Shenzhen Goodix Technology Co (603160) Fair Value & Analysis
Technology · CN · Market cap 24.3B CNY
Fair value as of: Aug 10, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated today
Share price −8.2% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 51% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥31.59). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (69/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 10, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥44.66 – ¥141.07 · fair‑value band ¥18.95 – ¥31.59 · the ¥52.09 price screens above the ¥25.27 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 10, 2026.
Analysis
Shenzhen Goodix Technology Co (603160) currently trades at ¥52.09, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥25.27, implying the stock looks roughly 51.5% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 69/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Shenzhen Goodix Technology Co generated revenue of 4.6B CNY at a net margin of 16.4%. Revenue declined 9.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 8.3%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 400M CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 10, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥18.95 (bear case) to ¥31.59 (bull case); at ¥52.09, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 41% below its 52-week high and 1% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -27% fair-value upside, at -51%, 603160 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥37.17) versus Dividend Discount (¥8.67). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 10, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 69 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 29
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Shenzhen Goodix Technology Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, operates as an integrated solution provider for applications based on integrated circuit (IC) design and software development in China and internationally.
Full company description
Shenzhen Goodix Technology Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, operates as an integrated solution provider for applications based on integrated circuit (IC) design and software development in China and internationally. The company offers software and hardware semiconductor solutions for Internet of Things (IoT) applications and automotive electronics; and designs, develops, and sells IC chips. It also provides fingerprint sensors comprising ultrasonic, optical in-display, and capacitive fingerprint sensors; health, versa, light, and time of flight ranging sensors; touch screen and touchpad controllers, active stylus driver chips, microcontroller units for touch key, and haptic drivers; Bluetooth low energy and narrowband-IoT; smart amplifiers; voice and audio software, such as VoiceExperience, AudioCapture, SpeechAssist, CarVoice, and SmartEar; and embedded secure element and near-field communication controller chips. The company's products and solutions are used in smart devices, such as smartphones, tablets, and laptops; AIoT comprising wireless application, wearables, hearables, and smart home; automobile; and industrial applications. It exports its products. The company was formerly known as Shenzhen Huiding Technology Co., Ltd. and changed its name to Shenzhen Goodix Technology Co., Ltd. in April 2017. Shenzhen Goodix Technology Co., Ltd. was founded in 2002 and is headquartered in Shenzhen, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Shenzhen Goodix Technology Co reported revenue of ¥4.7B in FY2025 versus ¥5.7B in FY2021, a compound −4.7%/yr. Reported net income was ¥837M in FY2025, compounding −0.7%/yr from FY2021.
603160 screens 51% overvalued. Compare with SAP SE →
Peer Group
Software - Application · 709 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Software - Application median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Software - Application stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 10, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| SAP SE SAPS | C$12.69 | C$16.26 | +28% |
| Shopify Inc SHOP | C$173.23 | C$20.54 | -88% |
| Uber Technologies, Inc UBER | $72.67 | $51.11 | -30% |
| Salesforce, Inc CRM | $170.77 | $182.10 | +7% |
| ServiceNow, Inc NOW | $107.71 | $33.12 | -69% |
| Cadence Design Systems, Inc CDNS | $384.17 | $80.41 | -79% |
| Snowflake Inc SNOW | $271.87 | $34.04 | -87% |
| Adobe Inc ADBE | $230.61 | $379.48 | +65% |
| Automatic Data Processing, Inc ADP | $241.92 | $177.51 | -27% |
| Intuit Inc INTU | $291.09 | $258.69 | -11% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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