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Guangxi Wuzhou Communications Co (600368) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · CN · Market cap 6.3B CNY

GW Guangxi Wuzhou Communications Co 600368 · SHG
Price¥3.93
Fair Value¥5.72
Upside+45.6%
Quality49/100
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Weak Growth
Highly profitable · 42.4% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
3.54% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (8/13)
Moderate moat 61/100
Evidence: Medium Range ¥3.87 – ¥7.35 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 9, 2026

From 14 valuation models · updated yesterday

Share price +11.0% over the past month.

Below-average quality, screening 46% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • Solid quality (49/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • A fairly wide model range (¥3.87 to ¥7.35) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥5.74 ¥2.09 Fair Value ¥5.72 Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 9, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥2.09 – ¥5.74 · fair‑value band ¥3.87 – ¥7.35 · the ¥3.93 price screens below the ¥5.72 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 9, 2026.

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Analysis

Guangxi Wuzhou Communications Co (600368) currently trades at ¥3.93, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥5.72, implying the stock looks roughly 45.6% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 49/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Guangxi Wuzhou Communications Co generated revenue of 1.3B CNY at a net margin of 42.4%. Revenue declined 8.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 7.8%. Net debt stands at 2.7B CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 9, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥3.87 (bear case) to ¥7.35 (bull case); at ¥3.93, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 16% below its 52-week high and 6% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -28% fair-value upside, at 46%, 600368 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income ¥3.65 ¥3.87 ¥4.22 76
ROIC Compounder ¥1.27 ¥1.71 ¥2.10 72
Growth-Adj P/E ¥4.19 ¥5.98 ¥7.78 68
All 14 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥2.35 ¥9.65 ¥13.15 54
Lynch FV ¥2.43 ¥3.47 ¥4.51 50
PEG = 1.0 ¥2.43 ¥3.47 ¥4.51 46
EPV ¥1.27 ¥1.71 ¥2.10 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥5.45 ¥7.26 ¥9.08 63
P/S Multiple ¥1.25 ¥1.67 ¥2.09 58
P/B Multiple ¥4.41 ¥5.88 ¥7.35 55
EV/EBIT ¥3.27 ¥4.88 ¥6.48 53
EV/EBITDA ¥4.00 ¥5.85 ¥7.69 54
EV/Revenue ¥0.4100 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥2.24 ¥3.00 ¥4.48 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥3.65 ¥3.87 ¥4.22 76
ROIC Compounder ¥1.27 ¥1.71 ¥2.10 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥4.19 ¥5.98 ¥7.78 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (¥5.98) versus Economic Profit (¥1.71). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 1.3B CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) -8.4%
Net margin 42.4%
Return on equity 7.8%
Free cash flow −1.1B CNY FY2025
P/E ratio 10.8
More key figures
Operating margin 59.3%
EPS (TTM) ¥0.3500
Dividend yield 3.7%
EPS growth (YoY) +0.7%
Net debt 2.7B CNY FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 9, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 49/100

Of which business quality 47 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 50

Profitability 38
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 48
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 42
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 51
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 43
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 94
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 30
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 33
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 65
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Guangxi Wuzhou Communications Co., Ltd. operates toll roads in China. It is also involved in trade and logistics, asset management, as well as provision of logistics facilities and warehousing equipment. The company was founded in 1992 and is headquartered in Nanning, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Guangxi Wuzhou Communications Co reported revenue of ¥1.3B in FY2025 versus ¥1.8B in FY2021, a compound −7.4%/yr. Reported net income was ¥557M in FY2025, compounding −5.6%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 13/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
1.3B CNY
Latest YoY
−26.2%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
−7.3%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
−4.8%
Avg. growth/yr (28Y)
+12.0%
Revenue −7.4%/yr
FY21 ¥1.8B
FY22 ¥1.7B
FY23 ¥1.6B
FY24 ¥1.8B
FY25 ¥1.3B
Net income −5.6%/yr
FY21 ¥702M
FY22 ¥582M
FY23 ¥661M
FY24 ¥698M
FY25 ¥557M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Guangxi Wuzhou Communications Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/600368

Peer Group

Railroads · 111 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 49 · Below median
Fair Value upside +46% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 8% · Above median
Return on assets 3% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 42% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 59% · Top 25%
Revenue growth -8% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 3.5% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.43× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Railroads median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 11.2× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/B 0.88× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 4.81× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 10.0× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 94 · sector 28
FUTURE 0 · sector 20
PAST 31 · sector 31
HEALTH 79 · sector 88
DIVIDEND 71 · sector 41

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Railroads stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 9, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Union Pacific Corporation UNP $301.75 $144.60 -52%
CSX Corporation CSX $49.41 $12.85 -74%
Canadian Pacific Kansas City Limited CP $92.91 $35.00 -62%
Canadian National Railway Company CNI $128.22 $92.63 -28%
Norfolk Southern Corporation NSC $327.47 $117.90 -64%
Westinghouse Air Brake Technologies Corporation WAB $259.71 $144.80 -44%
Beijing-Shanghai High-Speed Railway Co 601816 ¥4.82 ¥5.65 +17%
CRRC Corporation 601766 ¥5.65 ¥9.53 +69%
Daqin Railway Co 601006 ¥4.85 ¥6.24 +29%
Hyundai Rotem Company 064350 167,700 KRW 125,182 KRW -25%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Guangxi Wuzhou Communications Co (600368) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 9, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥5.72 versus a price of ¥3.93, about +46% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 600368?
Our model-based fair value for Guangxi Wuzhou Communications Co is ¥5.72 (as of Aug 9, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥3.93.
What is the quality score of 600368?
Guangxi Wuzhou Communications Co has a Quality Score of 49/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Guangxi Wuzhou Communications Co (600368)?
Guangxi Wuzhou Communications Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.3B CNY (latest available figure, as of Aug 9, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 600368?
The net profit margin of Guangxi Wuzhou Communications Co is about 42.4%, meaning it keeps roughly 42.4% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Guangxi Wuzhou Communications Co pay a dividend?
Guangxi Wuzhou Communications Co currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.72% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 9, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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