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Shandong Shida Shenghua Chem (603026) fair value: what the stock is really worth

We calculate from audited financials what Shandong Shida Shenghua Chem is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
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Basic Materials · CN · ISIN CNE100001ZW4

SS Broad data Sep 13, 2026

Shandong Shida Shenghua Chem

603026 · SHG

Structural break: The valuation model sees a lasting decline in earnings power for this stock, the confidence band is broken. Treat the target with caution.

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

!Fair value ¥10.84 · Strongly overvalued (−82%)
!Quality 31/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y +8.8 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 4.4% net margin (TTM)
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
·0.07% dividend yield
!Trails peers (5/13)
!Narrow moat 36/100
!Weak on past: 27 out of 100
!Weak on dividend: 1 out of 100
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What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

¥332.29 ¥26.11 Fair Value ¥10.84 Apr 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥26.11 – ¥332.29 · fair‑value band ¥5.05 – ¥15.76 · the ¥61.30 price screens above the ¥10.84 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.

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Company profile

Shida Shinghwa Advanced Material Group Co., Ltd. engages in the production and sale of chemical raw materials and products in China.

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Shida Shinghwa Advanced Material Group Co., Ltd. engages in the production and sale of chemical raw materials and products in China. The company offers lithium battery electrolyte, such as electrolyte solvent, solutes, and additives; cathode material of lithium battery, including silicon anode material and cathode pre-lithiation material; and wet electronic and fine chemicals. It also provides dimethyl carbonate series comprising electrolytes, MTBE , liquefied petroleum gas, and propylene oxide. The company was formerly known as Shinghwa Advanced Material Group Co.,ltd. and changed its name to Shida Shinghwa Advanced Material Group Co., Ltd. in May 2024. Shida Shinghwa Advanced Material Group Co., Ltd. was founded in 2002 and is headquartered in Dongying, China.

Stock analysis

Shandong Shida Shenghua Chem (603026) currently trades at ¥61.30, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥10.84, implying the stock looks roughly 465.6% overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of ¥25.44 per share, and 0 of the 17 models we run sit above the ¥61.30 price.

Bear case: the Growth Earnings group reads lowest at ¥1.09, and 17 of the 17 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.

Scenario range: ¥5.05 (bear) to ¥15.76 (bull), the price of ¥61.30 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 31/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.

Shandong Shida Shenghua Chem reported revenue of 6.8B CNY in FY2025 versus 7.1B CNY in FY2021, a compound −0.9%/yr. Reported net income was 15.9M CNY in FY2025, compounding −65.9%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap 15.7B CNY (≈ $2.3B) · P/E ratio 43.2 · P/S ratio 0.10 · EPS (TTM) ¥1.42 · Dividend yield 0.1% · Net margin 0.2% · Return on equity 6.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) 9.0%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 31 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 50% below its 52-week high and 78% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −44% fair-value upside, at −82%, 603026 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

The price assumes far more growth than our models allow for, so the models scatter widely (¥0.5200 to ¥25.44). Read the Fair Value as a cautious anchor, not a price target; the Growth Forecast section shows what the price assumes.
Bear ¥5.05 Fair Value ¥10.84 Bull ¥15.76
Model Each model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 8 months old). Earnings retained since then (¥0.9717 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence Evidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Residual Income ¥14.20 ¥13.18 ¥8.99 76
Owner Earnings ¥15.98 ¥25.44 ¥40.26 75
EPV ¥1.47 ¥1.65 ¥1.81 74
All 17 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings ¥15.98 ¥25.44 ¥40.26 75
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥0.4600 ¥1.59 ¥2.14 64
Lynch FV ¥0.3700 ¥0.5200 ¥0.6800 61
PEG = 1.0 ¥0.3700 ¥0.5200 ¥0.6800 57
EPV ¥1.47 ¥1.65 ¥1.81 74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥2.88 ¥5.99 ¥9.50 66
DDM Multi-Stage ¥2.88 ¥4.98 ¥6.28 66
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥0.8700 ¥1.16 ¥1.45 63
P/S Multiple ¥0.8700 ¥1.16 ¥1.45 58
P/B Multiple ¥0.8700 ¥1.16 ¥1.45 55
EV/EBIT ¥1.72 ¥2.16 ¥2.60 66
EV/EBITDA ¥16.30 ¥21.60 ¥26.91 67
EV/Revenue ¥1.54 ¥2.03 ¥2.52 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥10.55 ¥14.14 ¥21.10 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥14.20 ¥13.18 ¥8.99 76
ROIC Compounder ¥1.47 ¥1.65 ¥1.81 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥0.7700 ¥1.09 ¥1.42 67

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 31/100

Of which business quality 30 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 51

Profitability 19
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 63
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 0
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 47
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 53
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 45
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 65
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 17
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality Growth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 40/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
+22.7%
Revenue growth 3 years Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−6.5%
Revenue growth 5 years Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+8.8%
Revenue growth 15 years Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.0%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) What the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−46.1%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−46.2%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.1%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years Two data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−46% vs −13%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 Operating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.7% → 0%
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 1.8%/yr over ~10Y (margins eroding too) Structural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.

