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Zhejiang Huangma Technology Co (603181) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · CN · Market cap 7.8B CNY

ZH Zhejiang Huangma Technology Co 603181 · SHG
Price¥13.21
Fair Value¥7.23
Upside-45.3%
Quality57/100
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Mixed Growth
Solidly profitable · 18.2% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
1.70% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (8/14)
Moderate moat 64/100
Evidence: High Range ¥5.36 – ¥11.98 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 10, 2026

From 25 valuation models · updated today

Fair value updated Aug 10, 2026, revised from ¥7.78 to ¥7.23 (−7.1%) since Jul 11, 2026. Share price −8.8% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 45% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥11.98). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (57/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • A fairly wide model range (¥5.36 to ¥11.98) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥20.53 ¥8.09 Fair Value ¥7.23 Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 10, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥8.09 – ¥20.53 · fair‑value band ¥5.36 – ¥11.98 · the ¥13.21 price screens above the ¥7.23 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 10, 2026.

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Analysis

Zhejiang Huangma Technology Co (603181) currently trades at ¥13.21, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥7.23, implying the stock looks roughly 45.3% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 57/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Zhejiang Huangma Technology Co generated revenue of 2.5B CNY at a net margin of 18.2%. Revenue grew 8.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 13.1%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 241M CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 10, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥5.36 (bear case) to ¥11.98 (bull case); at ¥13.21, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 37% below its 52-week high and 14% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -58% fair-value upside, at -45%, 603181 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF ¥3.15 ¥4.32 ¥5.88 80
Residual Income ¥5.43 ¥6.47 ¥12.95 76
Rev-Margin DCF ¥3.80 ¥5.94 ¥8.28 74
All 25 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ¥3.08 ¥4.37 ¥6.17 38
Owner Earnings ¥5.15 ¥7.36 ¥10.44 31
5Y Revenue Exit ¥3.80 ¥5.93 ¥8.60 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥5.68 ¥9.32 ¥13.47 41
5Y P/E Exit ¥6.47 ¥10.76 ¥15.12 38
10Y Revenue Exit ¥3.37 ¥5.21 ¥7.55 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ¥4.65 ¥7.46 ¥11.06 37
10Y P/E Exit ¥5.14 ¥8.42 ¥12.25 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥5.04 ¥12.89 ¥16.78 54
PEG = 1.0 ¥2.41 ¥3.44 ¥4.47 46
EPV ¥6.95 ¥8.02 ¥8.94 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥2.00 ¥3.75 ¥6.03 70
DDM Multi-Stage ¥2.00 ¥3.00 ¥4.04 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥9.46 ¥12.61 ¥15.76 63
P/S Multiple ¥4.59 ¥6.13 ¥7.66 58
P/B Multiple ¥9.46 ¥12.61 ¥15.76 55
EV/EBIT ¥9.03 ¥11.97 ¥14.92 53
EV/EBITDA ¥8.19 ¥10.86 ¥13.53 54
EV/Revenue ¥4.47 ¥6.31 ¥8.15 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥2.93 ¥3.92 ¥5.85 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥3.15 ¥4.32 ¥5.88 80
Rev-Margin DCF ¥3.80 ¥5.94 ¥8.28 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥5.43 ¥6.47 ¥12.95 76
ROIC Compounder ¥7.13 ¥8.69 ¥10.49 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥7.47 ¥10.68 ¥13.88 68

Widest divergence: Multiples (¥10.86) versus Dividend Discount (¥3.00). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 2.5B CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) +8.9%
Net margin 18.2%
Return on equity 13.1%
Free cash flow 166M CNY FY2025
P/E ratio 20.1
More key figures
Operating margin 20.3%
EPS (TTM) ¥0.7700
Dividend yield 1.5%
EPS growth (YoY) +5.6%
Net cash 241M CNY FY2024

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 10, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 57/100

Of which business quality 56 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 36

