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Jiangsu Changshu Rural Commercial Bank Co (601128) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · CN · Market cap 22.3B CNY

JC Jiangsu Changshu Rural Commercial Bank Co 601128 · SHG
Price¥6.12
Fair Value¥12.24
Upside+100.0%
Quality55/100
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Weak Growth
Highly profitable · 45.3% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
3.96% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (12/13)
Wide moat 66/100
Evidence: High Range ¥9.18 – ¥15.29 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 9, 2026

From 6 valuation models · updated yesterday

Fair value updated Aug 9, 2026, revised from ¥12.42 to ¥12.24 (−1.4%) since Jul 25, 2026. Share price +0.5% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 100% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (¥9.18). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • Solid quality (55/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥7.91 ¥4.39 Fair Value ¥12.24 Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 9, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥4.39 – ¥7.91 · fair‑value band ¥9.18 – ¥15.29 · the ¥6.12 price screens below the ¥12.24 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 9, 2026.

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Analysis

Jiangsu Changshu Rural Commercial Bank Co (601128) currently trades at ¥6.12, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥12.24, implying the stock looks roughly 100.0% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 55/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Jiangsu Changshu Rural Commercial Bank Co generated revenue of 9.6B CNY at a net margin of 45.3%. Revenue grew 6.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 13.8%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 8.7B CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 9, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥9.18 (bear case) to ¥15.29 (bull case); at ¥6.12, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 23% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at 42% fair-value upside, at 100%, 601128 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income ¥8.27 ¥10.32 ¥24.43 76
Gordon GGM ¥3.25 ¥6.76 ¥10.73 70
P/E Multiple ¥11.28 ¥15.04 ¥18.79 63
All 6 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥3.25 ¥6.76 ¥10.73 70
DDM Multi-Stage ¥3.25 ¥5.70 ¥7.10 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥11.28 ¥15.04 ¥18.79 63
P/B Multiple ¥9.03 ¥12.04 ¥15.05 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥4.30 ¥5.76 ¥8.60 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥8.27 ¥10.32 ¥24.43 76

Widest divergence: Multiples (¥12.04) versus Dividend Discount (¥5.70). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 9.6B CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) +6.6%
Net margin 45.3%
Return on equity 13.8%
Free cash flow 17.9B CNY FY2025
P/E ratio 6.4
More key figures
Operating margin 59.7%
EPS (TTM) ¥0.9500
Dividend yield 4.0%
EPS growth (YoY) +11.5%
Net cash 8.7B CNY FY2024

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 9, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 55/100

Of which business quality 56 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 41

Profitability 37
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 58
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 100
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 32
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 58
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 94
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 20
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 15
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 49
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Jiangsu Changshu Rural Commercial Bank Co., Ltd. provides rural financial services to individual and corporate clients in China. It operates through Corporate Business, Personal Business, Fund Business, and Other Business segments.

Full company description

Jiangsu Changshu Rural Commercial Bank Co., Ltd. provides rural financial services to individual and corporate clients in China. It operates through Corporate Business, Personal Business, Fund Business, and Other Business segments. The company offers personal savings, such as current and regular savings, personal notice deposits, and certificates of deposit; debit and credit cards; payment, financial management/funds, private banking, insurance, and third-party custody services; and microfinance products. It also provides business, housing mortgage, home equity, consumer, salary, agricultural construction, rural, grain, and agricultural loans; corporate finance; cash management, settlement, agency, bill, and financing services; and foreign exchange trading, international settlement, and international trade finance services. In addition, the company offers investment banking; financial markets services including money markets, bonds, derivatives, foreign exchange market, and wealth management business; personal purchase and settlement of foreign exchange; loan financing and pledges; electronic, mobile, online, telephone, and self-service banking services; and online payment, POS, and SMS services. Further, it provides corporate loans, bill issuance, corporate deposits, and remittances; retail loans; and trading financial instruments, bond investments, bond repurchase and resale, and interbank lending services. Jiangsu Changshu Rural Commercial Bank Co., Ltd. was founded in 2001 and is headquartered in Changshu City, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Jiangsu Changshu Rural Commercial Bank Co reported revenue of ¥11.5B in FY2025 versus ¥12.4B in FY2021, a compound −1.8%/yr. Reported net income was ¥4.2B in FY2025, compounding +17.8%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 40/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
11.5B CNY
Latest YoY
−35.9%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
−7.1%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+1.5%
Avg. growth/yr (19Y)
+14.0%
Revenue −1.8%/yr
FY21 ¥12.4B
FY22 ¥14.3B
FY23 ¥16.3B
FY24 ¥18.0B
FY25 ¥11.5B
Net income +17.8%/yr
FY21 ¥2.2B
FY22 ¥2.7B
FY23 ¥3.3B
FY24 ¥3.8B
FY25 ¥4.2B

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Jiangsu Changshu Rural Commercial Bank Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/601128

Peer Group

Banks - Regional · 1083 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 58 · Above median
Fair Value upside +100% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 14% · Top 25%
Return on assets 1% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 45% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 60% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 7% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 4.0% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.14× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Banks - Regional median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 6.4× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/B 0.71× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 2.33× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 0.2× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 39
FUTURE 33 · sector 44
PAST 55 · sector 41
HEALTH 93 · sector 85
DIVIDEND 79 · sector 49

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Banks - Regional stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 9, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
PT Bank Central Asia Tbk BBCA 6,175 IDR 6,087 IDR -1%
KB Financial Group 105560 184,400 KRW 213,797 KRW +16%
PT Bank Rakyat Indonesia (Persero) Tbk BBRI 2,970 IDR 4,891 IDR +65%
PT Bank Mandiri (Persero) Tbk BMRI 4,310 IDR 7,841 IDR +82%
Banco Bradesco S.A BBD 5,120 ARS 10,240 ARS +100%
Shinhan Financial Group 055550 107,900 KRW 137,259 KRW +27%
Hana Financial Group 086790 136,800 KRW 193,969 KRW +42%
Lloyds Banking Group LYG 4,138 ARS 8,275 ARS +100%
Banco de Chile, CHILE 193.10 CLP 152.55 CLP -21%
Joint Stock Commercial Bank for Foreign Trade of Vietnam, VCB 59,400 VND 84,201 VND +42%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Jiangsu Changshu Rural Commercial Bank Co (601128) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 9, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥12.24 versus a price of ¥6.12, about +100% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 601128?
Our model-based fair value for Jiangsu Changshu Rural Commercial Bank Co is ¥12.24 (as of Aug 9, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥6.12.
What is the quality score of 601128?
Jiangsu Changshu Rural Commercial Bank Co has a Quality Score of 55/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Jiangsu Changshu Rural Commercial Bank Co (601128)?
Jiangsu Changshu Rural Commercial Bank Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 9.6B CNY (latest available figure, as of Aug 9, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 601128?
The net profit margin of Jiangsu Changshu Rural Commercial Bank Co is about 45.3%, meaning it keeps roughly 45.3% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Jiangsu Changshu Rural Commercial Bank Co pay a dividend?
Jiangsu Changshu Rural Commercial Bank Co currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.80% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 9, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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