Dongfeng Automobile Co Ltd (600006) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 30, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Dongfeng Automobile Co Ltd stock ¥2.18, price ¥4.86, upside -55.1%, quality 43 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Oct 30, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥4.20 – ¥9.91 · fair‑value band ¥1.44 – ¥2.74 · the ¥4.86 price screens above the ¥2.18 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Oct 30, 2026.
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DongFeng Automobile Co. LTD designs, develops, manufactures, and sells automobiles, automobile engines, parts, and castings in the People's Republic of China.
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The company offers light trucks under the Dongfeng Captur, Dongfeng Dolica, Dongfeng Tuyi, Dongfeng Subor, Dongfeng Ruilida, and Dongfeng Furika brand names; buses under the Dongfeng Tianyi brand name; vans under Yufeng and Ruilida brands; new energy engines; automobile chassis; and other parts and components.
It also provides mechanical processing, automobile repair, and technical consulting services. The company was founded in 1999 and is based in Wuhan, the People's Republic of China. DongFeng Automobile Co. LTD operates as a subsidiary of Dongfeng Motor Co. Ltd.
Stock analysis
Dongfeng Automobile Co Ltd (600006) currently trades at ¥4.86, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥2.18, 55.1% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 92/100, which puts the data coverage at low.
Scenario range: ¥1.44 (bear) to ¥2.74 (bull), the price of ¥4.86 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 43/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Dongfeng Automobile Co Ltd reported revenue of 8.9B CNY in FY2025 versus 15.6B CNY in FY2021, a compound −13.1%/yr. Reported net income was −480M CNY in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap 9.7B CNY (≈ $1.5B) Small · P/S ratio 1.06 · EPS (TTM) ¥−0.2200 · Dividend yield 0.1% · Net margin −4.8% · Return on equity −5.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) −0.1% · Operating margin −8.9%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 10 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 40% below its 52-week high and at its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 3% fair-value upside, at −55%, 600006 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear¥1.44Fair Value ¥2.18Bull¥2.74
Price ¥4.86 · Upside -55.1%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.0/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−19.0%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−10.1%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−8.4%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −6.2% a year
Revenue growth 29 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.4%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
4.1% (1996) → −9.1% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
Compare Dongfeng Automobile Co Ltd with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Auto Manufacturers · 108 stocks
Beats the industry median on 2/9 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score43 · Below median
Fair Value upside−55.2% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets−3.0% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months)−4.8% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months)−8.9% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)27.7% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (12 months)0.1% · Bottom 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Auto Manufacturers median · lower = cheaper
P/B1.25× · Cheaper than median
P/S (12 months)1.04× · Pricier than median
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 50
FUTURE (revenue growth)100· sector 38
PAST (return on equity)0· sector 24
HEALTH (low debt)100· sector 93
DIVIDEND (yield)2· sector 52
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Dongfeng Automobile Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/600006
Frequently asked questions
Is Dongfeng Automobile Co Ltd (600006) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 30, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥2.18 versus a price of ¥4.86, about −55% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 600006?
Our model-based fair value for Dongfeng Automobile Co Ltd is ¥2.18 (as of Oct 30, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥4.86.
What is the quality score of 600006?
Dongfeng Automobile Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 43/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Dongfeng Automobile Co Ltd (600006)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥2.18 (as of Oct 30, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥1.44, optimistic scenario ¥2.74. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Dongfeng Automobile Co Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥2.18, about −55% upside versus a price of ¥4.86 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥1.44, optimistic scenario ¥2.74. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Dongfeng Automobile Co Ltd (600006)?
Dongfeng Automobile Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 9.3B CNY (latest available figure, as of Oct 30, 2026).
Does Dongfeng Automobile Co Ltd pay a dividend?
