Cangzhou Dahua Co Ltd (600230) fair value: what the stock is really worth
We calculate from audited financials what Cangzhou Dahua Co Ltd is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily.
Structural break:
The valuation model sees a lasting decline in earnings power for this stock, the confidence band is broken. Treat the target with caution.
Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.
!Fair value ¥1.57 · Strongly overvalued (−89%)
!Quality 49/100
!Expensive Growth(revenue 5y +19.2 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 1.8% net margin (TTM)
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
·0.15% dividend yield
!Trails peers(2/13)
!Narrow moat30/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥8.87 – ¥26.52 · fair‑value band ¥0.9500 – ¥2.01 · the ¥13.70 price screens above the ¥1.57 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.
Cangzhou Dahua Co., Ltd. engaged in the production and sales of toluene diisocyanate, polycarbonate, and related products in China.
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Cangzhou Dahua Co., Ltd. engaged in the production and sales of toluene diisocyanate, polycarbonate, and related products in China. The company offers synthetic ammonia, urea, hydrochloric acid, modified isocyanatev, dinitrotoluene, o-toluenediamine, caustic soda, liquid chlorine, sulfuric acid , sodium hypochlorite, sodium sulfate, and hydrogen and nitric acid, as well as artificial leather. Cangzhou Dahua Co., Ltd. was founded in 1974 and is based in Cangzhou, China.
Stock analysis
Cangzhou Dahua Co Ltd (600230) currently trades at ¥13.70, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥1.57, implying the stock looks roughly 772.6% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of ¥12.98 per share, and 0 of the 17 models we run sit above the ¥13.70 price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at ¥0.4900, and 17 of the 17 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: ¥0.9500 (bear) to ¥2.01 (bull), the price of ¥13.70 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 49/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Cangzhou Dahua Co Ltd reported revenue of 4.6B CNY in FY2025 versus 3.0B CNY in FY2021, a compound +10.8%/yr. Reported net income was 30.9M CNY in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap 5.7B CNY (≈ $846M) · P/E ratio 72.1 · P/S ratio 0.49 · EPS (TTM) ¥0.1900 · Dividend yield 0.2% · Net margin 0.7% · Return on equity 2.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) 2.0%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 50% below its 52-week high and 38% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at −89%, 600230 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
The price assumes far more growth than our models allow for, so the models scatter widely (¥0.4900 to ¥13.55). Read the Fair Value as a cautious anchor, not a price target; the Growth Forecast section shows what the price assumes.
Bear ¥0.9500Fair Value ¥1.57Bull ¥2.01
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 8 months old). Earnings retained since then (¥0.1190 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.58/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+18.8%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+19.2%
Revenue growth 27 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+8.3%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−5.6%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−5.8%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.2%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−6% vs −22%, picking up
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.1% → 1%
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Agricultural Inputs · 176 stocks
Beats the industry median on 1/12 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score49 · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)2% · Below median
Return on assets1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)2% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)6% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth0% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM)0.2% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.02× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Agricultural Inputs median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)72.1× · Priciest 25%
P/B1.46× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM)1.28× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA9.8× · Pricier than median
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 23
FUTURE (revenue growth)0· sector 39
PAST (return on equity)8· sector 24
HEALTH (low debt)99· sector 97
DIVIDEND (yield)3· sector 40
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Cangzhou Dahua Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/600230
Frequently asked questions
Is Cangzhou Dahua Co Ltd (600230) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥1.57 versus a price of ¥13.70, about −89% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 600230?
Our model-based fair value for Cangzhou Dahua Co Ltd is ¥1.57 (as of Sep 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥13.70.
What is the quality score of 600230?
Cangzhou Dahua Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 49/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Cangzhou Dahua Co Ltd (600230)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥1.57 (as of Sep 13, 2026) from 17 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥0.9500, optimistic scenario ¥2.01. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Cangzhou Dahua Co Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥1.57, about −89% upside versus a price of ¥13.70 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥0.9500, optimistic scenario ¥2.01. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Cangzhou Dahua Co Ltd (600230)?
