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Nantong Jiangshan Agrochemical & Chemicals Co (600389) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · CN · Market cap 8.7B CNY

NJ Nantong Jiangshan Agrochemical & Chemicals Co 600389 · SHG
Price¥20.65
Fair Value¥7.25
Upside-64.9%
Quality42/100
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Mixed Growth
Thin margins · 9.3% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
2.65% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (7/13)
Narrow moat 44/100
Evidence: Medium Range ¥6.64 – ¥9.42 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 8, 2026

From 16 valuation models · updated 2 days ago

Fair value updated Aug 8, 2026, revised from ¥7.52 to ¥7.25 (−3.6%) since Jul 11, 2026. Share price +10.0% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 65% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥9.42). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (42/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥44.78 ¥11.47 Fair Value ¥7.25 Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 8, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥11.47 – ¥44.78 · fair‑value band ¥6.64 – ¥9.42 · the ¥20.65 price screens above the ¥7.25 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 8, 2026.

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Analysis

Nantong Jiangshan Agrochemical & Chemicals Co (600389) currently trades at ¥20.65, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥7.25, implying the stock looks roughly 64.9% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 42/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, Nantong Jiangshan Agrochemical & Chemicals Co generated revenue of 6.0B CNY at a net margin of 9.3%. Revenue grew 11.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 12.9%. Net debt stands at 377M CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 8, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥6.64 (bear case) to ¥9.42 (bull case); at ¥20.65, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 38% below its 52-week high and 14% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -13% fair-value upside, at -65%, 600389 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income ¥6.74 ¥6.95 ¥6.96 76
ROIC Compounder ¥5.40 ¥6.24 ¥6.97 72
Gordon GGM ¥2.37 ¥4.73 ¥7.16 70
All 16 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥3.54 ¥12.79 ¥17.24 54
Lynch FV ¥3.03 ¥4.32 ¥5.62 50
PEG = 1.0 ¥3.03 ¥4.32 ¥5.62 46
EPV ¥5.40 ¥6.24 ¥6.97 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥2.37 ¥4.73 ¥7.16 70
DDM Multi-Stage ¥2.37 ¥4.09 ¥4.99 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥6.64 ¥8.86 ¥11.07 63
P/S Multiple ¥6.64 ¥8.86 ¥11.07 58
P/B Multiple ¥6.64 ¥8.86 ¥11.07 55
EV/EBIT ¥8.37 ¥11.15 ¥13.92 53
EV/EBITDA ¥9.88 ¥13.16 ¥16.44 54
EV/Revenue ¥7.26 ¥10.35 ¥13.45 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥4.32 ¥5.79 ¥8.63 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥6.74 ¥6.95 ¥6.96 76
ROIC Compounder ¥5.40 ¥6.24 ¥6.97 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥5.07 ¥7.25 ¥9.42 68

Widest divergence: Multiples (¥8.86) versus Dividend Discount (¥4.09). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 6.0B CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) +11.4%
Net margin 9.3%
Return on equity 12.9%
Free cash flow −908M CNY FY2024
P/E ratio 18.0
More key figures
Operating margin 9.4%
EPS (TTM) ¥1.30
Dividend yield 2.4%
EPS growth (YoY) +16.7%
Net debt 377M CNY FY2024

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 8, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 42/100

Of which business quality 44 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 30

Profitability 30
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 34
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 26
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 69
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 14
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 65
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 10
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 24
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 86
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Nantong Jiangshan Agrochemical & Chemicals Co.,Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the research, development, production, and sale of pesticide products in China and internationally.