Dongfeng Automobile Co Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of 0.10% relative to its recent price (as of Oct 30, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Dongfeng Automobile Co Ltd (600006)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Dongfeng Automobile Co Ltd it is ¥2.18 per share (as of Oct 30, 2026), against a price of ¥4.86. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Dongfeng Automobile Co Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 30, 2026, 600006 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥4.86, fair value ¥2.18, a gap of about −55% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 600006?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥4.86); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥2.18). For Dongfeng Automobile Co Ltd the two are ¥2.68 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Dongfeng Automobile Co Ltd worth?
The market values Dongfeng Automobile Co Ltd at about 9.7B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Oct 30, 2026). Per share that is ¥4.86; our models calculate a fair value of ¥2.18 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 600006?
Our models span a range for Dongfeng Automobile Co Ltd: cautious scenario ¥1.44, base ¥2.18, optimistic ¥2.74 per share (as of Oct 30, 2026, price ¥4.86). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Dongfeng Automobile Co Ltd (600006)?
Balance-sheet figures for Dongfeng Automobile Co Ltd (as of Oct 30, 2026): return on equity −5.4%. They feed the Quality Score of 43/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 600006 from its 52-week high?
Dongfeng Automobile Co Ltd trades at ¥4.86, about 40% below its 52-week high of ¥8.12 and at the low of ¥4.86 (as of Oct 30, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥2.18 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Dongfeng Automobile Co Ltd?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Toyota Motor Corporation, BYD Company, Ferrari N.V, General Motors Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Dongfeng Automobile Co Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 30, 2026: price ¥4.86, calculated fair value ¥2.18 (−55%), Quality Score 43/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 600006 calculated?
We run Dongfeng Automobile Co Ltd through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ¥2.18, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.4 % above its aggregate fair value. Dongfeng Automobile Co Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Dongfeng Automobile Co Ltd (600006)?
The closing price on Oct 30, 2026 was ¥4.86. Our model-based fair value is ¥2.18, about −55% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Dongfeng Automobile Co Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥2.74). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (43/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range (¥1.44 to ¥2.74) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Where does the earnings growth of Dongfeng Automobile Co Ltd (600006) come from?
Earnings per share at Dongfeng Automobile Co Ltd grew +3.7 % a year from 2013 to 2024. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share −4.5 %, EBIT margin +10.4 %, tax rate +1.6 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −3.2 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Dongfeng Automobile Co Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Dongfeng Automobile Co Ltd (600006)?
The market capitalisation of Dongfeng Automobile Co Ltd is 9.7B CNY (≈ $1.5B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Dongfeng Automobile Co Ltd (600006)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Dongfeng Automobile Co Ltd is 1.06 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Dongfeng Automobile Co Ltd (600006)?
Earnings per share at Dongfeng Automobile Co Ltd are ¥−0.2200. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Dongfeng Automobile Co Ltd (600006)?
The dividend yield of Dongfeng Automobile Co Ltd is 0.1%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Dongfeng Automobile Co Ltd (600006)?
The net margin of Dongfeng Automobile Co Ltd is −4.8% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Dongfeng Automobile Co Ltd (600006)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Dongfeng Automobile Co Ltd is −5.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Dongfeng Automobile Co Ltd (600006)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Dongfeng Automobile Co Ltd is −0.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Dongfeng Automobile Co Ltd (600006)?
The operating margin of Dongfeng Automobile Co Ltd is −8.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Dongfeng Automobile Co Ltd (600006)?
Revenue at Dongfeng Automobile Co Ltd is growing +27.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg −10.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Dongfeng Automobile Co Ltd (600006)?
Earnings per share at Dongfeng Automobile Co Ltd are growing +36.0% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Dongfeng Automobile Co Ltd (600006) generate?
The free cash flow of Dongfeng Automobile Co Ltd is −981M CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Dongfeng Automobile Co Ltd (600006) hold?
Dongfeng Automobile Co Ltd holds more cash than debt, 4.0B CNY net (fiscal year 2024). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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Oct 30, 2026