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Ningbo Marine Co Ltd (600798) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Ningbo Marine Co Ltd ¥5.47, price ¥3.35, upside +63.3%, quality 62 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? Yes
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Industrials · CN · ISIN CNE000000PD8

NM Thin data Sep 24, 2026

Ningbo Marine Co Ltd

600798 · SHG

Clearly undervaluedQuality growthStrong Fair Value upside, but quality is only moderate.

✓Fair value ¥5.47 · Strongly undervalued (+63%)
!Quality 62/100
!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +3.4 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 2.2% net margin (TTM)
✓Low debt · generates free cash flow
·0.60% dividend yield
!Mixed vs. peers (8/14)
!Narrow moat 18/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on past: 7 out of 100
!Weak on dividend: 12 out of 100

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

¥5.97 ¥2.52 Fair Value ¥5.47 Apr 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥2.52 – ¥5.97 · the ¥3.35 price screens below the ¥5.47 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

Ningbo Marine Company Limited, a shipping company, provides marine transportation services in China and internationally. It operates in two segments, Shipping and Transportation; Highway Operation.

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Ningbo Marine Company Limited, a shipping company, provides marine transportation services in China and internationally. It operates in two segments, Shipping and Transportation; Highway Operation. The company involved in the general cargo transportation; repair and construction of ships and their auxiliary engines; maritime cargo transshipment and intermodal transport; warehousing and cargo collection; interior and exterior decoration; wholesale and retail of ship accessories and daily necessities domestic labor cooperation; house leasing of the unit; property management; industrial investment. It also engages in the operation of toll road. Ningbo Marine Company Limited was founded in 1997 and is based in Ningbo, China. Ningbo Marine Company Limited is a subsidiary of Zhejiang Provincial Energy Group Company Ltd.

Stock analysis

Ningbo Marine Co Ltd (600798) currently trades at ¥3.35, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥5.47, implying the stock looks roughly 38.8% undervalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of ¥4.09 per share, and 8 of the 26 models we run sit above the ¥3.35 price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at ¥2.20, and 18 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 62/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

Ningbo Marine Co Ltd reported revenue of 2.7B CNY in FY2025 versus 2.3B CNY in FY2021, a compound +3.6%/yr. Reported net income was 27.4M CNY in FY2025, compounding −45.7%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap 4.0B CNY (≈ $603M) · P/E ratio 67.0 · P/S ratio 0.68 · EPS (TTM) ¥0.0500 · Dividend yield 0.6% · Net margin 1.0% · Return on equity 1.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) 3.4%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 28 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 28% below its 52-week high and 11% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 61% fair-value upside, at 63%, 600798 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear ¥5.47 Fair Value ¥5.47 Bull ¥5.47
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (¥0.0219 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF ¥4.98 ¥7.57 ¥11.26 80
Growth DCF ¥4.96 ¥7.35 ¥10.59 78
Owner Earnings ¥3.51 ¥5.31 ¥7.87 76
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ¥4.98 ¥7.57 ¥11.26 80
Owner Earnings ¥3.51 ¥5.31 ¥7.87 76
5Y Revenue Exit ¥2.31 ¥2.84 ¥3.41 74
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥4.53 ¥7.17 ¥10.31 75
5Y P/E Exit ¥2.24 ¥2.70 ¥3.14 72
10Y Revenue Exit ¥3.32 ¥4.09 ¥4.99 68
10Y EBITDA Exit ¥4.65 ¥6.90 ¥10.01 68
10Y P/E Exit ¥3.29 ¥4.00 ¥4.79 65
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥0.1500 ¥0.5900 ¥0.8000 64
Lynch FV ¥0.1400 ¥0.2000 ¥0.2700 61
PEG = 1.0 ¥0.1400 ¥0.2000 ¥0.2700 57
EPV ¥0.4400 ¥0.4700 ¥0.5000 74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥0.3100 ¥0.5500 ¥0.7600 68
DDM Multi-Stage ¥0.3100 ¥0.5100 ¥0.5900 67
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥0.3600 ¥0.4800 ¥0.6000 63
P/S Multiple ¥0.2900 ¥0.3900 ¥0.4800 58
P/B Multiple ¥0.2900 ¥0.3900 ¥0.4800 55
EV/EBIT ¥0.8300 ¥1.05 ¥1.26 66
EV/EBITDA ¥4.71 ¥6.22 ¥7.72 67
EV/Revenue ¥0.6500 ¥0.8500 ¥1.04 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥1.64 ¥2.20 ¥3.28 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥4.96 ¥7.35 ¥10.59 78
Rev-Margin DCF ¥2.31 ¥2.93 ¥3.70 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥2.10 ¥1.94 ¥1.25 76
ROIC Compounder ¥0.4400 ¥0.4700 ¥0.5000 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥0.2600 ¥0.3700 ¥0.4800 67

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 62/100

Of which business quality 63 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 41

Profitability 17
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 45
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 88
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 67
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 93
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 72
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 32
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 19
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 83
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 65/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+11.1%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+9.2%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+3.4%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +9.9% a year
Revenue growth 32 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+11.7%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−29.7%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−30.3%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.6%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−30% vs 3%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.15% → 2%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)

Growth Forecast

Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−7.1%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (China: IMF forecast 1.7% a year to 2030, 1.4% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −8.6% a year for the price.

