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Xining Special Steel Co Ltd (600117) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Xining Special Steel Co Ltd stock ¥0.23, price ¥2.00, that is 88.5% below the price, quality 35 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 5 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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Basic Materials CN · ISIN CNE000000TF5

XS Xining Special Steel Co Ltd logo Thin data Nov 6, 2026

Xining Special Steel Co Ltd

600117 · SHG
Very expensive, weak quality

Our calculation puts a fair price 89% below what the stock costs today.

Low debt
Mixed Growth (revenue 5y −10.1 %/yr in CNY)
Revenue last quarter 12% below a year ago.
Fair value ¥0.2300 · Strongly overvalued (−88.5%)
Quality 35/100
Loss-making · -16.7% net margin (TTM)
Negative free cash flow over the last twelve months
Trails peers (0/12)
Narrow moat 10/100
Thin data
⟳ Cyclical
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

¥5.22 ¥1.90 Fair Value ¥0.2300 May 2021 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 6, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥1.90 – ¥5.22 · fair‑value band ¥0.1700 – ¥0.3000 · the ¥2.00 price screens above the ¥0.2300 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 3 fiscal years are left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. As of Nov 6, 2026.

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Company profile

Xining Special Steel. Co.,Ltd engages in the smelting, rolling, and processing of special steel products in China. It operates through four segments: Real Estate Development and Sales, Steelmaking and Rolling Steel division, Comprehensive Resource Utilization, and Commerce and Other.

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The company provides carbon structural steel, carbon industrial steel, alloy structural steel, alloy industrial steel, bearing steel, die steel, stainless steel, and spring steel; and hot-rolled bars, forged bars, cold-drawn silver bright material, special-shaped electroslag castings, and other products.

It is also involved in the research and development and promotion of new smelting technologies and new aluminum alloy materials; mineral products, metallurgical castings and metallurgical furnace materials, iron art, building materials, construction materials, etc.; production and sales of blast furnace pig iron; sintered ore and pelletized ore; slag, fire slag, iron slag, coke, coke powder, coke diced, etc.; and providing mining technical and mining product management.

Its products are used in automobiles, engineering machinery, railways, ships, petrochemicals, mining machinery, coal machinery, new energy, national important equipment, and other industries. Xining Special Steel. Co.,Ltd was founded in 1997 and is based in Xining, China.

Stock analysis

Xining Special Steel Co Ltd (600117) currently trades at ¥2.00, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥0.2300, 89% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of ¥0.6100 per share, and 0 of the 5 models we run sit above the ¥2.00 price.

Bear case: the DCF Models group reads lowest at ¥0.2300, and 5 of the 5 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: ¥0.1700 (bear) to ¥0.3000 (bull), the price of ¥2.00 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 35/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.

Mixed Growth: Spin-off in 2000: revenue and profit before it include the divested business. Growth is measured afresh from 2000.

Xining Special Steel Co Ltd reported revenue of 5.9B CNY in FY2025 versus 12.2B CNY in FY2021, a compound −16.6%/yr. Reported net income was −900M CNY in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap 6.5B CNY (≈ $977M) Small · P/S ratio 1.11 · EPS (TTM) ¥−0.3000 · Dividend yield 2.0% · Net margin −16.7% · Return on equity −21.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) −5.7% (5-year average) · Operating margin −18.4%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 10 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 38% below its 52-week high and 3% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −34% fair-value upside, at −89%, 600117 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear ¥0.1700 Fair Value ¥0.2300 Bull ¥0.3000
Price ¥2.00 · Downside -88.5%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
FCF DCF ¥0.3000 ¥0.4500 ¥0.6500 80
Growth DCF ¥0.3000 ¥0.4500 ¥0.6200 79
5Y Revenue Exit ¥0.1000 ¥0.1500 ¥0.2000 73
All 5 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ¥0.3000 ¥0.4500 ¥0.6500 80
5Y Revenue Exit ¥0.1000 ¥0.1500 ¥0.2000 73
10Y Revenue Exit ¥0.1700 ¥0.2300 ¥0.3000 68
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥0.4600 ¥0.6100 ¥0.9200 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥0.3000 ¥0.4500 ¥0.6200 79

