Anhui Xinhua Media Co (601801) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · CN · Market cap 10.7B CNY
Fair value as of: Aug 8, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated 2 days ago
Share price +8.9% over the past month.
A solid business, screening 64% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (¥6.75). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- Solid quality (65/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 8, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥4.07 – ¥10.81 · fair‑value band ¥6.75 – ¥11.25 · the ¥5.48 price screens below the ¥9.00 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 8, 2026.
Analysis
Anhui Xinhua Media Co (601801) currently trades at ¥5.48, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥9.00, implying the stock looks roughly 64.2% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 65/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Anhui Xinhua Media Co generated revenue of 7.8B CNY at a net margin of 9.6%. Revenue declined 8.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 6.1%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 8.9B CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 8, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥6.75 (bear case) to ¥11.25 (bull case); at ¥5.48, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 25% below its 52-week high and 6% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -24% fair-value upside, at 64%, 601801 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥11.99) versus Earnings-Based (¥2.62). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 8, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 64 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 40
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Anhui Xinhua Media Co., Ltd. engages in the cultural services, education services, supply chain management, and other culture-related businesses in China.
Full company description
Anhui Xinhua Media Co., Ltd. engages in the cultural services, education services, supply chain management, and other culture-related businesses in China. It engages in the general distribution of books, newspapers, periodicals, and electronic publications; wholesale and retail of audio-visual products; production of TV variety shows, specials, dramas, and cartoons; book rental, manufacturing and consulting services; warehousing, logistics, as well as distribution of textbooks for middle schools and primary schools. The company is also involved in distribution and chain management of publications, literary and digital products; computer information system design, integration and technical services; development and sale of educational software, computer hardware and software; electronic equipment and products, educational academic equipment sales and storage; equipment sales and storage of music, sports, art, health; sale of office furniture, medical furniture, finance; investment, development, management and consulting services for communication and cultural industries. In addition, it provides internet information, advertising, and import and export services; financial consulting; asset and property management; equipment and real estate leasing; and building installation and architectural decoration. The company was formerly known as Anhui Xinhua Distribution Group Limited. The company was founded in 2002 and is based in Hefei, China. Anhui Xinhua Media Co., Ltd. is a subsidiary of Anhui Xinhua Publishing (Group) Holdings Co., Ltd.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Anhui Xinhua Media Co reported revenue of ¥8.0B in FY2025 versus ¥10.1B in FY2021, a compound −5.7%/yr. Reported net income was ¥801M in FY2025, compounding +5.8%/yr from FY2021.
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Peer Group
Specialty Retail · 221 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Retail median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Specialty Retail stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 8, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Casey's General Stores, Inc CASY | $827.04 | $405.44 | -51% |
| Williams-Sonoma, Inc WSM | $222.84 | $164.16 | -26% |
| Ulta Beauty, Inc ULTA | $479.57 | $488.39 | +2% |
| DICK'S Sporting Goods, Inc DKS | $208.89 | $181.10 | -13% |
| Best Buy Co BBY | $83.98 | $109.12 | +30% |
| China Tourism Group 601888 | ¥52.90 | ¥40.40 | -24% |
| Tractor Supply Company TSCO | $31.01 | $35.52 | +15% |
| Murphy USA Inc MUSA | $618.57 | $423.35 | -32% |
| Five Below, Inc FIVE | $197.71 | $117.29 | -41% |
| Taiwan Mobile Co 3045 | 110.50 TWD | 80.98 TWD | -27% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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