Zhejiang Natural Outdoor Goods Inc. (605080) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Zhejiang Natural Outdoor Goods Inc. stock ¥17.35, price ¥22.25, that is 22.0% below the price, quality 58 out of 100. Rating: overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 5, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥13.21 – ¥55.17 · fair‑value band ¥10.72 – ¥27.09 · the ¥22.25 price screens above the ¥17.35 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 5, 2026.
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Zhejiang Natural Outdoor Goods Inc. engages in the research, design, development, production, and sale of outdoor sports products in China and internationally.
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Its products primarily include automatic inflatable mattresses, inflatable beds, waterproof bags, ice bags, pillows, seat cushions, TPU composite fabrics, shelters, and other products. The company was founded in 1992 and is headquartered in Taizhou, China.
Stock analysis
Zhejiang Natural Outdoor Goods Inc. (605080) currently trades at ¥22.25, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥17.35, 22% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of ¥23.65 per share, and 7 of the 26 models we run sit above the ¥22.25 price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at ¥2.84, and 19 of the 26 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: ¥10.72 (bear) to ¥27.09 (bull), the price of ¥22.25 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 58/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Zhejiang Natural Outdoor Goods Inc. reported revenue of 1.0B CNY in FY2025 versus 842M CNY in FY2021, a compound +5.0%/yr. Reported net income was 191M CNY in FY2025, compounding −3.4%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 3.1B CNY (≈ $472M) Small · P/E ratio 19.0 · P/S ratio 2.97 · EPS (TTM) ¥1.17 · Dividend yield 0.6% · Net margin 15.6% · Return on equity 7.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) 9.8% (5-year average).
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 55 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 19% below its 52-week high and 17% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at −22%, 605080 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear¥10.72Fair Value ¥17.35Bull¥27.09
Price ¥22.25 · Downside -22.0%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then (¥0.8787 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.77/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+2.1%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.7%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+12.0%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 9 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+13.1%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−1.5%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−2.1%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.6%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−2.1% vs 3.4%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.31% → 18%
Pace: the 5-year rate starts in 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+22.7%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (China: IMF forecast 1.7% a year to 2030, 1.4% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +20.6% a year for the price.
Compare Zhejiang Natural Outdoor Goods Inc. with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Leisure · 169 stocks
Beats the industry median on 7/14 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score58 · Above median
Fair Value upside−22.0% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)7.5% · Above median
Return on assets7.5% · Top 25%
Net margin (12 months)15.6% · Top 25%
Operating margin (12 months)13.0% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)5.3% · Above median
Dividend yield (12 months)0.6% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.00× · Lowest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Leisure median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Zhejiang Natural Outdoor Goods Inc. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/605080
Frequently asked questions
Is Zhejiang Natural Outdoor Goods Inc. (605080) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 5, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥17.35 versus a price of ¥22.25, about 22% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 605080?
Our model-based fair value for Zhejiang Natural Outdoor Goods Inc. is ¥17.35 (as of Nov 5, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥22.25.
What is the quality score of 605080?
Zhejiang Natural Outdoor Goods Inc. has a Quality Score of 58/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Zhejiang Natural Outdoor Goods Inc. (605080)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥17.35 (as of Nov 5, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥10.72, optimistic scenario ¥27.09. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Zhejiang Natural Outdoor Goods Inc. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥17.35, about 22% lower versus a price of ¥22.25 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥10.72, optimistic scenario ¥27.09. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Zhejiang Natural Outdoor Goods Inc. (605080)?
Zhejiang Natural Outdoor Goods Inc. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.1B CNY (latest available figure, as of Nov 5, 2026).
Does Zhejiang Natural Outdoor Goods Inc. pay a dividend?
Zhejiang Natural Outdoor Goods Inc. currently shows a dividend yield of 0.64% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 5, 2026).
How much is the dividend of Zhejiang Natural Outdoor Goods Inc. (605080) and when is the ex-dividend date?
Zhejiang Natural Outdoor Goods Inc. pays a dividend of ¥0.142 per share a year, a dividend yield of 0.6%. The last ex-dividend date was Jul 16, 2026. A dividend has been paid every year since at least 2022. The payout ratio is 12.1% of earnings. Free cash flow covers the dividend 3.25 times. Our assessment: Well covered. A low payout and the dividend is fully funded by free cash flow, a comfortable, sustainable dividend.
What growth is priced into Zhejiang Natural Outdoor Goods Inc. (605080)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Zhejiang Natural Outdoor Goods Inc. would have to grow free cash flow by +22.7 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.7 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +12.0 % per year. As of Nov 5, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 605080 use?
