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Shanghai Xintonglian Packaging Co (603022) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · CN · Market cap 1.9B CNY

Price¥8.91
Fair Value¥4.32
Upside-51.5%
Quality95/100
Evidence: High Range ¥3.33 – ¥4.71

Fair value as of: Jun 24, 2026

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Analysis

Shanghai Xintonglian Packaging Co (603022) currently trades at ¥8.91, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥4.32 — implying the stock looks roughly 51.5% overvalued today. We read business quality at 95/100 (high quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

About the company

Shanghai Xintonglian Packaging Co., Ltd. engages in the manufacture and sale of wood and paper packaging products in China. The company is also involved in the wholesale and retail of paper packaging and wood packaging products, wood, and plastic products; and the provision of packaging services. Its products are used in new energy vehicles, smart devices, electronics and electrical, biomedicine, home appliances, and electromechanical processing. The company was formerly known as Shanghai Xinliantong Packacing Materials Company and changed its name to Shanghai Xintonglian Packaging Co., Ltd. in June 2011. Shanghai Xintonglian Packaging Co., Ltd. was founded in 1999 and is headquartered in Shanghai, China.

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Frequently asked questions

Is Shanghai Xintonglian Packaging Co (603022) undervalued?
As of Jun 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥4.32 versus a price of ¥8.91 — about −52% (overvalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.
What is the fair value of 603022?
Our 21-model fair value for Shanghai Xintonglian Packaging Co is ¥4.32 (as of Jun 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥8.91.
What is the quality score of 603022?
Shanghai Xintonglian Packaging Co has a Quality Score of 95/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.