Avicopter PLC (600038) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Avicopter PLC stock ¥13.16, price ¥28.77, that is 54.3% below the price, quality 20 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 16 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 8, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥24.60 – ¥80.52 · fair‑value band ¥11.19 – ¥15.77 · the ¥28.77 price screens above the ¥13.16 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 8, 2026.
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Avicopter Plc manufactures and sells helicopters in China and internationally. It offers unmanned and civil helicopters; helicopters parts; new energy and general aircraft; and aviation parts and services, as well as aviation subcontracting production and customized services.
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Avicopter Plc was formerly known as Hafei Aviation Industry Co., Ltd. and changed its name to Avicopter Plc in December 2014. The company was founded in 1999 and is headquartered in Beijing, China.
Stock analysis
Avicopter PLC (600038) currently trades at ¥28.77, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥13.16, 54% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of ¥18.81 per share, and 2 of the 16 models we run sit above the ¥28.77 price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at ¥3.53, and 14 of the 16 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: ¥11.19 (bear) to ¥15.77 (bull), the price of ¥28.77 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 20/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Avicopter PLC reported revenue of 29.1B CNY in FY2025 versus 21.8B CNY in FY2021, a compound +7.5%/yr. Reported net income was 652M CNY in FY2025, compounding −8.1%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 23.6B CNY (≈ $3.5B) Mid · P/E ratio 42.3 · P/S ratio 0.85 · EPS (TTM) ¥0.6800 · Dividend yield 0.8% · Net margin 2.0% · Return on equity 3.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) 1.8% (5-year average).
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 24 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 26% below its 52-week high and 17% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −23% fair-value upside, at −54%, 600038 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear¥11.19Fair Value ¥13.16Bull¥15.77
Price ¥28.77 · Downside -54.3%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then (¥0.3770 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
Residual Income¥15.77¥15.48¥15.9576
EPV¥7.38¥8.21¥8.9474
ROIC Compounder¥7.38¥8.21¥8.9472
All 16 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd¥5.41¥31.64¥44.0463
Lynch FV¥8.96¥12.80¥16.6461
PEG = 1.0¥8.96¥12.80¥16.6457
EPV¥7.38¥8.21¥8.9474
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM¥1.85¥3.82¥5.9966
DDM Multi-Stage¥1.85¥3.24¥4.0167
Multiples
P/E Multiple¥12.52¥16.70¥20.8763
P/S Multiple¥10.14¥13.52¥16.9058
P/B Multiple¥50.60¥67.47¥84.3455
EV/EBIT¥2.34¥4.88¥7.4162
EV/EBITDA¥9.02¥13.79¥18.5566
EV/Revenue¥0.1600¥2.49¥4.8246
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)¥7.75¥11.74¥14.6854
Economic Profit
Residual Income¥15.77¥15.48¥15.9576
ROIC Compounder¥7.38¥8.21¥8.9472
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E¥13.17¥18.81¥24.4667
The fair value above starts from this blend and is adjusted for dilution from new shares.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.38/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
−2.4%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+14.3%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+8.1%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +8.8% a year
Revenue growth 28 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+21.5%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−8.4%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−9.2%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.8%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−9.2% vs 0.7%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.4% → 2%
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Aerospace & Defense · 238 stocks
Beats the industry median on 3/14 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score20 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−54.3% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)3.1% · Below median
Return on assets1.3% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months)2.0% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months)2.1% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)−15.7% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (12 months)0.8% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.09× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Aerospace & Defense median · lower = cheaper
P/E (12 months)42.3× · Pricier than median
P/B1.34× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (12 months)0.85× · Cheapest 25%
EV/EBITDA19.7× · Pricier than median
PEG1.68× · Pricier than median
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)0· sector 65
PAST (return on equity)12· sector 41
HEALTH (low debt)96· sector 94
DIVIDEND (yield)17· sector 19
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Avicopter PLC Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/600038
Frequently asked questions
Is Avicopter PLC (600038) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 8, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥13.16 versus a price of ¥28.77, about 54% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 600038?
Our model-based fair value for Avicopter PLC is ¥13.16 (as of Nov 8, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥28.77.
What is the quality score of 600038?
Avicopter PLC has a Quality Score of 20/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Avicopter PLC (600038)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥13.16 (as of Nov 8, 2026) from 16 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥11.19, optimistic scenario ¥15.77. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Avicopter PLC stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥13.16, about 54% lower versus a price of ¥28.77 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥11.19, optimistic scenario ¥15.77. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Avicopter PLC (600038)?
