Tianjin Silvery Dragon (603969) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Tianjin Silvery Dragon ¥4.67, price ¥7.53, upside -38.0%, quality 61 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
- Fair value above price? No
- Good quality? Yes
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Tianjin Silvery Dragon
603969 · SHGStretched ValuationStrong overvaluation with only moderate quality.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥3.58 – ¥11.41 · fair‑value band ¥2.85 – ¥7.11 · the ¥7.53 price screens above the ¥4.67 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Company profile
Silvery Dragon Group Co., Ltd. Tianjin, together with its subsidiaries, researches, develops, manufactures and sells prestressed steel products in China and internationally.
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Silvery Dragon Group Co., Ltd. Tianjin, together with its subsidiaries, researches, develops, manufactures and sells prestressed steel products in China and internationally. The company offers prestressed materials comprising galvanized (aluminum) wires for bridge cables, PC strands for wind power concrete towers, prestressed galvanized (aluminum) strands for photovoltaic, unbonded galvanized strands for hydropower, strands for nuclear power plant safety shells and low temperature LNG/LPG, prestressing systems of high-speed railway track slabs, PC wires for railway sleepers and PCCP pipelines, and PC bars for t-shaped continuous beams. It also provides prestressed concrete products for track slabs; new energy materials products, such as prestressed flexible large-span suspension photovoltaic support systems, flexible photovoltaic support prestressed anchors, and flexible photovoltaic bracket side slopes; automation equipment; and precision steel molds for track slabs, sleepers, and pipe segments. In addition, the company offers project management information and intelligent monitoring systems, such as 3D displacement intelligent monitoring systems for construction engineering, seamless rail crawling monitoring systems, railway seamless rail stress release and locking construction management systems, concrete product production management systems for rail transit, PCCP water pipeline production management systems, and wind power concrete tower intelligent monitoring systems. It serves the rail transit, highways, railways, water conservancy, new energy, construction, and other sectors. Further, the company is also involved in new energy project investment; trading; technology development and technical consulting; technical services; and power generation and transmission activities. It exports its products. The company was formerly known as Silvery Dragon Prestressed Materials Co.,LTD Tianjin and changed its name to Silvery Dragon Group Co., Ltd. Tianjin in December 2025. Silvery Dragon Group Co., Ltd. Tianjin was f
Stock analysis
Tianjin Silvery Dragon (603969) currently trades at ¥7.53, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥4.67, implying the stock looks roughly 61.2% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of ¥6.51 per share, and 2 of the 26 models we run sit above the ¥7.53 price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at ¥1.19, and 24 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: ¥2.85 (bear) to ¥7.11 (bull), the price of ¥7.53 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 61/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Tianjin Silvery Dragon reported revenue of 3.2B CNY in FY2025 versus 3.1B CNY in FY2021, a compound +0.4%/yr. Reported net income was 366M CNY in FY2025, compounding +25.7%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 6.4B CNY (≈ $956M) · P/E ratio 17.5 · P/S ratio 2.00 · EPS (TTM) ¥0.4300 · Dividend yield 0.9% · Net margin 11.4% · Return on equity 14.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) 6.9%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 37 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 34% below its 52-week high and 10% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −45% fair-value upside, at −38%, 603969 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
All 26 models by family
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Set up alert →Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 60 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 37
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Forecast
603969 screens 61% overvalued. Compare with Nucor Corporation →
Compare Tianjin Silvery Dragon with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Steel · 415 stocks
Valuation Multiplesvs Steel median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Context: sector, industry, market
- Is the Materials sector expensive or cheap?
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Undervalued stocks: Chinese Stocks
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Steel stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nucor Corporation NUE | $245.66 | $116.05 | −53% |
| Steel Dynamics, Inc STLD | $233.99 | $127.14 | −46% |
| JSW Steel Limited JSWSTEEL | ₹1,298 | ₹1,103 | −15% |
| Tata Steel Limited TATASTEEL | ₹190.82 | ₹147.13 | −23% |
| Reliance, Inc RS | $386.95 | $211.57 | −45% |
| Baoshan Iron & Steel Co 600019 | ¥5.73 | ¥8.07 | +41% |
| POSCO Holdings PKX | $59.05 | $68.58 | +16% |
| Inner Mongolia Baotou Steel Union Co 600010 | ¥2.12 | ¥0.5500 | −74% |
| Jindal Steel Limited JINDALSTEL | ₹1,175 | ₹516.27 | −56% |
| Lloyds Metals and Energy Limited LLOYDSME | ₹1,891 | ₹771.10 | −59% |
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