Guangdong Wencan Die Casting Co Ltd (603348) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Guangdong Wencan Die Casting Co Ltd ¥9.27, price ¥14.41, upside -35.7%, quality 22 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥12.78 – ¥96.73 · fair‑value band ¥7.58 – ¥10.74 · the ¥14.41 price screens above the ¥9.27 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
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Wencan Group Co., Ltd. engages in the research and development, production, and sale of aluminum alloy precision castings in China and internationally.
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Wencan Group Co., Ltd. engages in the research and development, production, and sale of aluminum alloy precision castings in China and internationally. It offers integrated body systems, such as monocoque front end, split front end, integrated side panel, and semi-monocoque rear floor and rear assembly; body structural system, including A pillar, door panel, front shock absorber, rear longitudinal beam, and torque box; battery housing system comprising battery housing assembly, battery housing component, and hybrid battery housing box; and new energy power system, which includes three-in-one motor housing, range-extender motor housing, range-extender motor housing end cover, front box, intermediate housing, and left housing. The company also provides chassis systems, such as front subframe, rear subframe, semi-split front subframe, semi-split rear subframe, and chassis connecting parts; brake system, including caliper, fixed monobloc caliper, vacuum booster master cylinder, and floating caliper; engine and transmission systems comprising AT transmission, AT clutch, DCT transmission, and DCT clutch housing; and outer and middle valve body. In addition, it offers other systems, such as drum, A/C compressor, and cover, adapter plate, long drive shaft, and short drive shafts for yacht engines. The company was formerly known as Guangdong Wencan Die Casting Co., Ltd. and changed its name to Wencan Group Co., Ltd. in July 2021. Wencan Group Co., Ltd. was founded in 1998 and is headquartered in Foshan, China.
Stock analysis
Guangdong Wencan Die Casting Co Ltd (603348) currently trades at ¥14.41, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥9.27, implying the stock looks roughly 55.5% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of ¥11.74 per share, and 1 of the 8 models we run sit above the ¥14.41 price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at ¥4.25, and 7 of the 8 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: ¥7.58 (bear) to ¥10.74 (bull), the price of ¥14.41 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 22/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Guangdong Wencan Die Casting Co Ltd reported revenue of 5.9B CNY in FY2025 versus 4.1B CNY in FY2021, a compound +9.5%/yr. Reported net income was −348M CNY in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap 4.5B CNY (≈ $677M) · P/S ratio 0.75 · EPS (TTM) ¥−1.37 · Dividend yield 3.1% · Net margin −5.9% · Return on equity −10.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) 2.3% · Operating margin −0.3%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 37 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 39% below its 52-week high and 13% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −38% fair-value upside, at −36%, 603348 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear ¥7.58Fair Value ¥9.27Bull ¥10.74
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.38/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
−5.4%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.2%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+17.8%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +17.6% a year
Revenue growth 13 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+16.9%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
5.1% (2020) → 3.9% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
Compare Guangdong Wencan Die Casting Co Ltd with another stock
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Auto Parts · 699 stocks
Beats the industry median on 4/11 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score22 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−36% · Below median
Profitability
Return on assets0% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM)−7% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)0% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth3% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM)3.1% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.32× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Auto Parts median · lower = cheaper
P/B0.17× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (TTM)0.11× · Cheapest 25%
EV/EBITDA2.2× · Cheapest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 29
FUTURE (revenue growth)17· sector 19
PAST (return on equity)0· sector 28
HEALTH (low debt)84· sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)63· sector 38
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Guangdong Wencan Die Casting Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/603348
Frequently asked questions
Is Guangdong Wencan Die Casting Co Ltd (603348) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥9.27 versus a price of ¥14.41, about −36% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 603348?
Our model-based fair value for Guangdong Wencan Die Casting Co Ltd is ¥9.27 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥14.41.
What is the quality score of 603348?
Guangdong Wencan Die Casting Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 22/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Guangdong Wencan Die Casting Co Ltd (603348)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥9.27 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 8 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥7.58, optimistic scenario ¥10.74. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Guangdong Wencan Die Casting Co Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥9.27, about −36% upside versus a price of ¥14.41 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥7.58, optimistic scenario ¥10.74. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Guangdong Wencan Die Casting Co Ltd (603348)?
