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Ningbo Shenglong Automotive Powertrain System Co (603178) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · CN · Market cap 4.0B CNY

Price¥15.85
Fair Value¥3.23
Upside-79.6%
Quality95/100
Evidence: Medium Range ¥2.41 – ¥4.83

Analysis

Ningbo Shenglong Automotive Powertrain System Co (603178) currently trades at ¥15.85, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥3.23 — implying the stock looks roughly 79.6% overvalued today. We read business quality at 95/100 (high quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

About the company

Ningbo Shenglong Automotive Powertrain System Co.,Ltd. engages in the research and development, production, and sale of automotive powertrain components in China and internationally. The company's products include engine mechanical, transmission, and new energy vehicle transmission and all-in-one electric drive system electronic oil pumps; electronic and mechanical, and heavy-duty silicone oil clutch water pumps; cast camshafts, forged camshafts, and assembled camshafts; and transmission core components. It also provides system integration and engineering services. The company was founded in 2007 and is headquartered in Ningbo, China. Ningbo Shenglong Automotive Powertrain System Co.,Ltd. operates as a subsidiary of Ningbo Shenglong Group Co., Ltd.

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How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.