Tibet Tourism Co Ltd (600749) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · CN · Market cap 3.3B CNY
Structural break: The valuation model sees a lasting decline in earnings power for this stock, the confidence band is broken. Treat the target with caution.
Strengths
Risks
Fair value as of: Aug 21, 2026
From 23 valuation models · updated 4 days ago
Fair value updated Aug 21, 2026, revised from ¥1.74 to ¥1.65 (−5.2%) since Aug 13, 2026. Share price +7.8% over the past month.
A solid business, but trading 755% above our fair value.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥2.06). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (53/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 21, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥8.51 – ¥29.49 · fair‑value band ¥1.46 – ¥2.06 · the ¥14.12 price screens above the ¥1.65 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 21, 2026.
Analysis
Tibet Tourism Co Ltd (600749) currently trades at ¥14.12, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥1.65, implying the stock looks roughly 88.3% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 53/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Tibet Tourism Co Ltd generated revenue of 186M CNY at a net margin of 6.7%. Revenue declined 4.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 1.3%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 256M CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 21, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥1.46 (bear case) to ¥2.06 (bull case); at ¥14.12, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 56% below its 52-week high and 25% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -62% fair-value upside, at -88%, 600749 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 23 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥3.24) versus Dividend Discount (¥0.3400). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 21, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 55 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 29
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Tibet Tourism Co.,Ltd engages in the tourism, attractions, services, and commerce business in China. The company engages in the operation of tourist scenic spots, which includes tourism reception, short-distance transportation, content experience, and commercial leasing; and tourism service business comprising exhibition services, tourism product sales, …
Full company description
Tibet Tourism Co.,Ltd engages in the tourism, attractions, services, and commerce business in China. The company engages in the operation of tourist scenic spots, which includes tourism reception, short-distance transportation, content experience, and commercial leasing; and tourism service business comprising exhibition services, tourism product sales, online travel platforms, and domestic and international tourism services. It also offers supporting commercial services for scenic spots, including property management, commercial event planning, and cooperative development of government-enterprise commercial projects, etc. In addition, the company is involved in the asset leasing, labor service export, and other businesses, as well as recuperation services. Tibet Tourism Co.,Ltd was founded in 1996 and is headquartered in Lhasa, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Tibet Tourism Co Ltd reported revenue of ¥187M in FY2025 versus ¥174M in FY2021, a compound +1.9%/yr. Reported net income was ¥23.3M in FY2025.
600749 screens 88% overvalued. Compare with Marriott International, Inc →
Peer Group
Lodging · 171 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Lodging median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Lodging stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 21, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Marriott International, Inc MAR | $354.58 | $132.35 | -63% |
| Hilton Worldwide Holdings HLT | $322.53 | $122.02 | -62% |
| InterContinental Hotels Group IHG | $161.82 | $85.18 | -47% |
| Hyatt Hotels Corporation H | $178.37 | $46.78 | -74% |
| Accor SA AC | €46.34 | €36.87 | -20% |
| H World Group HTHT | $41.25 | $47.78 | +16% |
| The Indian Hotels Company INDHOTEL | ₹723.35 | ₹253.67 | -65% |
| Wyndham Hotels & Resorts, Inc WH | $74.02 | $23.55 | -68% |
| Hanjin Kal, 180640 | 118,200 KRW | 36,890 KRW | -69% |
| Choice Hotels International, Inc CHH | $105.54 | $61.72 | -42% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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