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Xi'an Typical Industries Co (600302) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · CN · Market cap 2.2B CNY

XA Xi'an Typical Industries Co 600302 · SHG
Price¥6.48
Fair Value¥0.9600
Upside-85.2%
Quality46/100
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Weak Growth
Loss-making · -49.2% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
Trails peers (3/10)
Narrow moat 12/100
Evidence: Low Range ¥0.6300 – ¥1.20 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 8, 2026

From 1 valuation models · updated 2 days ago

Share price −14.6% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 85% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥1.20). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (46/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • A fairly wide model range (¥0.6300 to ¥1.20) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥14.16 ¥3.12 Fair Value ¥0.9600 Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 8, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥3.12 – ¥14.16 · fair‑value band ¥0.6300 – ¥1.20 · the ¥6.48 price screens above the ¥0.9600 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 8, 2026.

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Analysis

Xi'an Typical Industries Co (600302) currently trades at ¥6.48, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥0.9600, implying the stock looks roughly 85.2% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 46/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).

Over the trailing twelve months, Xi'an Typical Industries Co generated revenue of 361M CNY at a net margin of -42.1%. Revenue declined 32.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -22.9%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 47.5M CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 8, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥0.6300 (bear case) to ¥1.20 (bull case); at ¥6.48, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 56% below its 52-week high and 11% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -48% fair-value upside, at -85%, 600302 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) ¥0.7200 ¥0.9600 ¥1.44 50
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥0.7200 ¥0.9600 ¥1.44 50

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 361M CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) -32.4%
Net margin -42.1%
Return on equity -22.9%
Free cash flow −32.5M CNY FY2025
Operating margin -29.7%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) ¥-0.4600
Net cash 47.5M CNY FY2024

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 8, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 46/100

Of which business quality 45 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 30

Profitability 6
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 39
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 0
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 79
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 36
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 28
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 26
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 81
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Xi'an Typical Industries Co.,Ltd engages in the research and development, production, and sale of industrial sewing machines. The company offers lockstitch, overlock, chainstitch, automatic sewing units, and heavy-duty sewing machines; garment and non-garment sewing machines; stand and table; and spare parts.

Full company description

Xi'an Typical Industries Co.,Ltd engages in the research and development, production, and sale of industrial sewing machines. The company offers lockstitch, overlock, chainstitch, automatic sewing units, and heavy-duty sewing machines; garment and non-garment sewing machines; stand and table; and spare parts. Its products are used in knitting, clothing, suitcases and boxes manufacturing. It also exports its products to China, rest of Asia, the United States, Europe, Africa, and internationally. Xi'an Typical Industries Co.,Ltd was founded in 1999 and is based in Xi'an, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Xi'an Typical Industries Co reported revenue of ¥337M in FY2025 versus ¥1.7B in FY2021, a compound −33.1%/yr. Reported net income was −¥144M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 0/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
337M CNY
Latest YoY
−24.4%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
−31.5%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
−23.1%
Avg. growth/yr (28Y)
+0.0%
Revenue −33.1%/yr
FY21 ¥1.7B
FY22 ¥1.1B
FY23 ¥507M
FY24 ¥446M
FY25 ¥337M
Net income
FY21 −¥94.7M
FY22 −¥114M
FY23 −¥196M
FY24 −¥153M
FY25 −¥144M

600302 screens 85% overvalued. Compare with GE Vernova Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Xi'an Typical Industries Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/600302

Peer Group

Specialty Industrial Machinery · 809 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 45 · Below median
Fair Value upside −85% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets -12% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) -49% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -17% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth -13% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.03× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Industrial Machinery median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.67× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 1.02× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 0 · sector 23
PAST 0 · sector 28
HEALTH 99 · sector 96
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 24

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Specialty Industrial Machinery stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 8, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
GE Vernova Inc 1GEV €887.60 €186.93 -79%
1SIE 1SIE €273.20 €91.93 -66%
SMNS SMNS C$31.76 C$22.68 -29%
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Sandvik AB SAND kr 384.10 kr 193.01 -50%
Doosan Enerbility Co 034020 76,400 KRW 7,938 KRW -90%
Vestas Wind Systems A/S VWS kr 178.10 kr 124.54 -30%
Zhejiang Sanhua Intelligent Controls Co 002050 ¥43.20 ¥22.68 -48%
NARI Technology Co 600406 ¥22.19 ¥18.71 -16%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Xi'an Typical Industries Co (600302) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 8, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥0.9600 versus a price of ¥6.48, about −85% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 600302?
Our model-based fair value for Xi'an Typical Industries Co is ¥0.9600 (as of Aug 8, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥6.48.
What is the quality score of 600302?
Xi'an Typical Industries Co has a Quality Score of 46/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Xi'an Typical Industries Co (600302)?
Xi'an Typical Industries Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 361M CNY (latest available figure, as of Aug 8, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 600302?
The net profit margin of Xi'an Typical Industries Co is about -42.1%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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