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Southern Publishing and Media Co (601900) Fair Value & Analysis

Communication Services · CN · Market cap 10.3B CNY

SP Southern Publishing and Media Co 601900 · SHG
Price¥11.73
Fair Value¥21.10
Upside+79.9%
Quality62/100
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Mixed Growth
Solidly profitable · 12.1% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
4.75% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (10/14)
Moderate moat 54/100
Evidence: Medium Range ¥13.72 – ¥28.31 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 8, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated 2 days ago

Fair value updated Aug 8, 2026, revised from ¥23.12 to ¥21.10 (−8.7%) since Jul 24, 2026. Share price +4.0% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 80% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (¥13.72). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • Solid quality (62/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • A fairly wide model range (¥13.72 to ¥28.31) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥26.71 ¥6.42 Fair Value ¥21.10 Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 8, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥6.42 – ¥26.71 · fair‑value band ¥13.72 – ¥28.31 · the ¥11.73 price screens below the ¥21.10 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 8, 2026.

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Analysis

Southern Publishing and Media Co (601900) currently trades at ¥11.73, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥21.10, implying the stock looks roughly 79.9% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 62/100 (solid quality), in the Communication Services sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Southern Publishing and Media Co generated revenue of 8.5B CNY at a net margin of 12.1%. Revenue declined 6.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 12.2%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 2.1B CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 8, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥13.72 (bear case) to ¥28.31 (bull case); at ¥11.73, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 30% below its 52-week high and 2% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at 9% fair-value upside, at 80%, 601900 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF ¥13.29 ¥19.38 ¥28.06 80
Residual Income ¥9.23 ¥10.86 ¥21.30 76
Rev-Margin DCF ¥13.17 ¥20.83 ¥29.56 74
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ¥13.06 ¥19.90 ¥30.26 38
Owner Earnings ¥7.31 ¥11.03 ¥16.66 31
5Y Revenue Exit ¥13.17 ¥20.82 ¥30.54 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥13.85 ¥22.08 ¥31.59 41
5Y P/E Exit ¥16.14 ¥26.33 ¥36.97 38
10Y Revenue Exit ¥12.61 ¥19.56 ¥28.81 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ¥13.44 ¥20.43 ¥29.61 37
10Y P/E Exit ¥14.90 ¥23.38 ¥33.69 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥8.04 ¥24.30 ¥32.23 54
Lynch FV ¥5.18 ¥7.40 ¥9.62 50
PEG = 1.0 ¥5.18 ¥7.40 ¥9.62 46
EPV ¥12.61 ¥14.63 ¥16.40 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥19.51 ¥26.02 ¥32.52 63
P/S Multiple ¥15.08 ¥20.10 ¥25.13 58
P/B Multiple ¥15.08 ¥20.10 ¥25.13 55
EV/EBIT ¥18.16 ¥24.06 ¥29.96 53
EV/EBITDA ¥16.02 ¥21.20 ¥26.38 54
EV/Revenue ¥13.89 ¥19.64 ¥25.39 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥5.01 ¥6.71 ¥10.02 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥13.29 ¥19.38 ¥28.06 80
Rev-Margin DCF ¥13.17 ¥20.83 ¥29.56 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥9.23 ¥10.86 ¥21.30 76
ROIC Compounder ¥13.17 ¥16.58 ¥20.76 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥15.90 ¥22.71 ¥29.53 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (¥22.71) versus Asset-Based (¥6.71). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 8.5B CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) -6.8%
Net margin 12.1%
Return on equity 12.2%
Free cash flow 985M CNY FY2025
P/E ratio 10.1
More key figures
Operating margin 19.3%
EPS (TTM) ¥1.16
Dividend yield 4.8%
EPS growth (YoY) -5.6%
Net cash 2.1B CNY FY2024

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 8, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 62/100

Of which business quality 60 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 36

Profitability 42
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 47
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 60
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 70
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 66
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 83
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 18
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 15
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 83
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Southern Publishing and Media Co.,Ltd. operates as a publishing company in China. It operates through six segments: Publishing; Distribution; Material Trading; Printing; Newspaper and Media; and Others. The company publishes and distributes books, newspapers, magazines, and electronic audio-visual publications.

Full company description

Southern Publishing and Media Co.,Ltd. operates as a publishing company in China. It operates through six segments: Publishing; Distribution; Material Trading; Printing; Newspaper and Media; and Others. The company publishes and distributes books, newspapers, magazines, and electronic audio-visual publications. In addition, it is involved in the printed materials business, such as primary and secondary school textbooks, teaching aids, stationery, and general books; media business, such as digital publishing and mobile media, distribution, retail, printing material sales, and cross-media operation. Further, the company material trading activities comprises of selling of paper, pulp, printing machinery and equipment, ink, and other related products. Additionally, it offers CD PC materials, cultural paper, packaging paper, UV varnish, hot melt glue adhesive, and papermaking fungicides. Southern Publishing and Media Co.,Ltd. was founded in 2008 and is based in Guangzhou, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Southern Publishing and Media Co reported revenue of ¥8.6B in FY2025 versus ¥8.5B in FY2021, a compound +0.4%/yr. Reported net income was ¥1.0B in FY2025, compounding +1.9%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 72/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
8.6B CNY
Latest YoY
−5.8%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
−1.6%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+4.6%
Avg. growth/yr (14Y)
+8.1%
Revenue +0.4%/yr
FY21 ¥8.5B
FY22 ¥9.1B
FY23 ¥9.4B
FY24 ¥9.2B
FY25 ¥8.6B
Net income +1.9%/yr
FY21 ¥969M
FY22 ¥955M
FY23 ¥1.3B
FY24 ¥810M
FY25 ¥1.0B

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Southern Publishing and Media Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/601900

Peer Group

Publishing · 110 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 62 · Above median
Fair Value upside +80% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 12% · Top 25%
Return on assets 4% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 12% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 19% · Top 25%
Revenue growth -7% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 4.8% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.12× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Publishing median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 10.1× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/B 1.17× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 1.22× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 1.6× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 7.6× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 39
FUTURE 0 · sector 0
PAST 49 · sector 21
HEALTH 94 · sector 99
DIVIDEND 95 · sector 57

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

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Frequently asked questions

Is Southern Publishing and Media Co (601900) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 8, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥21.10 versus a price of ¥11.73, about +80% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 601900?
Our model-based fair value for Southern Publishing and Media Co is ¥21.10 (as of Aug 8, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥11.73.
What is the quality score of 601900?
Southern Publishing and Media Co has a Quality Score of 62/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Southern Publishing and Media Co (601900)?
Southern Publishing and Media Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 8.5B CNY (latest available figure, as of Aug 8, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 601900?
The net profit margin of Southern Publishing and Media Co is about 12.1%, meaning it keeps roughly 12.1% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Southern Publishing and Media Co pay a dividend?
Southern Publishing and Media Co currently shows a dividend yield of about 4.82% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 8, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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