China Publishing & Media Holdings (601949) Fair Value & Analysis
Communication Services · CN · Market cap 10.1B CNY
Fair value as of: Aug 9, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated yesterday
Fair value updated Aug 9, 2026, revised from ¥5.70 to ¥5.44 (−4.6%) since Jul 11, 2026. Share price +9.1% over the past month.
A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value.
What matters now
- The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
- Our model range runs from ¥4.20 (bear) to ¥7.36 (bull), base ¥5.44. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
- Quality 58/100 (solid quality) with medium evidence: read the verdict with care.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 9, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥4.15 – ¥15.97 · fair‑value band ¥4.20 – ¥7.36 · the ¥5.28 price screens below the ¥5.44 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 9, 2026.
Analysis
China Publishing & Media Holdings (601949) currently trades at ¥5.28, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥5.44, implying the stock looks roughly 3.0% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 58/100 (solid quality), in the Communication Services sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, China Publishing & Media Holdings generated revenue of 5.2B CNY at a net margin of 11.1%. Revenue declined 15.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 5.3%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 1.6B CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 9, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥4.20 (bear case) to ¥7.36 (bull case); at ¥5.28, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 35% below its 52-week high and 8% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at 9% fair-value upside, at 3%, 601949 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (¥5.78) versus Dividend Discount (¥1.17). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 9, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 59 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 35
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
China Publishing & Media Holdings Co., Ltd. publishes books, newspapers, periodicals, audio-visual products, and electronic publications in China. It is also involved in the paper publishing, digital publishing, printing and copying, information services, and copyright trading services. China Publishing & Media Holdings Co., Ltd.
Full company description
China Publishing & Media Holdings Co., Ltd. publishes books, newspapers, periodicals, audio-visual products, and electronic publications in China. It is also involved in the paper publishing, digital publishing, printing and copying, information services, and copyright trading services. China Publishing & Media Holdings Co., Ltd. was founded in 2011 and is based in Beijing, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
China Publishing & Media Holdings reported revenue of ¥5.3B in FY2025 versus ¥6.3B in FY2021, a compound −4.2%/yr. Reported net income was ¥647M in FY2025, compounding −4.6%/yr from FY2021.
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Peer Group
Publishing · 110 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Publishing median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Publishing stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 9, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| The New York Times Company NYT | $76.71 | $41.95 | -45% |
| Jiangsu Phoenix Publishing & Media Corporation 601928 | ¥9.20 | ¥10.07 | +9% |
| China Science Publishing & Media Ltd 601858 | ¥26.32 | ¥10.31 | -61% |
| People.cn CO., LTD 603000 | ¥17.10 | ¥4.23 | -75% |
| China South Publishing & Media Group 601098 | ¥10.43 | ¥14.66 | +41% |
| John Wiley & Sons, Inc WLY | $49.51 | $57.01 | +15% |
| Zhejiang Publishing & Media Co 601921 | ¥7.15 | ¥7.54 | +5% |
| Xinhua Winshare Publishing and Media Co 601811 | ¥11.87 | ¥21.61 | +82% |
| Shandong Publishing&Media Co 601019 | ¥6.98 | ¥11.60 | +66% |
| Guangdong Guangzhou Daily Media Co 002181 | ¥7.61 | ¥1.35 | -82% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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