KEBODA TECHNOLOGY Co (603786) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · CN · Market cap 19.7B CNY
Fair value as of: Jul 11, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 30 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 11, 2026, revised from ¥38.10 to ¥34.91 (−8.4%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +1.2% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 18% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- Solid but not exceptional quality (56/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- A fairly wide model range (¥20.05 to ¥45.65) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 11, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥35.28 – ¥108.26 · fair‑value band ¥20.05 – ¥45.65 · the ¥42.47 price screens above the ¥34.91 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 11, 2026.
Analysis
KEBODA TECHNOLOGY Co (603786) currently trades at ¥42.47, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥34.91, implying the stock looks roughly 17.8% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 56/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, KEBODA TECHNOLOGY Co generated revenue of 7.0B CNY at a net margin of 11.3%. Revenue grew 3.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 14.1%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 502M CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 11, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥20.05 (bear case) to ¥45.65 (bull case); at ¥42.47, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 61% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -44% fair-value upside, at -18%, 603786 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (¥68.51) versus Asset-Based (¥9.34). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 11, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 56 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 21
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
KEBODA TECHNOLOGY Co., Ltd. manufacture and sale of automotive electronics and related products for automotive industry in China.
Full company description
KEBODA TECHNOLOGY Co., Ltd. manufacture and sale of automotive electronics and related products for automotive industry in China. The company offers automotive electronics products comprising lighting control systems, such as LED headlamp controllers, LED tail light controllers, RGB nodes, Intelligent interior light, reading lights, etc.; and domain and motor control system products, including dynamic chassis controller, air suspension controller, electromagnetic suspension controller, chassis domain control, air blower controller, etc. It also provides energy management system products, which includes eFuse, PDLC controller, 12V DCDC converter, overvoltage protection switch, USB/HUB/PD/DP, etc.; and intelligent actuator products consisting of grille actuators, electronic water valve actuators, electric vehicle charging door actuators, and other products. In addition, the company offers automotive electrical products, including cigarette lighters, power outlets, washing systems, automotive sensors, AVS actuators, liquid control valves, and other products; engine components, such as electric pumps, preheaters, clamps and others; and harness products, including auto wiring harness, engine pre-assembled wiring harness, and special wiring harness, as well as high-voltage inverter and fuel pump wiring harness. The company was formerly known as Shanghai Oubao Electric Technology Corp. and changed its name to KEBODA TECHNOLOGY Co., Ltd. in November 2007. KEBODA TECHNOLOGY Co., Ltd. was founded in 2003 and is headquartered in Shanghai, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
KEBODA TECHNOLOGY Co reported revenue of ¥6.9B in FY2025 versus ¥2.8B in FY2021, a compound +25.4%/yr. Reported net income was ¥829M in FY2025, compounding +20.8%/yr from FY2021.
603786 screens 18% overvalued. Compare with Hyundai Mobis Co →
Peer Group
Auto Parts · 642 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Auto Parts median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Insider activity: 40/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Auto Parts stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 11, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hyundai Mobis Co 012330 | 482,000 KRW | 678,420 KRW | +41% |
| Magna International Inc MGAN | 1,122 MXN | 1,172 MXN | +4% |
| Samvardhana Motherson International Limited MOTHERSON | ₹144.17 | ₹80.63 | -44% |
| Bosch Limited BOSCHLTD | ₹41,110 | ₹14,004 | -66% |
| Bharat Forge Limited BHARATFORG | ₹2,117 | ₹441.74 | -79% |
| Uno Minda Limited UNOMINDA | ₹1,158 | ₹426.57 | -63% |
| Schaeffler India Limited SCHAEFFLER | ₹4,135 | ₹1,412 | -66% |
| Hankook Tire & Technology Co 161390 | 73,600 KRW | 196,479 KRW | +167% |
| MRF Limited MRF | ₹131,025 | ₹125,849 | -4% |
| Sona BLW Precision Forgings Limited SONACOMS | ₹792.00 | ₹207.06 | -74% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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