Avicopter PLC reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 27.9B CNY (latest available figure, as of Nov 8, 2026).
Does Avicopter PLC pay a dividend?
Avicopter PLC currently shows a dividend yield of 0.83% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 8, 2026).
How much is the dividend of Avicopter PLC (600038) and when is the ex-dividend date?
Avicopter PLC pays a dividend of ¥0.239 per share a year, a dividend yield of 0.8%. The last ex-dividend date was Jun 4, 2026. The payout ratio is 35.1% of earnings. Our assessment: Token dividend. At a yield of 0.8% the dividend is symbolic. On paper it is not fully covered by earnings or free cash flow, but at this size that hardly matters: even scrapping it entirely would cost less than 0.8% a year, and coverage ratios on amounts this small swing with ordinary working-capital movements. Judge this company on its business, not on its dividend.
What is the intrinsic value of Avicopter PLC (600038)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Avicopter PLC it is ¥13.16 per share (as of Nov 8, 2026), against a price of ¥28.77. It is the blended result of 16 valuation models in 6 families (Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is Avicopter PLC stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 8, 2026, 600038 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥28.77, fair value ¥13.16, a gap of about −54% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 600038?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥28.77); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥13.16). For Avicopter PLC the two are ¥15.61 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Avicopter PLC worth?
The market values Avicopter PLC at about 23.6B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Nov 8, 2026). Per share that is ¥28.77; our models calculate a fair value of ¥13.16 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 600038?
Our models span a range for Avicopter PLC: cautious scenario ¥11.19, base ¥13.16, optimistic ¥15.77 per share (as of Nov 8, 2026, price ¥28.77). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 600038?
Avicopter PLC trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 42.3 (as of Nov 8, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ¥13.16 is built from several models across several years. Median P/E at fiscal year-end, 10 fiscal years (2016 to 2025), reported earnings: 48.3. Other multiples: PEG 1.7, P/B 1.3, P/S 0.8, EV/EBITDA 19.7.
What is the PEG ratio of 600038?
The PEG ratio of Avicopter PLC is 1.68 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Nov 8, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Avicopter PLC (600038)?
Balance-sheet figures for Avicopter PLC (as of Nov 8, 2026): return on equity 3.1%, debt of 0.09 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 20/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 600038 from its 52-week high?
Avicopter PLC trades at ¥28.77, about 26% below its 52-week high of ¥39.05 and 17% above the low of ¥24.60 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥13.16 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Avicopter PLC?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value General Electric Company, RTX Corporation, Airbus SE, Safran SA, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Avicopter PLC stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 8, 2026: price ¥28.77, calculated fair value ¥13.16 (−54%), Quality Score 20/100, from 16 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 600038 calculated?
We run Avicopter PLC through 16 models from 6 families: Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of ¥13.16 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0% above its aggregate fair value. Avicopter PLC itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Avicopter PLC (600038)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was ¥28.77. Our model-based fair value is ¥13.16, about 54% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Avicopter PLC right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥15.77). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (20/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
Where does the earnings growth of Avicopter PLC (600038) come from?
Earnings per share at Avicopter PLC grew +2.7 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +7.6 %, EBIT margin −7.9 %, tax rate +1.8 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +1.8 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Avicopter PLC
How large is the market capitalisation of Avicopter PLC (600038)?
The market capitalisation of Avicopter PLC is 23.6B CNY (≈ $3.5B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Avicopter PLC (600038)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Avicopter PLC is 0.85 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Avicopter PLC (600038)?
Earnings per share at Avicopter PLC are ¥0.6800 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 42.3). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Avicopter PLC (600038)?
The dividend yield of Avicopter PLC is 0.8% (payout 35.1%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Avicopter PLC (600038)?
The net margin of Avicopter PLC is 2.0% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Avicopter PLC (600038)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Avicopter PLC is 3.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Avicopter PLC (600038)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Avicopter PLC is 1.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Avicopter PLC (600038)?
The operating margin of Avicopter PLC is 2.1% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Avicopter PLC (600038)?
Revenue at Avicopter PLC is growing −15.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg +14.3%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Avicopter PLC (600038)?
Earnings per share at Avicopter PLC are growing +86.2% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Avicopter PLC (600038) generate?
The free cash flow of Avicopter PLC is −11.5B CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Avicopter PLC (600038) carry?
The net debt of Avicopter PLC is 4.3B CNY (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Some data
Nov 8, 2026