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Heilongjiang Transport Development Co (601188) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · CN · Market cap 4.0B CNY

Price¥2.93
Fair Value¥2.70
Upside-7.8%
Quality88/100
Evidence: Medium Range ¥1.66 – ¥3.38

Analysis

Heilongjiang Transport Development Co (601188) currently trades at ¥2.93, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥2.70 — implying the stock looks roughly 7.8% overvalued today. We read business quality at 88/100 (high quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

About the company

Heilongjiang Transport Development Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the investment, development, construction, operation, and management of toll roads in China. The company is involved in the toll collection, operation management, and daily maintenance of the Harbin-Daqing Expressway. It also engages in road maintenance; sales of petroleum, cement, solar thermal utilization, solar thermal power generation, and charging pile products; investment activities; advertising; operation of road freight transport stations; motor vehicle charging sales; leasing services; real estate development and operation; and new material technology research and development. In addition, the company manufactures graphite and carbon products; provides parking services; manufactures and sells photovoltaic equipment and components; and provides information technology consulting, energy management, catering management, solar power generation technology, and engineering management services…

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How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.