Changbai Mountain Tourism Co (603099) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · CN · Market cap 10.4B CNY

Analysis

Changbai Mountain Tourism Co (603099) currently trades at ¥37.05, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥10.45 — implying the stock looks roughly 71.8% overvalued today. We read business quality at 93/100 (high quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

About the company

Changbai Mountain Tourism Co., Ltd. operates in the tourism industry in China. The company engages in tourist passenger transportation, hot spring development, hotel and travel agency management, scenic spot management, transportation operation, vacation services, business management consulting and operation, product planning and marketing, and other activities. Changbai Mountain Tourism Co., Ltd. is based in Changbai, China. The company operates as a subsidiary of Jilin Changbai Mountain Development and Construction (Group) Co.,Ltd.

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How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.