Xingtong Shipping Co (603209) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · CN · Market cap 4.3B CNY
Fair value as of: Jul 11, 2026
From 16 valuation models · updated 30 days ago
Share price +2.2% over the past month.
Below-average quality, currently priced close to our fair value.
What matters now
- The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
- Our model range runs from ¥11.12 (bear) to ¥18.54 (bull), base ¥14.83. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
- Quality 33/100 (below-average quality) with medium evidence: read the verdict with care.
Price vs Fair Value (4 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 11, 2026.
How to read this chart
52‑month range ¥11.10 – ¥28.17 · fair‑value band ¥11.12 – ¥18.54 · the ¥13.68 price screens below the ¥14.83 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 11, 2026.
Analysis
Xingtong Shipping Co (603209) currently trades at ¥13.68, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥14.83, implying the stock looks roughly 8.4% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 33/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Xingtong Shipping Co generated revenue of 1.7B CNY at a net margin of 18.0%. Revenue grew 22.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 9.4%. Net debt stands at 388M CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 11, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥11.12 (bear case) to ¥18.54 (bull case); at ¥13.68, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 25% below its 52-week high and 7% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 67% fair-value upside, at 8%, 603209 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 16 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (¥28.25) versus Dividend Discount (¥4.55). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 11, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 37 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 43
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Xingtong Shipping Co., Ltd. engages in water transport of bulk liquid dangerous goods. The company transports water transport of liquid chemicals, refined oil and liquefied petroleum gas.
Full company description
Xingtong Shipping Co., Ltd. engages in water transport of bulk liquid dangerous goods. The company transports water transport of liquid chemicals, refined oil and liquefied petroleum gas. It is also involved in domestic and international ship management business; international passenger ships; ship transportation; domestic cargo transportation agency; and ship leasing business. As of December 31, 2024, the company operates 37 bulk liquid chemical tankers and 37 ships. Xingtong Shipping Co., Ltd. was founded in 1997 and is based in Quanzhou, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Xingtong Shipping Co reported revenue of ¥1.6B in FY2025 versus ¥567M in FY2021, a compound +30.2%/yr. Reported net income was ¥270M in FY2025, compounding +7.9%/yr from FY2021.
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Peer Group
Marine Shipping · 231 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Marine Shipping median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Marine Shipping stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 11, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Adani Ports and Special Economic Zone Limited ADANIPORTS | ₹1,828 | ₹1,041 | -43% |
| A.P. Møller - Mærsk A/S MAERSKA | kr 16,520 | kr 3,033 | -82% |
| COSCO SHIPPING Holdings 601919 | ¥13.98 | ¥40.37 | +189% |
| Shanghai International Port (Group) Co 600018 | ¥5.17 | ¥6.57 | +27% |
| HMM Co 011200 | 20,050 KRW | 33,855 KRW | +69% |
| Ningbo Zhoushan Port Company 601018 | ¥3.35 | ¥5.58 | +67% |
| Qingdao Port International Co 601298 | ¥8.88 | ¥15.97 | +80% |
| JSW Infrastructure Limited JSWINFRA | ₹330.05 | ₹126.31 | -62% |
| Wan Hai Lines Ltd 2615 | 80.70 TWD | 212.79 TWD | +164% |
| Wallenius Wilhelmsen ASA WAWI | kr 137.70 | kr 50.56 | -63% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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