Southern Publishing&Media Co (601900) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Southern Publishing&Media Co ¥19.75, price ¥12.57, upside +57.1%, quality 62 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥6.42 – ¥26.71 · fair‑value band ¥12.58 – ¥28.31 · the ¥12.57 price screens below the ¥19.75 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Southern Publishing and Media Co.,Ltd. operates as a publishing company in China. It operates through six segments: Publishing; Distribution; Material Trading; Printing; Newspaper and Media; and Others. The company publishes and distributes books, newspapers, magazines, and electronic audio-visual publications.
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Southern Publishing and Media Co.,Ltd. operates as a publishing company in China. It operates through six segments: Publishing; Distribution; Material Trading; Printing; Newspaper and Media; and Others. The company publishes and distributes books, newspapers, magazines, and electronic audio-visual publications. In addition, it is involved in the printed materials business, such as primary and secondary school textbooks, teaching aids, stationery, and general books; media business, such as digital publishing and mobile media, distribution, retail, printing material sales, and cross-media operation. Further, the company material trading activities comprises of selling of paper, pulp, printing machinery and equipment, ink, and other related products. Additionally, it offers CD PC materials, cultural paper, packaging paper, UV varnish, hot melt glue adhesive, and papermaking fungicides. Southern Publishing and Media Co.,Ltd. was founded in 2008 and is based in Guangzhou, China.
Stock analysis
Southern Publishing&Media Co (601900) currently trades at ¥12.57, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥19.75, implying the stock looks roughly 36.4% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of ¥22.71 per share, and 18 of the 24 models we run sit above the ¥12.57 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at ¥6.71, and 6 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: ¥12.58 (bear) to ¥28.31 (bull), the price of ¥12.57 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 62/100 (solid quality), in the Communication Services sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Southern Publishing&Media Co reported revenue of 8.6B CNY in FY2025 versus 8.5B CNY in FY2021, a compound +0.4%/yr. Reported net income was 1.0B CNY in FY2025, compounding +1.9%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 11.1B CNY (≈ $1.7B) · P/E ratio 10.8 · P/S ratio 1.31 · EPS (TTM) ¥1.16 · Dividend yield 4.5% · Net margin 12.1% · Return on equity 12.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) 7.3%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 47 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 24% below its 52-week high and 17% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at 57%, 601900 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear ¥12.58Fair Value ¥19.75Bull ¥28.31
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (¥0.4389 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.72/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
−5.8%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−1.6%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.6%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +6.5% a year
Revenue growth 14 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+8.1%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+11.3%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+6.8%
Dividend (yield on the price)4.5%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.7% vs 8%, steady
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.11% → 15%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−5.5%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (China: IMF forecast 1.7% a year to 2030, 1.4% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −7.1% a year for the price.
Compare Southern Publishing&Media Co with another stock
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Publishing · 108 stocks
Beats the industry median on 10/14 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score62 · Above median
Fair Value upside+57% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)12% · Top 25%
Return on assets4% · Above median
Net margin (TTM)12% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM)19% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−7% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM)4.5% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.12× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Publishing median · lower = cheaper
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Southern Publishing&Media Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/601900
Frequently asked questions
Is Southern Publishing&Media Co (601900) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥19.75 versus a price of ¥12.57, about +57% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 601900?
Our model-based fair value for Southern Publishing&Media Co is ¥19.75 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥12.57.
What is the quality score of 601900?
Southern Publishing&Media Co has a Quality Score of 62/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Southern Publishing&Media Co (601900)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥19.75 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥12.58, optimistic scenario ¥28.31. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Southern Publishing&Media Co stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥19.75, about +57% upside versus a price of ¥12.57 (undervalued). Cautious scenario ¥12.58, optimistic scenario ¥28.31. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Southern Publishing&Media Co (601900)?
Southern Publishing&Media Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 8.5B CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Southern Publishing&Media Co pay a dividend?
Southern Publishing&Media Co currently shows a dividend yield of about 4.46% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Southern Publishing&Media Co (601900)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Southern Publishing&Media Co would have to grow free cash flow by -5.5 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.4 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +4.6 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 601900 use?
