Wangfujing (600859) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Wangfujing ¥8.88, price ¥9.84, upside -9.8%, quality 52 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥9.18 – ¥33.09 · fair‑value band ¥8.43 – ¥11.03 · the ¥9.84 price screens above the ¥8.88 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Wangfujing Group Co., Ltd. engages in retailing business in China. It operates department stores, shopping centers, outlets, supermarkets, etc. The company is also involved in the property leasing, duty free goods self-operated, and e-commerce business. Wangfujing Group Co., Ltd. was founded in 1993 and is based in Beijing, China.
Stock analysis
Wangfujing (600859) currently trades at ¥9.84, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥8.88, implying the stock looks roughly 10.8% fairly valued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of ¥21.17 per share, and 12 of the 16 models we run sit above the ¥9.84 price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at ¥1.54, and 4 of the 16 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: ¥8.43 (bear) to ¥11.03 (bull), the price of ¥9.84 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 52/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Wangfujing reported revenue of 10.1B CNY in FY2025 versus 12.8B CNY in FY2021, a compound −5.5%/yr. Reported net income was −39.9M CNY in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap 11.1B CNY (≈ $1.7B) · P/S ratio 1.14 · EPS (TTM) ¥−0.0400 · Dividend yield 1.1% · Net margin −0.4% · Return on equity 0.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) 2.5% · Operating margin 7.1%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 28 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 40% below its 52-week high and 7% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 1% fair-value upside, at −10%, 600859 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear ¥8.43Fair Value ¥8.88Bull ¥11.03
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.23/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−10.7%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−2.0%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−2.5%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −5.2% a year
Revenue growth 32 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+7.1%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
5.4% (2020) → 6.1% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
less than -40 %
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Department Stores · 116 stocks
Beats the industry median on 5/13 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score52 · Below median
Fair Value upside−10% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)0% · Below median
Return on assets1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)0% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)7% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−6% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM)1.1% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.02× · Lowest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Department Stores median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Wangfujing Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/600859
Frequently asked questions
Is Wangfujing (600859) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥8.88 versus a price of ¥9.84, about −10% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of 600859?
Our model-based fair value for Wangfujing is ¥8.88 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥9.84.
What is the quality score of 600859?
Wangfujing has a Quality Score of 52/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Wangfujing (600859)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥8.88 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 16 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥8.43, optimistic scenario ¥11.03. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Wangfujing stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥8.88, about −10% upside versus a price of ¥9.84 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario ¥8.43, optimistic scenario ¥11.03. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Wangfujing (600859)?
Wangfujing reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 10.0B CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Wangfujing pay a dividend?
Wangfujing currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.06% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Wangfujing (600859)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Wangfujing would have to grow free cash flow by less than minus 40 % per year for five years (discount rate 8.8 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew -2.5 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 600859 use?
Our models discount Wangfujing at 8.8 %: a base by market capitalisation (large), damped by beta 0.54, country premium for China. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Wangfujing that is less than minus 40 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (8.8 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Wangfujing (600859) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Wangfujing grew -2.5 % a year. The price currently implies less than minus 40 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Wangfujing (600859) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +2.5 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Wangfujing (less than minus 40 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Wangfujing (600859)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 12.58 %: that much free cash flow Wangfujing produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (8.8 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Wangfujing (600859)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Wangfujing it is ¥8.88 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of ¥9.84. It is the blended result of 16 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Wangfujing stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 600859 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥9.84, fair value ¥8.88, a gap of about −10% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 600859?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥9.84); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥8.88). For Wangfujing the two are ¥0.9600 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Wangfujing worth?
The market values Wangfujing at about 11.1B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is ¥9.84; our models calculate a fair value of ¥8.88 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 600859?
Our models span a range for Wangfujing: cautious scenario ¥8.43, base ¥8.88, optimistic ¥11.03 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price ¥9.84). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the PEG ratio of 600859?
The PEG ratio of Wangfujing is 0.88 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 24, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.
How solid is the balance sheet of Wangfujing (600859)?
Balance-sheet figures for Wangfujing (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 0.0%, debt of 0.02 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 52/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 600859 from its 52-week high?
Wangfujing trades at ¥9.84, about 40% below its 52-week high of ¥16.42 and 7% above the low of ¥9.18 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥8.88 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Wangfujing?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Falabella S.A, Dillard's, Inc, 99 Speed Mart Retail Holdings, Cencosud S.A, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Wangfujing stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price ¥9.84, calculated fair value ¥8.88 (−10%), Quality Score 52/100, from 16 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 600859 calculated?
We run Wangfujing through 16 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ¥8.88, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Wangfujing itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Wangfujing (600859)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was ¥9.84. Our model-based fair value is ¥8.88, about −10% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Wangfujing right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. The price sits in the upper half of our model range, so the margin of safety is thin. Read the verdict with care: some models are missing inputs, so the estimate scatters more than usual.
Where does the earnings growth of Wangfujing (600859) come from?
Earnings per share at Wangfujing grew −12.1 % a year from 2013 to 2024. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share −11.6 %, EBIT margin +2.7 %, tax rate −3.9 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +0.8 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Wangfujing
How large is the market capitalisation of Wangfujing (600859)?
The market capitalisation of Wangfujing is 11.1B CNY (≈ $1.7B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Wangfujing (600859)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Wangfujing is 1.14 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Wangfujing (600859)?
Earnings per share at Wangfujing are ¥−0.0400. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Wangfujing (600859)?
The dividend yield of Wangfujing is 1.1%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Wangfujing (600859)?
The net margin of Wangfujing is −0.4% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Wangfujing (600859)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Wangfujing is 0.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Wangfujing (600859)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Wangfujing is 2.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Wangfujing (600859)?
The operating margin of Wangfujing is 7.1% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Wangfujing (600859)?
Revenue at Wangfujing is growing −5.9% versus a year earlier (3y avg −2.0%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Wangfujing (600859)?
Earnings per share at Wangfujing are growing −13.2% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Wangfujing (600859) carry?
The net debt of Wangfujing is 1.4B CNY (fiscal year 2024, ≈ 1.0 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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