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Shanghai Dazhong Public Utilities(Group) Co (600635) Fair Value & Analysis

Utilities · CN · Market cap 13.9B CNY

SD Shanghai Dazhong Public Utilities(Group) Co 600635 · SHG
Price¥4.71
Fair Value¥2.39
Upside-49.3%
Quality48/100
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Mixed Growth
Thin margins · 4.5% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
1.04% dividend yield
Trails peers (1/14)
Narrow moat 31/100
Evidence: Medium Range ¥1.55 – ¥2.99 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 9, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated yesterday

Share price +11.7% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 49% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥2.99). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (48/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • A fairly wide model range (¥1.55 to ¥2.99) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥8.18 ¥2.51 Fair Value ¥2.39 Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 9, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥2.51 – ¥8.18 · fair‑value band ¥1.55 – ¥2.99 · the ¥4.71 price screens above the ¥2.39 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 9, 2026.

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Analysis

Shanghai Dazhong Public Utilities(Group) Co (600635) currently trades at ¥4.71, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥2.39, implying the stock looks roughly 49.3% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 48/100 (below-average quality), in the Utilities sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, Shanghai Dazhong Public Utilities(Group) Co generated revenue of 6.1B CNY at a net margin of 4.5%. Revenue grew 0.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 3.5%. Net debt stands at 2.6B CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 9, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥1.55 (bear case) to ¥2.99 (bull case); at ¥4.71, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 44% below its 52-week high and 26% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at -19% fair-value upside, at -49%, 600635 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF ¥1.43 ¥2.43 ¥4.07 80
Residual Income ¥2.31 ¥2.35 ¥2.23 76
Rev-Margin DCF ¥1.03 ¥1.69 ¥2.52 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ¥1.43 ¥2.48 ¥4.22 38
Owner Earnings ¥0.2900 ¥0.5300 ¥0.9300 31
5Y Revenue Exit ¥1.03 ¥1.70 ¥2.57 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥1.51 ¥2.65 ¥4.05 41
5Y P/E Exit ¥1.59 ¥2.82 ¥4.18 38
10Y Revenue Exit ¥1.12 ¥1.79 ¥2.74 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ¥1.47 ¥2.48 ¥3.94 37
10Y P/E Exit ¥1.52 ¥2.59 ¥4.04 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥0.9600 ¥3.90 ¥5.30 54
Lynch FV ¥0.9800 ¥1.39 ¥1.81 50
PEG = 1.0 ¥0.9800 ¥1.39 ¥1.81 46
EPV ¥0.5600 ¥0.6600 ¥0.7500 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥0.9600 ¥1.99 ¥3.16 70
DDM Multi-Stage ¥0.9600 ¥1.68 ¥2.09 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥1.90 ¥2.53 ¥3.16 63
P/S Multiple ¥1.79 ¥2.39 ¥2.99 58
P/B Multiple ¥1.79 ¥2.39 ¥2.99 55
EV/EBIT ¥1.07 ¥1.45 ¥1.82 53
EV/EBITDA ¥1.71 ¥2.30 ¥2.89 54
EV/Revenue ¥0.8600 ¥1.25 ¥1.64 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥1.51 ¥2.02 ¥3.01 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥1.43 ¥2.43 ¥4.07 80
Rev-Margin DCF ¥1.03 ¥1.69 ¥2.52 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥2.31 ¥2.35 ¥2.23 76
ROIC Compounder ¥0.5600 ¥0.6600 ¥0.7500 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥1.55 ¥2.22 ¥2.88 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥2.48) versus Economic Profit (¥0.6600). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 6.1B CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) +0.4%
Net margin 4.5%
Return on equity 3.5%
Free cash flow 354M CNY FY2025
P/E ratio 53.6
More key figures
Operating margin 8.9%
EPS (TTM) ¥0.0900
Dividend yield 1.1%
EPS growth (YoY) -73.8%
Net debt 2.6B CNY FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 9, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 48/100

Of which business quality 46 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 36

Profitability 22
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 42
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 50
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 34
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 77
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 59
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 24
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 31
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 75
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Shanghai Dazhong Public Utilities(Group) Co.,Ltd., an investment holding company, engages in pipeline gas supply and sewage treatment activities in the People's Republic of China. It operates through Gas and Energy, Wastewater Treatment, Public Infrastructure Projects, Investments, Transportation Services, and Financial Services segments.