Cangzhou Dahua Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 4.6B CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 13, 2026).
Does Cangzhou Dahua Co Ltd pay a dividend?
Cangzhou Dahua Co Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.15% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 13, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Cangzhou Dahua Co Ltd (600230)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Cangzhou Dahua Co Ltd it is ¥1.57 per share (as of Sep 13, 2026), against a price of ¥13.70. It is the blended result of 17 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Cangzhou Dahua Co Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 13, 2026, 600230 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥13.70, fair value ¥1.57, a gap of about −89% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 600230?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥13.70); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥1.57). For Cangzhou Dahua Co Ltd the two are ¥12.13 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Cangzhou Dahua Co Ltd worth?
The market values Cangzhou Dahua Co Ltd at about 5.7B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Sep 13, 2026). Per share that is ¥13.70; our models calculate a fair value of ¥1.57 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 600230?
Our models span a range for Cangzhou Dahua Co Ltd: cautious scenario ¥0.9500, base ¥1.57, optimistic ¥2.01 per share (as of Sep 13, 2026, price ¥13.70). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 600230?
Cangzhou Dahua Co Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 72.1 (as of Sep 13, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ¥1.57 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.5, P/S 1.3, EV/EBITDA 9.8.
How solid is the balance sheet of Cangzhou Dahua Co Ltd (600230)?
Balance-sheet figures for Cangzhou Dahua Co Ltd (as of Sep 13, 2026): return on equity 2.0%, debt of 0.02 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 49/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 600230 from its 52-week high?
Cangzhou Dahua Co Ltd trades at ¥13.70, about 50% below its 52-week high of ¥27.24 and 38% above the low of ¥9.91 (as of Sep 13, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥1.57 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Cangzhou Dahua Co Ltd?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Corteva, Inc, Nutrien Ltd, Qinghai Salt Lake Industry Co, CF Industries Holdings, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Cangzhou Dahua Co Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 13, 2026: price ¥13.70, calculated fair value ¥1.57 (−89%), Quality Score 49/100, from 17 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 600230 calculated?
We run Cangzhou Dahua Co Ltd through 17 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ¥1.57, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.8 % above its aggregate fair value. Cangzhou Dahua Co Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What should I pay attention to with Cangzhou Dahua Co Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥2.01). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (49/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range (¥0.9500 to ¥2.01) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Cangzhou Dahua Co Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Cangzhou Dahua Co Ltd (600230)?
The market capitalisation of Cangzhou Dahua Co Ltd is 5.7B CNY (≈ $846M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Cangzhou Dahua Co Ltd (600230)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Cangzhou Dahua Co Ltd is 0.49 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Cangzhou Dahua Co Ltd (600230)?
Earnings per share at Cangzhou Dahua Co Ltd are ¥0.1900 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 72.1). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Cangzhou Dahua Co Ltd (600230)?
The dividend yield of Cangzhou Dahua Co Ltd is 0.2% (payout 11.1%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Cangzhou Dahua Co Ltd (600230)?
The net margin of Cangzhou Dahua Co Ltd is 0.7% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Cangzhou Dahua Co Ltd (600230)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Cangzhou Dahua Co Ltd is 2.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Cangzhou Dahua Co Ltd (600230)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Cangzhou Dahua Co Ltd is 2.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Cangzhou Dahua Co Ltd (600230)?
The operating margin of Cangzhou Dahua Co Ltd is 5.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Cangzhou Dahua Co Ltd (600230)?
Revenue at Cangzhou Dahua Co Ltd is growing −0.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg −2.4%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Cangzhou Dahua Co Ltd (600230)?
Earnings per share at Cangzhou Dahua Co Ltd are growing +613% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Cangzhou Dahua Co Ltd (600230) generate?
The free cash flow of Cangzhou Dahua Co Ltd is −63.7M CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Cangzhou Dahua Co Ltd (600230) hold?
Cangzhou Dahua Co Ltd holds more cash than debt, 72.8M CNY net (fiscal year 2024). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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