Gansu Guofang Industry & Trade (Group) Co (601086) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · CN · Market cap 4.8B CNY

Analysis

Gansu Guofang Industry & Trade (Group) Co (601086) currently trades at ¥7.02, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥2.32 — implying the stock looks roughly 67.0% overvalued today. We read business quality at 95/100 (high quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

About the company

Gansu Guofang Industry & Trade (Group) Co., Ltd. engages in the chain retail business in China. The company operates department stores under the Dongfanghong Plaza Store, Baiyin World Trade Center Store, Ningxia Shopping Plaza Store, Zhangye Shopping Plaza Store, Xining Guofang Department Store, Guofang G99 Shopping Center, and Jinchang Guofang Department Store; supermarkets under the Zongchao Plaza Store, Zongchao Xihuayuan Store, Zongchao Qilihe Store, and Zongchao Store Gaolan store names; and electrical appliance stores under the Guofang Electric Appliances brand. It also provides property leasing services. The company was founded in 1996 and is headquartered in Lanzhou, China.

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How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.