603026 screens 466% overvalued. Compare with BASF SE →

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Peer GroupHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Chemicals · 350 stocks

Beats the industry median on 5/12 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 32 · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 7% · Above median
Return on assets 2% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 4% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 17% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 40% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.1% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.14× · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Chemicals median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 43.2× · Pricier than median
P/B 3.19× · Priciest 25%
P/S (TTM) 2.10× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 16.9× · Pricier than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 1
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 22
PAST (return on equity)27 · sector 19
HEALTH (low debt)93 · sector 94
DIVIDEND (yield)1 · sector 31

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Chemicals stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
BASF SE BAS €51.83 €23.76 −54%
Saudi Basic Industries Corporation 2010 49.80 SAR 24.66 SAR −50%
A. Schulman, Inc SLMNP $847.00 $203.64 −76%
Ningxia Baofeng Energy Group 600989 ¥23.97 ¥36.45 +52%
Dow Inc DOW $29.03 $21.03 −28%
Zhejiang Juhua Co 600160 ¥35.26 ¥19.58 −44%
Rongsheng Petrochemical Co 002493 ¥13.60 ¥2.90 −79%
Zangge Mining Company 000408 ¥72.65 ¥79.92 +10%
PT Barito Pacific Tbk, BRPT 1,700 IDR 1,563 IDR −8%
Ganfeng Lithium Group 002460 ¥46.67 ¥16.17 −65%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Shandong Shida Shenghua Chem Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/603026

Frequently asked questions

Is Shandong Shida Shenghua Chem (603026) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥10.84 versus a price of ¥61.30, about −82% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 603026?
Our model-based fair value for Shandong Shida Shenghua Chem is ¥10.84 (as of Sep 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥61.30.
What is the quality score of 603026?
Shandong Shida Shenghua Chem has a Quality Score of 31/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Shandong Shida Shenghua Chem (603026)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥10.84 (as of Sep 13, 2026) from 17 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥5.05, optimistic scenario ¥15.76. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Shandong Shida Shenghua Chem stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥10.84, about −82% upside versus a price of ¥61.30 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥5.05, optimistic scenario ¥15.76. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Shandong Shida Shenghua Chem (603026)?
Shandong Shida Shenghua Chem reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 7.5B CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 13, 2026).
Does Shandong Shida Shenghua Chem pay a dividend?
Shandong Shida Shenghua Chem currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.07% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 13, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Shandong Shida Shenghua Chem (603026)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Shandong Shida Shenghua Chem it is ¥10.84 per share (as of Sep 13, 2026), against a price of ¥61.30. It is the blended result of 17 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Shandong Shida Shenghua Chem stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 13, 2026, 603026 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥61.30, fair value ¥10.84, a gap of about −82% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 603026?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥61.30); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥10.84). For Shandong Shida Shenghua Chem the two are ¥50.46 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Shandong Shida Shenghua Chem worth?
The market values Shandong Shida Shenghua Chem at about 15.7B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Sep 13, 2026). Per share that is ¥61.30; our models calculate a fair value of ¥10.84 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 603026?
Our models span a range for Shandong Shida Shenghua Chem: cautious scenario ¥5.05, base ¥10.84, optimistic ¥15.76 per share (as of Sep 13, 2026, price ¥61.30). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 603026?
Shandong Shida Shenghua Chem trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 43.2 (as of Sep 13, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ¥10.84 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 3.2, P/S 2.1, EV/EBITDA 16.9.
How solid is the balance sheet of Shandong Shida Shenghua Chem (603026)?
Balance-sheet figures for Shandong Shida Shenghua Chem (as of Sep 13, 2026): return on equity 6.8%, debt of 0.14 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 31/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 603026 from its 52-week high?
Shandong Shida Shenghua Chem trades at ¥61.30, about 50% below its 52-week high of ¥122.16 and 78% above the low of ¥34.40 (as of Sep 13, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥10.84 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Shandong Shida Shenghua Chem?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value BASF SE, Saudi Basic Industries Corporation, A. Schulman, Inc, Ningxia Baofeng Energy Group, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Shandong Shida Shenghua Chem stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 13, 2026: price ¥61.30, calculated fair value ¥10.84 (−82%), Quality Score 31/100, from 17 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 603026 calculated?
We run Shandong Shida Shenghua Chem through 17 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ¥10.84, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.8 % above its aggregate fair value. Shandong Shida Shenghua Chem itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What should I pay attention to with Shandong Shida Shenghua Chem right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥15.76). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (31/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The model range is unusually wide (¥5.05 to ¥15.76). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.

Key figures of Shandong Shida Shenghua Chem

How large is the market capitalisation of Shandong Shida Shenghua Chem (603026)?
The market capitalisation of Shandong Shida Shenghua Chem is 15.7B CNY (≈ $2.3B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Shandong Shida Shenghua Chem (603026)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Shandong Shida Shenghua Chem is 0.10 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Shandong Shida Shenghua Chem (603026)?
Earnings per share at Shandong Shida Shenghua Chem are ¥1.42 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 43.2). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Shandong Shida Shenghua Chem (603026)?
The dividend yield of Shandong Shida Shenghua Chem is 0.1% (payout 2.8%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Shandong Shida Shenghua Chem (603026)?
The net margin of Shandong Shida Shenghua Chem is 0.2% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Shandong Shida Shenghua Chem (603026)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Shandong Shida Shenghua Chem is 6.8% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Shandong Shida Shenghua Chem (603026)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Shandong Shida Shenghua Chem is 9.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Shandong Shida Shenghua Chem (603026)?
The operating margin of Shandong Shida Shenghua Chem is 16.8% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Shandong Shida Shenghua Chem (603026)?
Revenue at Shandong Shida Shenghua Chem is growing +40.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg −6.5%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Shandong Shida Shenghua Chem (603026)?
Earnings per share at Shandong Shida Shenghua Chem are growing +12.6% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Shandong Shida Shenghua Chem (603026) generate?
The free cash flow of Shandong Shida Shenghua Chem is −1.5B CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Shandong Shida Shenghua Chem (603026) carry?
The net debt of Shandong Shida Shenghua Chem is 2.3B CNY (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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