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Ningbo Marine Company (600798) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · CN · Market cap 3.9B CNY

NM Ningbo Marine Company 600798 · SHG
Price¥3.21
Fair Value¥1.12
Upside-65.1%
Quality62/100
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Healthy Growth
Thin margins · 2.2% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
0.62% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (7/14)
Narrow moat 18/100
Evidence: Medium Range ¥0.7608 – ¥1.27 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 9, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated yesterday

Fair value updated Aug 9, 2026, revised from ¥0.5600 to ¥1.12 (+100.0%) since Jul 11, 2026. Share price +5.9% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 65% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥1.27). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (62/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥5.97 ¥2.52 Fair Value ¥1.12 Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 9, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥2.52 – ¥5.97 · fair‑value band ¥0.7608 – ¥1.27 · the ¥3.21 price screens above the ¥1.12 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 9, 2026.

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Analysis

Ningbo Marine Company (600798) currently trades at ¥3.21, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥1.12, implying the stock looks roughly 65.1% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 62/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, Ningbo Marine Company generated revenue of 2.9B CNY at a net margin of 2.2%. Revenue grew 57.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 1.7%. Net debt stands at 309M CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 9, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥0.7608 (bear case) to ¥1.27 (bull case); at ¥3.21, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 38% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 67% fair-value upside, at -65%, 600798 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF ¥5.56 ¥8.78 ¥13.68 80
Residual Income ¥2.20 ¥2.05 ¥1.42 76
Rev-Margin DCF ¥2.35 ¥2.99 ¥3.79 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ¥5.55 ¥8.92 ¥14.19 38
Owner Earnings ¥3.86 ¥6.17 ¥9.77 31
5Y Revenue Exit ¥2.35 ¥2.90 ¥3.50 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥4.72 ¥7.53 ¥10.89 41
5Y P/E Exit ¥2.27 ¥2.75 ¥3.21 38
10Y Revenue Exit ¥3.45 ¥4.28 ¥5.27 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ¥4.96 ¥7.50 ¥11.02 37
10Y P/E Exit ¥3.41 ¥4.18 ¥5.04 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥0.1500 ¥0.5900 ¥0.8000 54
Lynch FV ¥0.1400 ¥0.2000 ¥0.2700 50
PEG = 1.0 ¥0.1400 ¥0.2000 ¥0.2700 46
EPV ¥0.4700 ¥0.5100 ¥0.5500 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥0.3500 ¥0.6900 ¥1.05 70
DDM Multi-Stage ¥0.3500 ¥0.6000 ¥0.7300 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥0.3600 ¥0.4800 ¥0.6000 63
P/S Multiple ¥0.2900 ¥0.3900 ¥0.4800 58
P/B Multiple ¥0.2900 ¥0.3900 ¥0.4800 55
EV/EBIT ¥0.8300 ¥1.05 ¥1.26 53
EV/EBITDA ¥4.71 ¥6.22 ¥7.72 54
EV/Revenue ¥0.6500 ¥0.8500 ¥1.04 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥1.64 ¥2.20 ¥3.28 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥5.56 ¥8.78 ¥13.68 80
Rev-Margin DCF ¥2.35 ¥2.99 ¥3.79 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥2.20 ¥2.05 ¥1.42 76
ROIC Compounder ¥0.4700 ¥0.5100 ¥0.5500 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥0.2600 ¥0.3700 ¥0.4800 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥4.28) versus Earnings-Based (¥0.2000). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 2.9B CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) +57.3%
Net margin 2.2%
Return on equity 1.7%
Free cash flow 564M CNY FY2025
P/E ratio 71.4
More key figures
Operating margin -2.2%
EPS (TTM) ¥0.0500
Dividend yield 0.6%
EPS growth (YoY) +98.0%
Net debt 309M CNY FY2024

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 9, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 62/100

Of which business quality 63 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 31

Profitability 17
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 45
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 88
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 67
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 93
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 73
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 16
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 9
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 83
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Ningbo Marine Company Limited, a shipping company, provides marine transportation services in China and internationally. It operates in two segments, Shipping and Transportation; Highway Operation.

Full company description

Ningbo Marine Company Limited, a shipping company, provides marine transportation services in China and internationally. It operates in two segments, Shipping and Transportation; Highway Operation. The company involved in the general cargo transportation; repair and construction of ships and their auxiliary engines; maritime cargo transshipment and intermodal transport; warehousing and cargo collection; interior and exterior decoration; wholesale and retail of ship accessories and daily necessities domestic labor cooperation; house leasing of the unit; property management; industrial investment. It also engages in the operation of toll road. Ningbo Marine Company Limited was founded in 1997 and is based in Ningbo, China. Ningbo Marine Company Limited is a subsidiary of Zhejiang Provincial Energy Group Company Ltd.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Ningbo Marine Company reported revenue of ¥2.7B in FY2025 versus ¥2.3B in FY2021, a compound +3.6%/yr. Reported net income was ¥27.4M in FY2025, compounding −45.7%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 65/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
2.7B CNY
Latest YoY
+11.1%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+9.2%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+3.4%
Avg. growth/yr (32Y)
+11.7%
Revenue +3.6%/yr
FY21 ¥2.3B
FY22 ¥2.1B
FY23 ¥2.3B
FY24 ¥2.4B
FY25 ¥2.7B
Net income −45.7%/yr
FY21 ¥315M
FY22 ¥114M
FY23 ¥112M
FY24 ¥22.1M
FY25 ¥27.4M

600798 screens 65% overvalued. Compare with Adani Ports and Special Economic Zone Limited →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Ningbo Marine Company Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/600798

Peer Group

Marine Shipping · 231 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 62 · Above median
Fair Value upside −65% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 2% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets 1% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) 2% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) -2% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth 57% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.6% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.12× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Marine Shipping median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 64.2× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 0.98× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 1.32× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 1.0× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 6.5× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 29
FUTURE 100 · sector 18
PAST 7 · sector 27
HEALTH 94 · sector 88
DIVIDEND 12 · sector 47

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Marine Shipping stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 9, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Adani Ports and Special Economic Zone Limited ADANIPORTS ₹1,828 ₹1,041 -43%
A.P. Møller - Mærsk A/S MAERSKA kr 16,520 kr 3,033 -82%
COSCO SHIPPING Holdings 601919 ¥13.98 ¥40.37 +189%
Shanghai International Port (Group) Co 600018 ¥5.17 ¥6.57 +27%
HMM Co 011200 20,050 KRW 33,855 KRW +69%
Ningbo Zhoushan Port Company 601018 ¥3.35 ¥5.58 +67%
Qingdao Port International Co 601298 ¥8.88 ¥15.97 +80%
JSW Infrastructure Limited JSWINFRA ₹330.05 ₹126.31 -62%
Wan Hai Lines Ltd 2615 80.70 TWD 212.79 TWD +164%
Wallenius Wilhelmsen ASA WAWI kr 137.70 kr 50.56 -63%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Ningbo Marine Company (600798) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 9, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥1.12 versus a price of ¥3.21, about −65% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 600798?
Our model-based fair value for Ningbo Marine Company is ¥1.12 (as of Aug 9, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥3.21.
What is the quality score of 600798?
Ningbo Marine Company has a Quality Score of 62/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Ningbo Marine Company (600798)?
Ningbo Marine Company reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 2.9B CNY (latest available figure, as of Aug 9, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 600798?
The net profit margin of Ningbo Marine Company is about 2.2%, meaning it keeps roughly 2.2% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Ningbo Marine Company pay a dividend?
Ningbo Marine Company currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.60% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 9, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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