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Jiangsu Phoenix Property Investment Company (600716) Fair Value & Analysis

Real Estate · CN · Market cap 3.2B CNY

JP Jiangsu Phoenix Property Investment Company 600716 · SHG
Price¥3.44
Fair Value¥1.73
Upside-49.7%
Quality54/100
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Weak Growth
Loss-making · -87.5% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Trails peers (4/12)
Narrow moat 7/100
Evidence: Medium Range ¥0.8600 – ¥2.59 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 9, 2026

From 9 valuation models · updated yesterday

Share price +3.0% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 50% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥2.59). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • The model range is unusually wide (¥0.8600 to ¥2.59). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (54/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥6.21 ¥2.48 Fair Value ¥1.73 Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 9, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥2.48 – ¥6.21 · fair‑value band ¥0.8600 – ¥2.59 · the ¥3.44 price screens above the ¥1.73 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 9, 2026.

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Analysis

Jiangsu Phoenix Property Investment Company (600716) currently trades at ¥3.44, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥1.73, implying the stock looks roughly 49.7% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 54/100 (solid quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, Jiangsu Phoenix Property Investment Company generated revenue of 476M CNY at a net margin of -87.5%. Revenue declined 28.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -8.8%. Net debt stands at 1.1B CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 9, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥0.8600 (bear case) to ¥2.59 (bull case); at ¥3.44, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 30% below its 52-week high and 1% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at -2% fair-value upside, at -50%, 600716 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF ¥2.70 ¥3.38 ¥4.57 80
Rev-Margin DCF ¥2.47 ¥3.36 ¥4.49 74
Gordon GGM ¥0.4400 ¥0.5100 ¥0.5900 70
All 9 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ¥2.62 ¥3.32 ¥4.66 38
5Y Revenue Exit ¥2.47 ¥3.31 ¥4.57 39
10Y Revenue Exit ¥2.46 ¥3.16 ¥3.94 36
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥0.4400 ¥0.5100 ¥0.5900 70
DDM Multi-Stage ¥0.4400 ¥0.5700 ¥0.7300 61
Multiples
EV/Revenue ¥2.53 ¥3.39 ¥4.26 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥2.43 ¥3.26 ¥4.86 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥2.70 ¥3.38 ¥4.57 80
Rev-Margin DCF ¥2.47 ¥3.36 ¥4.49 74

Widest divergence: Multiples (¥3.39) versus Dividend Discount (¥0.5100). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 476M CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) -28.9%
Net margin -87.5%
Return on equity -8.8%
Free cash flow 207M CNY FY2025
Operating margin -6.5%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) ¥-0.4500
EPS growth (YoY) -49.7%
Net debt 1.1B CNY FY2024

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 9, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 54/100

Of which business quality 59 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 35

Profitability 0
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 10
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 100
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 73
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 72
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 17
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 23
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Jiangsu Phoenix Property Investment Company Limited engages in the real estate development business in China. The company focuses in commercial and residential housing sales businesses in China. It engages in real estate investment, industrial investment, house leasing, and property management activities.

Full company description

Jiangsu Phoenix Property Investment Company Limited engages in the real estate development business in China. The company focuses in commercial and residential housing sales businesses in China. It engages in real estate investment, industrial investment, house leasing, and property management activities. The company was formerly known as Qinhuangdao Yaohua Glass Co., Ltd. Jiangsu Phoenix Property Investment Company Limited was founded in 1996 and is based in Nanjing, China. Jiangsu Phoenix Property Investment Company Limited is a subsidiary of Jiangsu Phoenix Publishing & Media Group Limited.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Jiangsu Phoenix Property Investment Company reported revenue of ¥523M in FY2025 versus ¥441M in FY2021, a compound +4.4%/yr. Reported net income was −¥387M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 23/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
523M CNY
Latest YoY
−38.1%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
−4.8%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
−10.2%
Avg. growth/yr (32Y)
+0.0%
Revenue +4.4%/yr
FY21 ¥441M
FY22 ¥608M
FY23 ¥647M
FY24 ¥845M
FY25 ¥523M
Net income
FY21 ¥35.3M
FY22 −¥391M
FY23 ¥7.7M
FY24 −¥179M
FY25 −¥387M

600716 screens 50% overvalued. Compare with Vingroup Joint Stock Company →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Jiangsu Phoenix Property Investment Company Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/600716

Peer Group

Real Estate Services · 521 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 56 · Above median
Fair Value upside −50% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets -3% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) -87% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -6% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth -29% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.02× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Real Estate Services median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.10× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 1.00× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 2.3× · Pricier than median
PEG 2.60× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 37
FUTURE 0 · sector 10
PAST 0 · sector 16
HEALTH 99 · sector 85
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 49

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Real Estate Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 9, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Vingroup Joint Stock Company VIC 223,000 VND 25,731 VND -88%
KE Holdings 2423 HK$44.76 HK$18.03 -60%
Swire Properties Limited 1972 HK$23.90 HK$18.75 -22%
Plaza S.A MALLPLAZA 3,725 CLP 5,571 CLP +50%
SAGAA SAGAA kr 170.00 kr 75.55 -56%
Cencosud Shopping S.A CENCOMALLS 2,324 CLP 2,976 CLP +28%
PT Sarana Menara Nusantara Tbk. owns and TOWR 372.00 IDR 1,208 IDR +225%
PT Metropolitan Kentjana Tbk MKPI 20,975 IDR 19,160 IDR -9%
PT Bangun Kosambi Sukses Tbk, CBDK 3,530 IDR 3,464 IDR -2%
IRSA Inversiones y Representaciones Sociedad Anónima, IRSA 2,495 ARS 3,998 ARS +60%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Jiangsu Phoenix Property Investment Company (600716) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 9, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥1.73 versus a price of ¥3.44, about −50% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 600716?
Our model-based fair value for Jiangsu Phoenix Property Investment Company is ¥1.73 (as of Aug 9, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥3.44.
What is the quality score of 600716?
Jiangsu Phoenix Property Investment Company has a Quality Score of 54/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Jiangsu Phoenix Property Investment Company (600716)?
Jiangsu Phoenix Property Investment Company reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 476M CNY (latest available figure, as of Aug 9, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 600716?
The net profit margin of Jiangsu Phoenix Property Investment Company is about -87.5%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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