Our models discount Southern Publishing&Media Co at 10.4 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 0.23, country premium for China. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Southern Publishing&Media Co that is -5.5 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (10.4 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Southern Publishing&Media Co (601900) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Southern Publishing&Media Co grew +4.6 % a year. The price currently implies -5.5 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Southern Publishing&Media Co (601900) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +1.6 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Southern Publishing&Media Co (-5.5 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Southern Publishing&Media Co (601900)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 8.89 %: that much free cash flow Southern Publishing&Media Co produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.4 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Southern Publishing&Media Co (601900)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Southern Publishing&Media Co it is ¥19.75 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of ¥12.57. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Southern Publishing&Media Co stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 601900 trades below its calculated fair value: price ¥12.57, fair value ¥19.75, a gap of about +57% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 601900?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥12.57); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥19.75). For Southern Publishing&Media Co the two are ¥7.18 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Southern Publishing&Media Co worth?
The market values Southern Publishing&Media Co at about 11.1B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is ¥12.57; our models calculate a fair value of ¥19.75 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 601900?
Our models span a range for Southern Publishing&Media Co: cautious scenario ¥12.58, base ¥19.75, optimistic ¥28.31 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price ¥12.57). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 601900?
Southern Publishing&Media Co trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 10.8 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ¥19.75 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.3, P/S 1.3, EV/EBITDA 8.1.
How solid is the balance sheet of Southern Publishing&Media Co (601900)?
Balance-sheet figures for Southern Publishing&Media Co (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 12.2%, debt of 0.12 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 62/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 601900 from its 52-week high?
Southern Publishing&Media Co trades at ¥12.57, about 24% below its 52-week high of ¥16.53 and 17% above the low of ¥10.78 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥19.75 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Southern Publishing&Media Co?
From the same area (Communication Services) we also value The New York Times Company, Jiangsu Phoenix Publishing & Media Corporation, China Science Publishing & Media Ltd, People.cn CO., LTD, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Southern Publishing&Media Co stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price ¥12.57, calculated fair value ¥19.75 (+57%), Quality Score 62/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 601900 calculated?
We run Southern Publishing&Media Co through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ¥19.75, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Southern Publishing&Media Co currently trades 57 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Southern Publishing&Media Co (601900)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was ¥12.57. Our model-based fair value is ¥19.75, about +57% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Southern Publishing&Media Co right now?
Solid quality (62/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. A fairly wide model range (¥12.58 to ¥28.31) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Where does the earnings growth of Southern Publishing&Media Co (601900) come from?
Earnings per share at Southern Publishing&Media Co grew +10.0 % a year from 2013 to 2024. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +5.1 %, EBIT margin +8.2 %, tax rate −0.4 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −2.9 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Southern Publishing&Media Co
How large is the market capitalisation of Southern Publishing&Media Co (601900)?
The market capitalisation of Southern Publishing&Media Co is 11.1B CNY (≈ $1.7B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Southern Publishing&Media Co (601900)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Southern Publishing&Media Co is 1.31 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Southern Publishing&Media Co (601900)?
Earnings per share at Southern Publishing&Media Co are ¥1.16 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 10.8). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Southern Publishing&Media Co (601900)?
The dividend yield of Southern Publishing&Media Co is 4.5% (payout 48.3%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Southern Publishing&Media Co (601900)?
The net margin of Southern Publishing&Media Co is 12.1% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Southern Publishing&Media Co (601900)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Southern Publishing&Media Co is 12.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Southern Publishing&Media Co (601900)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Southern Publishing&Media Co is 7.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Southern Publishing&Media Co (601900)?
The operating margin of Southern Publishing&Media Co is 19.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Southern Publishing&Media Co (601900)?
Revenue at Southern Publishing&Media Co is growing −6.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg −1.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Southern Publishing&Media Co (601900)?
Earnings per share at Southern Publishing&Media Co are growing −5.6% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does Southern Publishing&Media Co (601900) hold?
Southern Publishing&Media Co holds more cash than debt, 2.1B CNY net (fiscal year 2024). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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