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Haohua Chemical Science & Technology Corp (600378) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · CN · Market cap 73.7B CNY

HC Haohua Chemical Science & Technology Corp 600378 · SHG
Price¥48.26
Fair Value¥16.18
Upside-66.5%
Quality51/100
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Expensive Growth
Thin margins · 8.8% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
0.62% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (6/14)
Narrow moat 42/100
Evidence: High Range ¥12.14 – ¥20.22 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 11, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated 27 days ago

Share price −26.4% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 66% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥20.22). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (51/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥82.17 ¥18.71 Fair Value ¥16.18 Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 11, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥18.71 – ¥82.17 · fair‑value band ¥12.14 – ¥20.22 · the ¥48.26 price screens above the ¥16.18 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 11, 2026.

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Analysis

Haohua Chemical Science & Technology Corp (600378) currently trades at ¥48.26, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥16.18, implying the stock looks roughly 66.5% overvalued today. We read business quality at 51/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Haohua Chemical Science & Technology Corp generated revenue of 17.8B CNY at a net margin of 8.8%. Revenue grew 34.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 9.8%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 2.4B CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 11, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥12.14 (bear case) to ¥20.22 (bull case); at ¥48.26, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 24% below its 52-week high and 100% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -46% fair-value upside, at -66%, 600378 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF ¥7.35 ¥12.21 ¥20.17 80
Residual Income ¥11.74 ¥12.57 ¥14.17 76
Rev-Margin DCF ¥15.56 ¥29.02 ¥56.21 74
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ¥7.66 ¥10.67 ¥20.25 38
Owner Earnings ¥17.01 ¥35.62 ¥74.70 31
5Y Revenue Exit ¥14.54 ¥25.71 ¥49.29 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥21.82 ¥40.44 ¥77.09 41
5Y P/E Exit ¥16.54 ¥36.98 ¥65.36 38
10Y Revenue Exit ¥12.18 ¥29.21 ¥41.72 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ¥18.09 ¥44.89 ¥94.05 37
10Y P/E Exit ¥14.24 ¥33.52 ¥66.43 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥7.61 ¥53.10 ¥74.52 54
Lynch FV ¥24.42 ¥34.88 ¥45.34 50
PEG = 1.0 ¥24.42 ¥34.88 ¥45.34 46
EPV ¥14.85 ¥16.92 ¥18.74 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥16.80 ¥22.39 ¥27.99 63
P/S Multiple ¥14.28 ¥19.04 ¥23.79 58
P/B Multiple ¥14.28 ¥19.04 ¥23.79 55
EV/EBIT ¥22.00 ¥28.53 ¥35.06 53
EV/EBITDA ¥26.21 ¥34.13 ¥42.06 54
EV/Revenue ¥15.62 ¥21.28 ¥26.93 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥7.06 ¥9.46 ¥14.12 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥7.35 ¥12.21 ¥20.17 80
Rev-Margin DCF ¥15.56 ¥29.02 ¥56.21 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥11.74 ¥12.57 ¥14.17 76
ROIC Compounder ¥15.92 ¥21.47 ¥27.06 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥32.15 ¥45.93 ¥59.71 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (¥45.93) versus Asset-Based (¥9.46). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 17.8B CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) +34.0%
Net margin 8.8%
Return on equity 9.8%
Free cash flow 402M CNY FY2025
P/E ratio 46.8
More key figures
Operating margin 11.3%
EPS (TTM) ¥1.22
Dividend yield 0.6%
EPS growth (YoY) +66.6%
Net cash 2.4B CNY FY2024

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 11, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 51/100

Of which business quality 43 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 78

Profitability 35
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 67
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 32
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 87
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 20
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 49
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 96
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 81
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Haohua Chemical Science & Technology Corp., Ltd. engages in the research and development, production, and sales of manufactures and sells fluorine materials, electronic gases, high-end manufacturing chemical materials, and carbon emission reduction products in China and internationally.