Profitability 51
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 50
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 37
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 87
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 48
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 55
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 30
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 24
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 62
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Zhejiang Huangma Technology Co.,Ltd researches, develops, produces, and sells surfactants in China and internationally. It offers its products for use in modification of organic silicon new materials; lubricants and metalworking fluids; coatings; environmental water treatment; polycarboxylate water reducers; textile, printing and dying additives; composite …

Full company description

Zhejiang Huangma Technology Co.,Ltd researches, develops, produces, and sells surfactants in China and internationally. It offers its products for use in modification of organic silicon new materials; lubricants and metalworking fluids; coatings; environmental water treatment; polycarboxylate water reducers; textile, printing and dying additives; composite materials; personal care; agrochemical additives; adhesives and sealants; paper chemicals; oilfield chemicals; high end electronic chemicals; C4 green synthetic derivatives; and aerospace sector ,as well as offers spinning oil for special fibers and polyetheramine. Zhejiang Huangma Technology Co.,Ltd was founded in 2003 and is headquartered in Shaoxing, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Zhejiang Huangma Technology Co reported revenue of ¥2.4B in FY2025 versus ¥2.3B in FY2021, a compound +0.7%/yr. Reported net income was ¥437M in FY2025, compounding −0.7%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 63/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
2.4B CNY
Latest YoY
+3.1%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+3.3%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+4.3%
Avg. growth/yr (12Y)
+6.4%
Revenue +0.7%/yr
FY21 ¥2.3B
FY22 ¥2.2B
FY23 ¥1.9B
FY24 ¥2.3B
FY25 ¥2.4B
Net income −0.7%/yr
FY21 ¥448M
FY22 ¥477M
FY23 ¥325M
FY24 ¥398M
FY25 ¥437M

603181 screens 45% overvalued. Compare with Linde plc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Zhejiang Huangma Technology Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/603181

Peer Group

Specialty Chemicals · 676 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 57 · Above median
Fair Value upside −45% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 13% · Top 25%
Return on assets 7% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 18% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 20% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 9% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.7% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.12× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Chemicals median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 17.2× · Cheaper than median
P/B 2.26× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 3.16× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 7.0× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 12.8× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 45 · sector 19
PAST 52 · sector 23
HEALTH 94 · sector 95
DIVIDEND 34 · sector 25

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Specialty Chemicals stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 10, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Linde plc LIN $489.98 $222.03 -55%
Nan Ya Plastics Corporation 1303 181.50 TWD 255.83 TWD +41%
Wanhua Chemical Group 600309 ¥70.04 ¥68.03 -3%
Novozymes A/S NSISB kr 428.20 kr 179.66 -58%
Asian Paints Limited ASIANPAINT ₹2,689 ₹668.81 -75%
Solar Industries India Limited SOLARINDS ₹18,236 ₹2,793 -85%
Pidilite Industries Limited PIDILITIND ₹1,560 ₹351.84 -77%
PT Chandra Asri Pacific Tbk TPIA 1,805 IDR 2,888 IDR +60%
Linde India Limited LINDEINDIA ₹7,115 ₹757.93 -89%
Berger Paints India Limited BERGEPAINT ₹493.70 ₹164.29 -67%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Zhejiang Huangma Technology Co (603181) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 10, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥7.23 versus a price of ¥13.21, about −45% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 603181?
Our model-based fair value for Zhejiang Huangma Technology Co is ¥7.23 (as of Aug 10, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥13.21.
What is the quality score of 603181?
Zhejiang Huangma Technology Co has a Quality Score of 57/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Zhejiang Huangma Technology Co (603181)?
Zhejiang Huangma Technology Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 2.5B CNY (latest available figure, as of Aug 10, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 603181?
The net profit margin of Zhejiang Huangma Technology Co is about 18.2%, meaning it keeps roughly 18.2% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Zhejiang Huangma Technology Co pay a dividend?
Zhejiang Huangma Technology Co currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.46% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 10, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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