Ningbo Techmation Co (603015) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · CN · Market cap 4.3B CNY
Fair value as of: Aug 10, 2026
From 25 valuation models · updated today
Share price +2.0% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 80% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥2.66). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (59/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 10, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥5.00 – ¥18.82 · fair‑value band ¥1.59 – ¥2.66 · the ¥10.67 price screens above the ¥2.12 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 10, 2026.
Analysis
Ningbo Techmation Co (603015) currently trades at ¥10.67, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥2.12, implying the stock looks roughly 80.1% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 59/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Ningbo Techmation Co generated revenue of 805M CNY at a net margin of 3.3%. Revenue declined 11.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 1.1%. Net debt stands at 23.5M CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 10, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥1.59 (bear case) to ¥2.66 (bull case); at ¥10.67, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 43% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -48% fair-value upside, at -80%, 603015 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 25 models by family
Widest divergence: Asset-Based (¥2.30) versus Dividend Discount (¥0.9500). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 10, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 58 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 30
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Ningbo Techmation Co.,Ltd. offers industrial automation solutions to the plastic machinery industry in China and internationally.
Full company description
Ningbo Techmation Co.,Ltd. offers industrial automation solutions to the plastic machinery industry in China and internationally. It provides industrial automation products, including plastic machinery control systems, other control systems, intelligent controllers, etc.; and drive system products, which consists hydraulic servo systems, electric servo system assemblies, and other servo drives and inverters, as well as other related components. The company also offers Internet of Things software, such as the plastic machine network management system iNet, plastic processing information management cloud platform, and intelligent agricultural management system; and renewable new energy solutions. Ningbo Techmation Co.,Ltd. was founded in 1984 and is headquartered in Ningbo, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Ningbo Techmation Co reported revenue of ¥829M in FY2025 versus ¥935M in FY2021, a compound −3.0%/yr. Reported net income was ¥42.9M in FY2025, compounding −16.6%/yr from FY2021.
603015 screens 80% overvalued. Compare with GE Vernova Inc →
Peer Group
Specialty Industrial Machinery · 809 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Industrial Machinery median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Specialty Industrial Machinery stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 10, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| GE Vernova Inc 1GEV | €887.60 | €186.93 | -79% |
| 1SIE 1SIE | €273.20 | €91.93 | -66% |
| SMNS SMNS | C$31.76 | C$22.68 | -29% |
| Eaton Corporation ETN | $407.28 | $171.92 | -58% |
| Atlas Copco AB ATCOA | kr 195.15 | kr 112.59 | -42% |
| Sandvik AB SAND | kr 384.10 | kr 193.01 | -50% |
| Doosan Enerbility Co 034020 | 76,400 KRW | 7,938 KRW | -90% |
| Vestas Wind Systems A/S VWS | kr 178.10 | kr 124.54 | -30% |
| Zhejiang Sanhua Intelligent Controls Co 002050 | ¥43.20 | ¥22.68 | -48% |
| NARI Technology Co 600406 | ¥22.19 | ¥18.71 | -16% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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