Full company description

Haohua Chemical Science & Technology Corp., Ltd. engages in the research and development, production, and sales of manufactures and sells fluorine materials, electronic gases, high-end manufacturing chemical materials, and carbon emission reduction products in China and internationally. The company offers Grease, new fluorine rubber and fluorine compound rubber, tetrafluoropropanol, perfluoropropylene, tetrafluoroethylene monomer, etc., and engineering rubber products and rubber molded products, such as shield segment elastic rubber gaskets, water-swellable rubber seals, rubber seals for water supply and drainage pipes, and cement pipe jacking, etc. In addition, the company offers composite materials or pouring system materials for use in automobiles, construction, home furnishing, metallurgy, energy, electronic power, sports, clothing, printing, etc.; special coating products, including marine coatings, industrial heavy-duty anti-corrosion coatings, aircraft coatings, and other special functional materials; and carbon emission reduction technologies and services. The company was formerly known as Sichuan Tianyi Science & Technology Co., Ltd. and changed its name to Haohua Chemical Science & Technology Corp., Ltd. in June 2019. The company was founded in 1999 and is based in Chengdu, the People's Republic of China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Haohua Chemical Science & Technology Corp reported revenue of ¥16.7B in FY2025 versus ¥7.4B in FY2021, a compound +22.4%/yr. Reported net income was ¥1.4B in FY2025, compounding +12.8%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
16.7B CNY
Latest YoY
+19.5%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+22.6%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+25.2%
Avg. growth/yr (28Y)
+19.4%
Revenue +22.4%/yr
FY21 ¥7.4B
FY22 ¥9.1B
FY23 ¥14.5B
FY24 ¥14.0B
FY25 ¥16.7B
Net income +12.8%/yr
FY21 ¥891M
FY22 ¥1.2B
FY23 ¥1.2B
FY24 ¥1.1B
FY25 ¥1.4B

600378 screens 66% overvalued. Compare with BASF SE →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Haohua Chemical Science & Technology Corp Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/600378

Peer Group

Chemicals · 334 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 51 · Above median
Fair Value upside −67% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 10% · Above median
Return on assets 4% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 9% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 11% · Above median
Revenue growth 34% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.6% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.14× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Chemicals median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 46.8× · Pricier than median
P/B 4.05× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 4.15× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 27.2× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 22.7× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 100 · sector 19
PAST 39 · sector 19
HEALTH 93 · sector 93
DIVIDEND 12 · sector 27

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Chemicals stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 11, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
BASF SE BASN 1,034 MXN 532.13 MXN -49%
Ningxia Baofeng Energy Group 600989 ¥20.32 ¥20.17 -1%
Zhejiang Juhua Co 600160 ¥42.85 ¥23.35 -46%
PT Barito Pacific Tbk, BRPT 1,690 IDR 1,628 IDR -4%
LG Chem, Ltd 051910 260,500 KRW 587,755 KRW +126%
Formosa Chemicals & Fibre Corporation 1326 66.10 TWD 6.79 TWD -90%
PTT Global Chemical Public Company PTTGC 35.50 THB 18.21 THB -49%
542812 542812 ₹4,369 ₹791.05 -82%
Indorama Ventures Public Company IVL 24.50 THB 17.95 THB -27%
Navin Fluorine International Limited NAVINFLUOR ₹7,647 ₹2,200 -71%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Haohua Chemical Science & Technology Corp (600378) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 11, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥16.18 versus a price of ¥48.26, about −66% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 600378?
Our model-based fair value for Haohua Chemical Science & Technology Corp is ¥16.18 (as of Jul 11, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥48.26.
What is the quality score of 600378?
Haohua Chemical Science & Technology Corp has a Quality Score of 51/100. It combines two groups: business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength) and market factors (price momentum, distance to the 52-week high, volatility). Both subtotals are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Haohua Chemical Science & Technology Corp (600378)?
Haohua Chemical Science & Technology Corp reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 17.8B CNY (latest available figure, as of Jul 11, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 600378?
The net profit margin of Haohua Chemical Science & Technology Corp is about 8.8%, meaning it keeps roughly 8.8% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Haohua Chemical Science & Technology Corp pay a dividend?
Haohua Chemical Science & Technology Corp currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.62% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 11, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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