Jilin Expressway Co (601518) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · CN · Market cap 5.2B CNY
Fair value as of: Aug 8, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated 2 days ago
Share price +2.6% over the past month.
A solid business, screening 97% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The rarer combination: high quality (72/100) AND below fair value. That earns a closer look rather than a quick verdict.
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (¥4.09). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 8, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥1.51 – ¥3.19 · fair‑value band ¥4.09 – ¥6.82 · the ¥2.76 price screens below the ¥5.45 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 8, 2026.
Analysis
Jilin Expressway Co (601518) currently trades at ¥2.76, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥5.45, implying the stock looks roughly 97.5% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 72/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Jilin Expressway Co generated revenue of 1.4B CNY at a net margin of 35.6%. Revenue grew 5.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 8.7%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 1.7B CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 8, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥4.09 (bear case) to ¥6.82 (bull case); at ¥2.76, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 15% below its 52-week high and 3% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 25% fair-value upside, at 97%, 601518 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥6.48) versus Earnings-Based (¥1.37). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 8, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 71 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 48
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Jilin Expressway Co., Ltd., through its subsidiaries, invests in, develops, constructs, operates, manages, and maintains toll roads in the Jilin Province, China. It operates and manages Changping Expressway and Changchun Ring Expressway Northwest Ring.
Full company description
Jilin Expressway Co., Ltd., through its subsidiaries, invests in, develops, constructs, operates, manages, and maintains toll roads in the Jilin Province, China. It operates and manages Changping Expressway and Changchun Ring Expressway Northwest Ring. The company also engages in the distribution of refined oil; construction and installation of toll lanes and ancillary equipment; and construction and installation of toll management systems and ancillary equipment on toll roads. In addition, it is involved in the construction and installation of traffic information collection systems, information release systems, central control systems, and power supply supporting facilities systems; and provision of computer hardware and software, auxiliary equipment, wholesale of communication equipment, and technical and technology transfer services. The company was incorporated in 2010 and is headquartered in Changchun, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Jilin Expressway Co reported revenue of ¥1.4B in FY2025 versus ¥1.3B in FY2021, a compound +1.8%/yr. Reported net income was ¥491M in FY2025, compounding +11.4%/yr from FY2021.
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Peer Group
Infrastructure Operations · 65 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Infrastructure Operations median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Infrastructure Operations stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 8, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| China Merchants Expressway Network & Technology Holdings 001965 | ¥9.88 | ¥9.16 | -7% |
| Jiangsu Expressway Company 600377 | ¥11.86 | ¥15.32 | +29% |
| Shandong Hi-speed Company 600350 | ¥10.86 | ¥8.68 | -20% |
| Impulsora del Desarrollo y el Empleo en América Latina, S.A. IDEALB1 | 43.00 MXN | 43.57 MXN | +1% |
| Promotora y Operadora de Infraestructura, S. A. B. de C. V. PINFRA | 281.25 MXN | 945.00 MXN | +236% |
| Motiva Infraestrutura de Mobilidade S.A MOTV3 | R$14.82 | R$29.18 | +97% |
| Zhejiang Expressway Co 0576 | HK$6.16 | HK$18.35 | +198% |
| Anhui Expressway Company 600012 | ¥16.31 | ¥14.90 | -9% |
| Guangdong Provincial Expressway Development Co 000429 | ¥14.33 | ¥17.93 | +25% |
| Shenzhen Expressway Corporation 600548 | ¥8.35 | ¥7.70 | -8% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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