compounding +13.9%/yr from FY2022.
Watch 5ML: get an alert when its fair value changes →
Peer Group
Restaurants · 228 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Restaurants median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Restaurants stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| McDonald's Corporation MCDS | C$24.01 | C$10.84 | -55% |
| Starbucks Corporation SBUX | $108.49 | $35.83 | -67% |
| Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc CMG | $32.00 | $17.92 | -44% |
| Yum! Brands, Inc YUM | $150.34 | $58.17 | -61% |
| Restaurant Brands International Inc QSR | C$104.50 | C$36.37 | -65% |
| Darden Restaurants, Inc DRI | $218.90 | $173.68 | -21% |
| Yum China Holdings YUMC | $47.90 | $54.27 | +13% |
| Texas Roadhouse, Inc TXRH | $214.28 | $104.89 | -51% |
| Dutch Bros Inc BROS | $51.02 | $12.80 | -75% |
| Domino's Pizza, Inc DPZ | $353.72 | $227.31 | -36% |
Compare OLD CHANG KEE LTD. with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Explore undervalued stocks
More undervalued Consumer Cyclical stocks →
Frequently asked questions
Is OLD CHANG KEE LTD. (5ML) overvalued or undervalued?
What is the fair value of 5ML?
What is the quality score of 5ML?
What is the revenue of OLD CHANG KEE LTD. (5ML)?
What is the net profit margin of 5ML?
Does OLD CHANG KEE LTD. pay a dividend?
How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
Track OLD CHANG KEE LTD. and try Pro for 14 days
One email gets you 14 days of full Pro (review alerts, the 35,000+ stock screener, the diversification check) plus the monthly Top-25 report of the most undervalued quality stocks. No card, cancel anytime.
Zero risk: nothing is ever charged. After 14 days you decide whether to stay.