COSCO SHIPPING Specialized Carriers Co (600428) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · CN · Market cap 32.8B CNY
Fair value as of: Aug 9, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated yesterday
Share price +45.7% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 66% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥5.07). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (47/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 9, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥3.53 – ¥12.00 · fair‑value band ¥3.04 – ¥5.07 · the ¥11.95 price screens above the ¥4.05 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 9, 2026.
Analysis
COSCO SHIPPING Specialized Carriers Co (600428) currently trades at ¥11.95, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥4.05, implying the stock looks roughly 66.1% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 47/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, COSCO SHIPPING Specialized Carriers Co generated revenue of 24.6B CNY at a net margin of 7.5%. Revenue grew 26.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 13.7%. Net debt stands at 11.6B CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 9, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥3.04 (bear case) to ¥5.07 (bull case); at ¥11.95, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 94% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 67% fair-value upside, at -66%, 600428 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥30.04) versus Asset-Based (¥4.12). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 9, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 50 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 86
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
COSCO SHIPPING Specialized Carriers Co.,Ltd. operates as a shipping company. It operates and manages approximately 100 vessels, including multi-purpose and heavy lift vessels, semi-submersible vessels, pure car carriers, logs carriers, and asphalt carriers.
Full company description
COSCO SHIPPING Specialized Carriers Co.,Ltd. operates as a shipping company. It operates and manages approximately 100 vessels, including multi-purpose and heavy lift vessels, semi-submersible vessels, pure car carriers, logs carriers, and asphalt carriers. The company also transports cargoes, such as RIGs, engineering vessels, port machinery, locomotives, windmills, bridge cranes, equipment, etc. In addition, it provides liner shipping services on various trade routes, including the Far East-Southeast Asia/India, Far East-Mediterranean Sea/Europe, Far East-Persian Gulf/Red Sea, Far East-Africa, Far East-America, and Far East-Australia. Further, it offers pulp, boats, locomotive, wind power, and offshore shipping solutions; tubular sail and heavy lift ship transportation case. COSCO SHIPPING Specialized Carriers Co.,Ltd. was formerly known as Guangzhou Ocean Shipping Co., Ltd. The company was founded in 1961 and is headquartered in Guangzhou, China. COSCO SHIPPING Specialized Carriers Co.,Ltd. operates as a subsidiary of China Ocean Shipping Company Limited.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
COSCO SHIPPING Specialized Carriers Co reported revenue of ¥23.2B in FY2025 versus ¥8.8B in FY2021, a compound +27.6%/yr. Reported net income was ¥1.8B in FY2025, compounding +56.0%/yr from FY2021.
600428 screens 66% overvalued. Compare with Adani Ports and Special Economic Zone Limited →
Peer Group
Marine Shipping · 231 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Marine Shipping median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Marine Shipping stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 9, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Adani Ports and Special Economic Zone Limited ADANIPORTS | ₹1,828 | ₹1,041 | -43% |
| A.P. Møller - Mærsk A/S MAERSKA | kr 16,520 | kr 3,033 | -82% |
| Shanghai International Port (Group) Co 600018 | ¥5.17 | ¥6.57 | +27% |
| HMM Co 011200 | 20,050 KRW | 33,855 KRW | +69% |
| Ningbo Zhoushan Port Company 601018 | ¥3.35 | ¥5.58 | +67% |
| Qingdao Port International Co 601298 | ¥8.88 | ¥15.97 | +80% |
| JSW Infrastructure Limited JSWINFRA | ₹330.05 | ₹126.31 | -62% |
| Wan Hai Lines Ltd 2615 | 80.70 TWD | 212.79 TWD | +164% |
| Wallenius Wilhelmsen ASA WAWI | kr 137.70 | kr 50.56 | -63% |
| Yang Ming Marine Transport Corporation 2609 | 50.10 TWD | 96.14 TWD | +92% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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