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First Tractor Company (601038) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · CN · Market cap 13.5B CNY

Price¥11.15
Fair Value¥18.35
Upside+64.6%
Quality87/100
Evidence: Medium Range ¥13.30 – ¥23.58

Analysis

First Tractor Company (601038) currently trades at ¥11.15, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥18.35 — implying the stock looks roughly 64.6% undervalued today. We read business quality at 87/100 (high quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium) — always confirm before acting.

About the company

First Tractor Company Limited, engages in the production, manufacture, and sale of agricultural machinery and power machinery. It offers medium and large-sized wheeled and crawler tractors; transmission series tractors; power shuttle series tractors; shift series tractors; autonomous tractors; and hybrid power tractors. The company also provides off-road diesel engines, such as tractors and harvesters, engineering machinery, ships, generator sets, and others; and component products, such as castings and forgings, gear transmission components, covers, offroad axles, transmissions, and cabs/coverings of agricultural machinery products. First Tractor Company Limited was founded in 1955 and is based in Luoyang, China.

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How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.