Full company description

Shanghai Dazhong Public Utilities(Group) Co.,Ltd., an investment holding company, engages in pipeline gas supply and sewage treatment activities in the People's Republic of China. It operates through Gas and Energy, Wastewater Treatment, Public Infrastructure Projects, Investments, Transportation Services, and Financial Services segments. The company is involved in the city gas business, which includes sale of gas and provision of gas installation engineering services; environmental and municipal works comprising investment, construction and operation of domestic sewage, and industrial sewage treatment plants; and urban transportation business, which provides integrated transportation support services, such as taxi, car rental, road passenger transport, and tour coach chartering. It also provides non-banking financial services, including financial leasing, factoring business, and asset management services; and venture capital investment. Shanghai Dazhong Public Utilities(Group) Co.,Ltd. was founded in 1991 and is based in Shanghai, China

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Shanghai Dazhong Public Utilities(Group) Co reported revenue of ¥6.1B in FY2025 versus ¥5.5B in FY2021, a compound +2.5%/yr. Reported net income was ¥415M in FY2025, compounding +8.2%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 57/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
6.1B CNY
Latest YoY
−3.5%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+1.5%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+4.5%
Avg. growth/yr (32Y)
+17.6%
Revenue +2.5%/yr
FY21 ¥5.5B
FY22 ¥5.9B
FY23 ¥6.4B
FY24 ¥6.3B
FY25 ¥6.1B
Net income +8.2%/yr
FY21 ¥303M
FY22 −¥333M
FY23 ¥213M
FY24 ¥233M
FY25 ¥415M

600635 screens 49% overvalued. Compare with Naturgy Energy Group →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Shanghai Dazhong Public Utilities(Group) Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/600635

Peer Group

Utilities - Regulated Gas · 104 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 48 · Below median
Fair Value upside −49% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 4% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets 0% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) 4% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 9% · Below median
Revenue growth 0% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.0% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.35× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Utilities - Regulated Gas median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 52.3× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 1.56× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 2.29× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 5.8× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 25.5× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 22
FUTURE 2 · sector 0
PAST 14 · sector 34
HEALTH 82 · sector 85
DIVIDEND 21 · sector 67

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Utilities - Regulated Gas stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 9, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Naturgy Energy Group NTGY €28.84 €35.80 +24%
Atmos Energy Corporation ATO $177.68 $85.67 -52%
NiSource Inc NI $47.07 $28.59 -39%
Uniper SE UN0 €42.80 €49.13 +15%
The Hong Kong and China Gas Company 0003 HK$7.03 HK$5.08 -28%
Italgas S.p.A IG €9.98 €8.11 -19%
GAIL (India) Limited GAIL ₹171.71 ₹147.74 -14%
Adani Total Gas Limited ATGL ₹723.90 ₹101.36 -86%
ENN Natural Gas Co 600803 ¥17.30 ¥25.71 +49%
UGI Corporation UGI $35.84 $27.13 -24%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Shanghai Dazhong Public Utilities(Group) Co (600635) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 9, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥2.39 versus a price of ¥4.71, about −49% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 600635?
Our model-based fair value for Shanghai Dazhong Public Utilities(Group) Co is ¥2.39 (as of Aug 9, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥4.71.
What is the quality score of 600635?
Shanghai Dazhong Public Utilities(Group) Co has a Quality Score of 48/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Shanghai Dazhong Public Utilities(Group) Co (600635)?
Shanghai Dazhong Public Utilities(Group) Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 6.1B CNY (latest available figure, as of Aug 9, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 600635?
The net profit margin of Shanghai Dazhong Public Utilities(Group) Co is about 4.5%, meaning it keeps roughly 4.5% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Shanghai Dazhong Public Utilities(Group) Co pay a dividend?
Shanghai Dazhong Public Utilities(Group) Co currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.05% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 9, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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