Shanghai Haixin Group (600851) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · CN · Market cap 10.1B CNY
Fair value as of: Aug 9, 2026
From 11 valuation models · updated yesterday
Fair value updated Aug 9, 2026, revised from ¥2.48 to ¥1.74 (−29.8%) since Jul 25, 2026. Share price +1.1% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 79% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥2.53). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (52/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- A fairly wide model range (¥1.32 to ¥2.53) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 9, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥4.47 – ¥10.72 · fair‑value band ¥1.32 – ¥2.53 · the ¥8.37 price screens above the ¥1.74 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 9, 2026.
Analysis
Shanghai Haixin Group (600851) currently trades at ¥8.37, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥1.74, implying the stock looks roughly 79.2% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 52/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Shanghai Haixin Group generated revenue of 705M CNY at a net margin of 24.4%. Revenue declined 25.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 4.1%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 464M CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 9, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥1.32 (bear case) to ¥2.53 (bull case); at ¥8.37, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 9% below its 52-week high and 33% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -14% fair-value upside, at -79%, 600851 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 11 models by family
Widest divergence: Economic Profit (¥2.84) versus Growth DCF (¥0.2600). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 9, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 51 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 53
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Shanghai Haixin Group Co., Ltd. engages in the manufacture and sale of pharmaceutical products in China and internationally.
Full company description
Shanghai Haixin Group Co., Ltd. engages in the manufacture and sale of pharmaceutical products in China and internationally. It is also involved in leasing of park properties, financial investment and commodity trading, as well as production and sales of chemical drugs through its sales platform or local distributors; and research and development, production, and sales of plush fabrics and clothing. The company was founded in 1986 and is headquartered in Shanghai, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Shanghai Haixin Group reported revenue of ¥758M in FY2025 versus ¥1.5B in FY2021, a compound −15.9%/yr. Reported net income was ¥176M in FY2025, compounding +7.4%/yr from FY2021.
600851 screens 79% overvalued. Compare with CITIC Limited →
Peer Group
Conglomerates · 370 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Conglomerates median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Conglomerates stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 9, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| CITIC Limited 0267 | HK$11.28 | HK$22.56 | +100% |
| SK Inc 034730 | 580,000 KRW | 497,919 KRW | -14% |
| PT Astra International Tbk, ASII | 4,810 IDR | 9,620 IDR | +100% |
| The Siam Cement Public Company SCC | 254.00 THB | 199.40 THB | -21% |
| SRF Limited SRF | ₹2,875 | ₹1,053 | -63% |
| Empresas Copec S.A COPEC | 6,330 CLP | 10,879 CLP | +72% |
| Posco International Corporation 047050 | 50,900 KRW | 61,248 KRW | +20% |
| Tube Investments of India Limited TIINDIA | ₹2,940 | ₹559.30 | -81% |
| Doosan Corporation 000155 | 464,000 KRW | 75,620 KRW | -84% |
| Thermax Limited THERMAX | ₹4,809 | ₹1,087 | -77% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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