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 35/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 6
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 57
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 14
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 31
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 100
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 84
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 14
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 2
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 31
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 55/100
Spin-off in 2000: revenue and profit before it include the divested business. Growth is measured afresh from 2000.
Revenue growth 1 year
+3.6%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−8.6%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−10.1%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −0.2% a year
Revenue growth 25 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.2%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
2.3% (2020) → −10.5% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

Growth Forecast

A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+65.0%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
Calculated on free cash flow for fiscal year 2025. Over the last twelve months it was negative, so the figure above is uncertain.
After inflation (China: IMF forecast 1.7% a year to 2030, 1.4% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +62.2% a year for the price.

600117 screens overvalued: fair value 89% below the price. Compare with Nucor Corporation →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Steel · 410 stocks

Beats the industry median on 0/11 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 35 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −88.5% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −7.3% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months) −16.7% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months) −18.4% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) −11.7% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (12 months) 2.0% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.14× · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Steel median · lower = cheaper

P/B 1.76× · Priciest 25%
P/S (12 months) 1.11× · Pricier than median
Price / free cash flow (fiscal year) 227.8× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 21
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 38
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 19
HEALTH (low debt)93 · sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)40 · sector 51

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Steel stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Baoshan Iron & Steel Co 600019 ¥6.11 ¥8.07 +32% vs 600117
POSCO Holdings PKX $48.90 $44.09 −10% vs 600117
Tata Steel Limited TATASTEEL ₹186.30 ₹148.06 −21% vs 600117
JSW Steel Limited JSWSTEEL ₹1,357 ₹1,029 −24% vs 600117
ArcelorMittal S.A MT €54.82 €36.10 −34% vs 600117
Reliance, Inc RS $417.00 $211.54 −49% vs 600117
Nucor Corporation NUE $244.97 $116.49 −52% vs 600117
Jindal Steel Limited JINDALSTEL ₹1,165 ₹516.03 −56% vs 600117
Steel Dynamics, Inc STLD $222.90 $89.54 −60% vs 600117
Inner Mongolia Baotou Steel Union Co 600010 ¥1.99 ¥0.5400 −73% vs 600117

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Xining Special Steel Co Ltd: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Xining Special Steel Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/600117

