Fushun Special Steel Co Ltd (600399) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Fushun Special Steel Co Ltd ¥3.28, price ¥4.31, upside -23.9%, quality 35 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥3.80 – ¥27.47 · fair‑value band ¥2.46 – ¥4.90 · the ¥4.31 price screens above the ¥3.28 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Fushun Special Steel Co.,LTD., together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells steel products in China and internationally. The company provides alloy structural steel, tool and die steel, stainless steel, and high-temperature alloys; and bearing steel, titanium alloy, high strength steel, and superalloy products.
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Fushun Special Steel Co.,LTD., together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells steel products in China and internationally. The company provides alloy structural steel, tool and die steel, stainless steel, and high-temperature alloys; and bearing steel, titanium alloy, high strength steel, and superalloy products. It also provides dining and accommodation; and property services. Its products are used in aviation, aerospace, weapons, nuclear power, petroleum and petrochemical, transportation, engineering machinery, medical, and other industries. Fushun Special Steel Co.,LTD. was founded in 1937 and is based in Fushun City, China.
Stock analysis
Fushun Special Steel Co Ltd (600399) currently trades at ¥4.31, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥3.28, implying the stock looks roughly 31.4% overvalued today.
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Valuation
How firm this estimate is: it rests on 2 models at a data quality of 95/100, which puts the evidence level at low.
Scenario range: ¥2.46 (bear) to ¥4.90 (bull), the price of ¥4.31 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 35/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Fushun Special Steel Co Ltd reported revenue of 7.8B CNY in FY2025 versus 7.4B CNY in FY2021, a compound +1.2%/yr. Reported net income was −805M CNY in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap 8.5B CNY (≈ $1.3B) · P/S ratio 1.07 · EPS (TTM) ¥−0.4200 · Dividend yield 1.3% · Net margin −10.3% · Return on equity −14.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) 2.4% · Operating margin −7.2%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 26 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 45% below its 52-week high and 13% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −45% fair-value upside, at −24%, 600399 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear ¥2.46Fair Value ¥3.28Bull ¥4.90
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.15/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
−8.3%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−0.1%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.4%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +5.5% a year
Revenue growth 28 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.7%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
9.4% (2020) → −6.8% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
Compare Fushun Special Steel Co Ltd with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Steel · 411 stocks
Beats the industry median on 3/10 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score36 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−25% · Below median
Profitability
Return on assets−4% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM)−10% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)−7% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth8% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM)1.3% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.29× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Steel median · lower = cheaper
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Fushun Special Steel Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/600399
Frequently asked questions
Is Fushun Special Steel Co Ltd (600399) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥3.28 versus a price of ¥4.31, about −24% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 600399?
Our model-based fair value for Fushun Special Steel Co Ltd is ¥3.28 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥4.31.
What is the quality score of 600399?
Fushun Special Steel Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 35/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Fushun Special Steel Co Ltd (600399)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥3.28 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥2.46, optimistic scenario ¥4.90. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Fushun Special Steel Co Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥3.28, about −24% upside versus a price of ¥4.31 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥2.46, optimistic scenario ¥4.90. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Fushun Special Steel Co Ltd (600399)?
Fushun Special Steel Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 7.9B CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Fushun Special Steel Co Ltd pay a dividend?
Fushun Special Steel Co Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.31% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Fushun Special Steel Co Ltd (600399)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Fushun Special Steel Co Ltd it is ¥3.28 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of ¥4.31. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Fushun Special Steel Co Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 600399 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥4.31, fair value ¥3.28, a gap of about −24% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 600399?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥4.31); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥3.28). For Fushun Special Steel Co Ltd the two are ¥1.03 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Fushun Special Steel Co Ltd worth?
The market values Fushun Special Steel Co Ltd at about 8.5B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is ¥4.31; our models calculate a fair value of ¥3.28 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 600399?
Our models span a range for Fushun Special Steel Co Ltd: cautious scenario ¥2.46, base ¥3.28, optimistic ¥4.90 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price ¥4.31). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Fushun Special Steel Co Ltd (600399)?
Balance-sheet figures for Fushun Special Steel Co Ltd (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity −14.3%, debt of 0.29 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 35/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 600399 from its 52-week high?
Fushun Special Steel Co Ltd trades at ¥4.31, about 45% below its 52-week high of ¥7.84 and 13% above the low of ¥3.80 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥3.28 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Fushun Special Steel Co Ltd?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Nucor Corporation, Steel Dynamics, Inc, JSW Steel Limited, Tata Steel Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Fushun Special Steel Co Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price ¥4.31, calculated fair value ¥3.28 (−24%), Quality Score 35/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 600399 calculated?
We run Fushun Special Steel Co Ltd through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ¥3.28, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Fushun Special Steel Co Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Fushun Special Steel Co Ltd (600399)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was ¥4.31. Our model-based fair value is ¥3.28, about −24% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Fushun Special Steel Co Ltd right now?
Weak quality (35/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. A fairly wide model range (¥2.46 to ¥4.90) leaves room in how you read the outcome. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Where does the earnings growth of Fushun Special Steel Co Ltd (600399) come from?
Earnings per share at Fushun Special Steel Co Ltd grew +4.9 % a year from 2013 to 2024. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share −0.1 %, EBIT margin +1.1 %, tax rate +0.9 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +3.0 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Fushun Special Steel Co Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Fushun Special Steel Co Ltd (600399)?
The market capitalisation of Fushun Special Steel Co Ltd is 8.5B CNY (≈ $1.3B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Fushun Special Steel Co Ltd (600399)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Fushun Special Steel Co Ltd is 1.07 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Fushun Special Steel Co Ltd (600399)?
Earnings per share at Fushun Special Steel Co Ltd are ¥−0.4200. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Fushun Special Steel Co Ltd (600399)?
The dividend yield of Fushun Special Steel Co Ltd is 1.3%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Fushun Special Steel Co Ltd (600399)?
The net margin of Fushun Special Steel Co Ltd is −10.3% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Fushun Special Steel Co Ltd (600399)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Fushun Special Steel Co Ltd is −14.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Fushun Special Steel Co Ltd (600399)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Fushun Special Steel Co Ltd is 2.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Fushun Special Steel Co Ltd (600399)?
The operating margin of Fushun Special Steel Co Ltd is −7.2% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Fushun Special Steel Co Ltd (600399)?
Revenue at Fushun Special Steel Co Ltd is growing +8.2% versus a year earlier (3y avg −0.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Fushun Special Steel Co Ltd (600399)?
Earnings per share at Fushun Special Steel Co Ltd are growing −29.9% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Fushun Special Steel Co Ltd (600399) generate?
The free cash flow of Fushun Special Steel Co Ltd is −1.7B CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Fushun Special Steel Co Ltd (600399) carry?
The net debt of Fushun Special Steel Co Ltd is 1.9B CNY (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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