Our models discount Zhejiang Natural Outdoor Goods Inc. at 10.7 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 0.58, country premium for China. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Zhejiang Natural Outdoor Goods Inc. that is +22.7 % per year for five years, then slowing evenly to 2 % by year ten, using the same discount rate (10.7 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Zhejiang Natural Outdoor Goods Inc. (605080) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Zhejiang Natural Outdoor Goods Inc. grew +12.0 % a year. The price currently implies free-cash-flow growth of +22.7 % per year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Zhejiang Natural Outdoor Goods Inc. (605080) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +4.7 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Zhejiang Natural Outdoor Goods Inc. (+22.7 % per year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Zhejiang Natural Outdoor Goods Inc. (605080)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 2.06 %: that much free cash flow Zhejiang Natural Outdoor Goods Inc. produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.7 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Zhejiang Natural Outdoor Goods Inc. (605080)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Zhejiang Natural Outdoor Goods Inc. it is ¥17.35 per share (as of Nov 5, 2026), against a price of ¥22.25. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models in 8 families (DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is Zhejiang Natural Outdoor Goods Inc. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 5, 2026, 605080 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥22.25, fair value ¥17.35, a gap of about −22% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 605080?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥22.25); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥17.35). For Zhejiang Natural Outdoor Goods Inc. the two are ¥4.90 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Zhejiang Natural Outdoor Goods Inc. worth?
The market values Zhejiang Natural Outdoor Goods Inc. at about 3.1B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Nov 5, 2026). Per share that is ¥22.25; our models calculate a fair value of ¥17.35 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 605080?
Our models span a range for Zhejiang Natural Outdoor Goods Inc.: cautious scenario ¥10.72, base ¥17.35, optimistic ¥27.09 per share (as of Nov 5, 2026, price ¥22.25). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 605080?
Zhejiang Natural Outdoor Goods Inc. trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 19.0 (as of Nov 5, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ¥17.35 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.4, P/S 3.0, EV/EBITDA 14.2.
How solid is the balance sheet of Zhejiang Natural Outdoor Goods Inc. (605080)?
Balance-sheet figures for Zhejiang Natural Outdoor Goods Inc. (as of Nov 5, 2026): return on equity 7.5%, debt of 0.00 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 58/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 605080 from its 52-week high?
Zhejiang Natural Outdoor Goods Inc. trades at ¥22.25, about 19% below its 52-week high of ¥27.45 and 17% above the low of ¥18.96 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥17.35 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Zhejiang Natural Outdoor Goods Inc.?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Pop Mart International Group, Amer Sports, Inc, Hasbro, Inc, Life Time Group, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Zhejiang Natural Outdoor Goods Inc. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 5, 2026: price ¥22.25, calculated fair value ¥17.35 (−22%), Quality Score 58/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 605080 calculated?
We run Zhejiang Natural Outdoor Goods Inc. through 26 models from 8 families: DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of ¥17.35 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. Zhejiang Natural Outdoor Goods Inc. itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Zhejiang Natural Outdoor Goods Inc. (605080)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was ¥22.25. Our model-based fair value is ¥17.35, about 22% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Zhejiang Natural Outdoor Goods Inc. right now?
Solid but not exceptional quality (58/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range (¥10.72 to ¥27.09) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Zhejiang Natural Outdoor Goods Inc.
How large is the market capitalisation of Zhejiang Natural Outdoor Goods Inc. (605080)?
The market capitalisation of Zhejiang Natural Outdoor Goods Inc. is 3.1B CNY (≈ $472M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Zhejiang Natural Outdoor Goods Inc. (605080)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Zhejiang Natural Outdoor Goods Inc. is 2.97 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Zhejiang Natural Outdoor Goods Inc. (605080)?
Earnings per share at Zhejiang Natural Outdoor Goods Inc. are ¥1.17 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 19.0). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Zhejiang Natural Outdoor Goods Inc. (605080)?
The dividend yield of Zhejiang Natural Outdoor Goods Inc. is 0.6% (payout 12.1%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Zhejiang Natural Outdoor Goods Inc. (605080)?
The net margin of Zhejiang Natural Outdoor Goods Inc. is 15.6% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Zhejiang Natural Outdoor Goods Inc. (605080)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Zhejiang Natural Outdoor Goods Inc. is 7.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Zhejiang Natural Outdoor Goods Inc. (605080)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Zhejiang Natural Outdoor Goods Inc. is 9.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Zhejiang Natural Outdoor Goods Inc. (605080)?
The operating margin of Zhejiang Natural Outdoor Goods Inc. is 13.0% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Zhejiang Natural Outdoor Goods Inc. (605080)?
Revenue at Zhejiang Natural Outdoor Goods Inc. is growing +5.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg +2.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Zhejiang Natural Outdoor Goods Inc. (605080)?
Earnings per share at Zhejiang Natural Outdoor Goods Inc. are growing −4.8% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does Zhejiang Natural Outdoor Goods Inc. (605080) hold?
Zhejiang Natural Outdoor Goods Inc. holds more cash than debt, 180M CNY net (fiscal year 2024). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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Broad data
Nov 5, 2026