Frequently asked questions

Is Xining Special Steel Co Ltd (600117) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 6, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥0.2300 versus a price of ¥2.00, about 89% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 600117?
Our model-based fair value for Xining Special Steel Co Ltd is ¥0.2300 (as of Nov 6, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥2.00.
What is the quality score of 600117?
Xining Special Steel Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 35/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Xining Special Steel Co Ltd (600117)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥0.2300 (as of Nov 6, 2026) from 5 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥0.1700, optimistic scenario ¥0.3000. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Xining Special Steel Co Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥0.2300, about 89% lower versus a price of ¥2.00 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥0.1700, optimistic scenario ¥0.3000. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Xining Special Steel Co Ltd (600117)?
Xining Special Steel Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 5.9B CNY (latest available figure, as of Nov 6, 2026).
Does Xining Special Steel Co Ltd pay a dividend?
Xining Special Steel Co Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of 1.99% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 6, 2026).
How much is the dividend of Xining Special Steel Co Ltd (600117)?
Xining Special Steel Co Ltd has a dividend yield of 2.0%.
What growth is priced into Xining Special Steel Co Ltd (600117)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Xining Special Steel Co Ltd would have to grow free cash flow by +65.0 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.4 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew -10.1 % per year. Calculated on free cash flow for fiscal year 2025. Over the last twelve months it was negative, so the figure above is uncertain. As of Nov 6, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 600117 use?
Our models discount Xining Special Steel Co Ltd at 10.4 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 0.43, country premium for China. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Xining Special Steel Co Ltd that is +65.0 % per year for five years, then slowing evenly to 2 % by year ten, using the same discount rate (10.4 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Xining Special Steel Co Ltd (600117) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Xining Special Steel Co Ltd grew -10.1 % a year. The price currently implies free-cash-flow growth of +65.0 % per year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Xining Special Steel Co Ltd (600117) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +9.8 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Xining Special Steel Co Ltd (+65.0 % per year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Xining Special Steel Co Ltd (600117)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 0.44 % in the last fiscal year (free cash flow was negative over the last twelve months): that much free cash flow Xining Special Steel Co Ltd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.4 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Xining Special Steel Co Ltd (600117)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Xining Special Steel Co Ltd it is ¥0.2300 per share (as of Nov 6, 2026), against a price of ¥2.00. It is the blended result of 5 valuation models in 3 families (DCF Models, Asset-Based, Growth DCF).
Is Xining Special Steel Co Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 6, 2026, 600117 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥2.00, fair value ¥0.2300, a gap of about −89% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 600117?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥2.00); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥0.2300). For Xining Special Steel Co Ltd the two are ¥1.77 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Xining Special Steel Co Ltd worth?
The market values Xining Special Steel Co Ltd at about 6.5B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Nov 6, 2026). Per share that is ¥2.00; our models calculate a fair value of ¥0.2300 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 600117?
Our models span a range for Xining Special Steel Co Ltd: cautious scenario ¥0.1700, base ¥0.2300, optimistic ¥0.3000 per share (as of Nov 6, 2026, price ¥2.00). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Xining Special Steel Co Ltd (600117)?
Balance-sheet figures for Xining Special Steel Co Ltd (as of Nov 6, 2026): return on equity −21.2%, debt of 0.14 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 35/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 600117 from its 52-week high?
Xining Special Steel Co Ltd trades at ¥2.00, about 38% below its 52-week high of ¥3.23 and 3% above the low of ¥1.94 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥0.2300 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Xining Special Steel Co Ltd?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Nucor Corporation, ArcelorMittal S.A, Steel Dynamics, Inc, JSW Steel Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Xining Special Steel Co Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 6, 2026: price ¥2.00, calculated fair value ¥0.2300 (−89%), Quality Score 35/100, from 5 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 600117 calculated?
We run Xining Special Steel Co Ltd through 5 models from 3 families: DCF Models, Asset-Based, Growth DCF. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of ¥0.2300 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0% above its aggregate fair value. Xining Special Steel Co Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Xining Special Steel Co Ltd (600117)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was ¥2.00. Our model-based fair value is ¥0.2300, about 89% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Xining Special Steel Co Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥0.3000). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (35/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.

Key figures of Xining Special Steel Co Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Xining Special Steel Co Ltd (600117)?
The market capitalisation of Xining Special Steel Co Ltd is 6.5B CNY (≈ $977M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Xining Special Steel Co Ltd (600117)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Xining Special Steel Co Ltd is 1.11 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Xining Special Steel Co Ltd (600117)?
Earnings per share at Xining Special Steel Co Ltd are ¥−0.3000. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Xining Special Steel Co Ltd (600117)?
The dividend yield of Xining Special Steel Co Ltd is 2.0%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Xining Special Steel Co Ltd (600117)?
The net margin of Xining Special Steel Co Ltd is −16.7% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Xining Special Steel Co Ltd (600117)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Xining Special Steel Co Ltd is −21.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Xining Special Steel Co Ltd (600117)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Xining Special Steel Co Ltd is −5.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Xining Special Steel Co Ltd (600117)?
The operating margin of Xining Special Steel Co Ltd is −18.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Xining Special Steel Co Ltd (600117)?
Revenue at Xining Special Steel Co Ltd is growing −11.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg −8.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Xining Special Steel Co Ltd (600117)?
Earnings per share at Xining Special Steel Co Ltd are growing +406% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Xining Special Steel Co Ltd (600117) carry?
The net debt of Xining Special Steel Co Ltd is 927M CNY (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 32.4 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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