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Marine Shipping · 236 stocks

Beats the industry median on 8/14 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 62 · Above median
Fair Value upside +63% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 2% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets 1% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) 2% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) −2% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 57% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.6% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.12× · Below median

Valuation Multiplesvs Marine Shipping median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 67.0× · Priciest 25%
P/B 1.02× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 1.38× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 1.1× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 6.8× · Cheaper than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)100 · sector 36
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 23
PAST (return on equity)7 · sector 30
HEALTH (low debt)94 · sector 89
DIVIDEND (yield)12 · sector 53

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Marine Shipping stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Adani Ports and Special Economic Zone Limited ADANIPORTS ₹1,807 ₹1,041 −42%
COSCO SHIPPING Holdings 601919 ¥16.36 ¥40.37 +147%
Hapag-Lloyd Aktiengesellschaft, HLAG €136.10 €88.00 −35%
Shanghai International Port (Group) Co 600018 ¥5.36 ¥6.41 +20%
Evergreen Marine Corporation 2603 243.00 TWD 582.03 TWD +140%
HMM Co 011200 20,800 KRW 33,795 KRW +62%
SITC International Holdings 1308 HK$48.22 HK$65.24 +35%
Ningbo Zhoushan Port Company 601018 ¥3.40 ¥5.58 +64%
MISC Berhad 3816 7.77 MYR 6.31 MYR −19%
Qingdao Port International Co 601298 ¥9.69 ¥15.59 +61%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Ningbo Marine Co Ltd (600798) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥5.47 versus a price of ¥3.35, about +63% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 600798?
Our model-based fair value for Ningbo Marine Co Ltd is ¥5.47 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥3.35.
What is the quality score of 600798?
Ningbo Marine Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 62/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Ningbo Marine Co Ltd (600798)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥5.47 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 26 valuation models. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Ningbo Marine Co Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥5.47, about +63% upside versus a price of ¥3.35 (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Ningbo Marine Co Ltd (600798)?
Ningbo Marine Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 2.9B CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Ningbo Marine Co Ltd pay a dividend?
Ningbo Marine Co Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.60% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Ningbo Marine Co Ltd (600798)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Ningbo Marine Co Ltd would have to grow free cash flow by -7.1 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.4 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +3.4 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 600798 use?
Our models discount Ningbo Marine Co Ltd at 10.4 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 0.42, country premium for China. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Ningbo Marine Co Ltd that is -7.1 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (10.4 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Ningbo Marine Co Ltd (600798) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Ningbo Marine Co Ltd grew +3.4 % a year. The price currently implies -7.1 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Ningbo Marine Co Ltd (600798) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +4.7 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Ningbo Marine Co Ltd (-7.1 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Ningbo Marine Co Ltd (600798)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 13.96 %: that much free cash flow Ningbo Marine Co Ltd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.4 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Ningbo Marine Co Ltd (600798)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Ningbo Marine Co Ltd it is ¥5.47 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of ¥3.35. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Ningbo Marine Co Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 600798 trades below its calculated fair value: price ¥3.35, fair value ¥5.47, a gap of about +63% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 600798?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥3.35); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥5.47). For Ningbo Marine Co Ltd the two are ¥2.12 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Ningbo Marine Co Ltd worth?
The market values Ningbo Marine Co Ltd at about 4.0B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is ¥3.35; our models calculate a fair value of ¥5.47 per share.
What is the P/E ratio of 600798?
Ningbo Marine Co Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 67.0 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ¥5.47 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.0, P/S 1.4, EV/EBITDA 6.8.
How solid is the balance sheet of Ningbo Marine Co Ltd (600798)?
Balance-sheet figures for Ningbo Marine Co Ltd (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 1.7%, debt of 0.12 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 62/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 600798 from its 52-week high?
Ningbo Marine Co Ltd trades at ¥3.35, about 28% below its 52-week high of ¥4.64 and 11% above the low of ¥3.02 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥5.47 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Ningbo Marine Co Ltd?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Adani Ports and Special Economic Zone Limited, COSCO SHIPPING Holdings, Hapag-Lloyd Aktiengesellschaft,, Shanghai International Port (Group) Co, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Ningbo Marine Co Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price ¥3.35, calculated fair value ¥5.47 (+63%), Quality Score 62/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 600798 calculated?
We run Ningbo Marine Co Ltd through 26 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ¥5.47, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Ningbo Marine Co Ltd currently trades 63 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Ningbo Marine Co Ltd (600798)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was ¥3.35. Our model-based fair value is ¥5.47, about +63% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Ningbo Marine Co Ltd right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case (¥5.47). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid quality (62/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.

Key figures of Ningbo Marine Co Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Ningbo Marine Co Ltd (600798)?
The market capitalisation of Ningbo Marine Co Ltd is 4.0B CNY (≈ $603M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Ningbo Marine Co Ltd (600798)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Ningbo Marine Co Ltd is 0.68 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Ningbo Marine Co Ltd (600798)?
Earnings per share at Ningbo Marine Co Ltd are ¥0.0500 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 67.0). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Ningbo Marine Co Ltd (600798)?
The dividend yield of Ningbo Marine Co Ltd is 0.6% (payout 40.0%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Ningbo Marine Co Ltd (600798)?
The net margin of Ningbo Marine Co Ltd is 1.0% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Ningbo Marine Co Ltd (600798)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Ningbo Marine Co Ltd is 1.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Ningbo Marine Co Ltd (600798)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Ningbo Marine Co Ltd is 3.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Ningbo Marine Co Ltd (600798)?
The operating margin of Ningbo Marine Co Ltd is −2.2% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Ningbo Marine Co Ltd (600798)?
Revenue at Ningbo Marine Co Ltd is growing +57.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg +9.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Ningbo Marine Co Ltd (600798)?
Earnings per share at Ningbo Marine Co Ltd are growing +98.0% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Ningbo Marine Co Ltd (600798) carry?
The net debt of Ningbo Marine Co Ltd is 309M CNY (fiscal year 2024, ≈ 0.5 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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