Full company description

Nantong Jiangshan Agrochemical & Chemicals Co.,Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the research, development, production, and sale of pesticide products in China and internationally. The company offers herbicides, including glyphosate, alachlor, acetochlor, butachlor, butachlor+propanil, quizalofop-p-ethyl, and metolachlor; insecticides, such as isopropylamine, chlorothiazide, dichlorvos, trichlorphon, diazinon, nitenpyram, and imidaclothiz; and fungicides comprising prochloraz and prochloraz manganese complex. It also provides chemical intermediates, which include chloral, phosphorous acid and trichloride, trimethyl and dimethyl phosphites, PMIDA, paraformaldehyde, chloromethane, phosphorus trichloride, phosphorus oxychloride, trichloroacetaldehyde, and methyl chloride; and new materials, such as microporous insulating board, nanometer aluminum oxide, flame retardants, water treatment agents, and nanomaterials. In addition, the company offers chlor-alkali; cogeneration steam; basic chemical products comprising caustic soda, chlorine, hydrogen, high-purity hydrochloric acid, and drinking water grade sodium hypochlorite; and other technical products and preparations, including water emulsifiable concentrate, water emulsion, water-soluble granules, and water-dispersible granules. It exports its products to approximately 40 countries and regions in Asia, Europe, America, and Africa. The company was founded in 1990 and is based in Nantong, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2020 – FY2024 · reported fiscal years

Nantong Jiangshan Agrochemical & Chemicals Co reported revenue of ¥5.4B in FY2024 versus ¥5.1B in FY2020, a compound +1.5%/yr. Reported net income was ¥224M in FY2024, compounding −9.5%/yr from FY2020.

Growth Quality 22/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2024)
5.4B CNY
Latest YoY
+6.8%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
−5.7%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+2.6%
Avg. growth/yr (27Y)
+10.1%
Revenue +1.5%/yr
FY20 ¥5.1B
FY21 ¥6.5B
FY22 ¥8.3B
FY23 ¥5.1B
FY24 ¥5.4B
Net income −9.5%/yr
FY20 ¥335M
FY21 ¥816M
FY22 ¥1.8B
FY23 ¥283M
FY24 ¥224M

600389 screens 65% overvalued. Compare with Corteva, Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Nantong Jiangshan Agrochemical & Chemicals Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/600389

Peer Group

Agricultural Inputs · 179 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 42 · Below median
Fair Value upside −65% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 13% · Above median
Return on assets 3% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 9% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 9% · Above median
Revenue growth 11% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.7% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.30× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Agricultural Inputs median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 15.6× · Cheaper than median
P/B 2.35× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 1.45× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 12.4× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 22
FUTURE 57 · sector 37
PAST 52 · sector 24
HEALTH 85 · sector 97
DIVIDEND 53 · sector 33

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Agricultural Inputs stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 8, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Corteva, Inc CTVA $86.07 $27.81 -68%
Nutrien Ltd NTR C$94.23 C$81.69 -13%
Qinghai Salt Lake Industry Co 000792 ¥24.93 ¥21.26 -15%
CF Industries Holdings CF $119.19 $161.00 +35%
SABIC Agri-Nutrients Company 2020 122.90 SAR 127.31 SAR +4%
Yara International ASA YAR kr 451.30 kr 67.25 -85%
Yunnan Yuntianhua Co 600096 ¥30.17 ¥42.12 +40%
Asia-potash International Investment (Guangzhou)Co.,Ltd., 000893 ¥42.59 ¥38.01 -11%
Coromandel International Limited COROMANDEL ₹2,034 ₹1,129 -44%
UPL Limited UPL ₹594.75 ₹387.06 -35%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Nantong Jiangshan Agrochemical & Chemicals Co (600389) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 8, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥7.25 versus a price of ¥20.65, about −65% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 600389?
Our model-based fair value for Nantong Jiangshan Agrochemical & Chemicals Co is ¥7.25 (as of Aug 8, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥20.65.
What is the quality score of 600389?
Nantong Jiangshan Agrochemical & Chemicals Co has a Quality Score of 42/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Nantong Jiangshan Agrochemical & Chemicals Co (600389)?
Nantong Jiangshan Agrochemical & Chemicals Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 6.0B CNY (latest available figure, as of Aug 8, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 600389?
The net profit margin of Nantong Jiangshan Agrochemical & Chemicals Co is about 9.3%, meaning it keeps roughly 9.3% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Nantong Jiangshan Agrochemical & Chemicals Co pay a dividend?
Nantong Jiangshan Agrochemical & Chemicals Co currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.38% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 8, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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