Guangdong Wencan Die Casting Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 6.0B CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
Does Guangdong Wencan Die Casting Co Ltd pay a dividend?
Guangdong Wencan Die Casting Co Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.14% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 23, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Guangdong Wencan Die Casting Co Ltd (603348)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Guangdong Wencan Die Casting Co Ltd it is ¥9.27 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of ¥14.41. It is the blended result of 8 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Guangdong Wencan Die Casting Co Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, 603348 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥14.41, fair value ¥9.27, a gap of about −36% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 603348?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥14.41); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥9.27). For Guangdong Wencan Die Casting Co Ltd the two are ¥5.15 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Guangdong Wencan Die Casting Co Ltd worth?
The market values Guangdong Wencan Die Casting Co Ltd at about 4.5B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is ¥14.41; our models calculate a fair value of ¥9.27 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 603348?
Our models span a range for Guangdong Wencan Die Casting Co Ltd: cautious scenario ¥7.58, base ¥9.27, optimistic ¥10.74 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price ¥14.41). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Guangdong Wencan Die Casting Co Ltd (603348)?
Balance-sheet figures for Guangdong Wencan Die Casting Co Ltd (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity −10.6%, debt of 0.32 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 22/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 603348 from its 52-week high?
Guangdong Wencan Die Casting Co Ltd trades at ¥14.41, about 39% below its 52-week high of ¥23.54 and 13% above the low of ¥12.78 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥9.27 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Guangdong Wencan Die Casting Co Ltd?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value O'Reilly Automotive, Inc, AutoZone, Inc, Hyundai Mobis Co, Fuyao Glass Industry Group, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Guangdong Wencan Die Casting Co Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price ¥14.41, calculated fair value ¥9.27 (−36%), Quality Score 22/100, from 8 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 603348 calculated?
We run Guangdong Wencan Die Casting Co Ltd through 8 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ¥9.27, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Guangdong Wencan Die Casting Co Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Guangdong Wencan Die Casting Co Ltd (603348)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was ¥14.41. Our model-based fair value is ¥9.27, about −36% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Guangdong Wencan Die Casting Co Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥10.74). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (22/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
Where does the earnings growth of Guangdong Wencan Die Casting Co Ltd (603348) come from?
Earnings per share at Guangdong Wencan Die Casting Co Ltd grew −3.6 % a year from 2013 to 2024. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +12.3 %, EBIT margin −13.3 %, tax rate −0.2 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −0.7 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Guangdong Wencan Die Casting Co Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Guangdong Wencan Die Casting Co Ltd (603348)?
The market capitalisation of Guangdong Wencan Die Casting Co Ltd is 4.5B CNY (≈ $677M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Guangdong Wencan Die Casting Co Ltd (603348)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Guangdong Wencan Die Casting Co Ltd is 0.75 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Guangdong Wencan Die Casting Co Ltd (603348)?
Earnings per share at Guangdong Wencan Die Casting Co Ltd are ¥−1.37. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Guangdong Wencan Die Casting Co Ltd (603348)?
The dividend yield of Guangdong Wencan Die Casting Co Ltd is 3.1%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Guangdong Wencan Die Casting Co Ltd (603348)?
The net margin of Guangdong Wencan Die Casting Co Ltd is −5.9% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Guangdong Wencan Die Casting Co Ltd (603348)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Guangdong Wencan Die Casting Co Ltd is −10.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Guangdong Wencan Die Casting Co Ltd (603348)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Guangdong Wencan Die Casting Co Ltd is 2.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Guangdong Wencan Die Casting Co Ltd (603348)?
The operating margin of Guangdong Wencan Die Casting Co Ltd is −0.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Guangdong Wencan Die Casting Co Ltd (603348)?
Revenue at Guangdong Wencan Die Casting Co Ltd is growing +3.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg +4.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Guangdong Wencan Die Casting Co Ltd (603348)?
Earnings per share at Guangdong Wencan Die Casting Co Ltd are growing −61.3% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Guangdong Wencan Die Casting Co Ltd (603348) generate?
The free cash flow of Guangdong Wencan Die Casting Co Ltd is −209M CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Guangdong Wencan Die Casting Co Ltd (603348) carry?
The net debt of Guangdong Wencan Die Casting Co Ltd is 1.4B CNY (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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