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YOUZAN TECHNOLOGY LTD (6051) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 5, 2026: fair value of YOUZAN TECHNOLOGY LTD HK$1.98, price HK$1.23, upside +61.6%, quality 69 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? Yes
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Technology · HK

YT Thin data Oct 5, 2026

YOUZAN TECHNOLOGY LTD

6051 · HK

Clearly undervaluedStrong Fair Value upside, but quality is only moderate.

Fair value HK$1.98 · Strongly undervalued (+61.6%)
Quality 69/100
Solidly profitable · 10.3% net margin (TTM)
Low debt
Generates free cash flow
Ranks above peers (10/13)
Moderate moat 46/100
Weak Growth (revenue 3y −0.2 %/yr in CNY)
Thin data
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

HK$1.76 HK$0.0530 Fair Value HK$1.98 May 2021 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 5, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$0.0530 – HK$1.76 · fair‑value band HK$1.70 – HK$2.39 · the HK$1.23 price screens below the HK$1.98 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 5, 2026.

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Company profile

Youzan Technology Limited, an investment holding company, provides online and offline e-commerce solutions in the People's Republic of China, Japan, and Canada. It operates through three segments: Third-Party Payment Services, Merchant Services, and Others.

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Youzan Technology Limited, an investment holding company, provides online and offline e-commerce solutions in the People's Republic of China, Japan, and Canada. It operates through three segments: Third-Party Payment Services, Merchant Services, and Others. The company offers third party payment and related consultancy services; and an e-commerce platform with various Software as a Service (Saas) products and services. In addition, it provides a suite of SaaS products, such as Youzan WeiMall, Youzan Store, Youzan Chain, Youzan Beauty, and other SaaS products; internet information; and factoring and guarantee, as well as research and development center services. Further, the company provides customized services for merchants and offers applications by third-party developers on Youzan App; and value-added services, including payment services, merchandise sourcing and distribution, consumer protection, and online traffic monetisation. The company was formerly known as China Youzan Limited and changed its name to Youzan Technology Limited in August 2024. Youzan Technology Limited was founded in 1995 and is headquartered in Wan Chai, Hong Kong.

Stock analysis

YOUZAN TECHNOLOGY LTD (6051) currently trades at HK$1.23, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$1.98, implying the stock looks roughly 38.1% undervalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of HK$2.50 per share, and 17 of the 22 models we run sit above the HK$1.23 price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at HK$0.6200, and 5 of the 22 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: HK$1.70 (bear) to HK$2.39 (bull), the price of HK$1.23 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 69/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.

YOUZAN TECHNOLOGY LTD reported revenue of 1.5B CNY in FY2025 versus 1.5B CNY in FY2022, a compound −0.2%/yr. Reported net income was 163M CNY in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap HK$2.0B (≈ $252M) · P/E ratio 10.2 · P/S ratio 1.12 · Net margin 11.0% · Return on equity 13.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) −2.9% · Operating margin 7.6% · Revenue (TTM) 1.5B CNY.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 49 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 27% below its 52-week high and 1,650% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −8% fair-value upside, at 62%, 6051 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear HK$1.70 Fair Value HK$1.98 Bull HK$2.39
Price HK$1.23 · Upside +61.6%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF HK$1.90 HK$2.24 HK$2.81 79
Growth DCF HK$1.94 HK$2.26 HK$2.75 77
Owner Earnings HK$1.52 HK$1.76 HK$2.17 75
All 22 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF HK$1.90 HK$2.24 HK$2.81 79
Owner Earnings HK$1.52 HK$1.76 HK$2.17 75
5Y Revenue Exit HK$1.56 HK$1.88 HK$2.34 71
5Y EBITDA Exit HK$1.76 HK$2.21 HK$2.82 74
5Y P/E Exit HK$2.32 HK$3.17 HK$4.20 69
10Y Revenue Exit HK$1.70 HK$1.94 HK$2.18 65
10Y EBITDA Exit HK$1.82 HK$2.12 HK$2.43 67
10Y P/E Exit HK$2.11 HK$2.63 HK$3.14 62
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd HK$0.8100 HK$1.09 HK$1.26 65
EPV HK$1.02 HK$1.08 HK$1.13 71
Multiples
P/E Multiple HK$2.51 HK$3.34 HK$4.18 63
P/S Multiple HK$1.52 HK$2.03 HK$2.54 58
P/B Multiple HK$1.52 HK$2.03 HK$2.54 55
EV/EBIT HK$2.09 HK$2.62 HK$3.14 66
EV/EBITDA HK$1.80 HK$2.23 HK$2.65 67
EV/Revenue HK$1.32 HK$1.66 HK$2.00 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) HK$0.4600 HK$0.6200 HK$0.9300 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF HK$1.94 HK$2.26 HK$2.75 77
Rev-Margin DCF HK$1.56 HK$1.92 HK$2.37 71
Economic Profit
Residual Income HK$0.8000 HK$0.8900 HK$1.04 68
ROIC Compounder HK$1.02 HK$1.09 HK$1.16 69
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E HK$1.75 HK$2.50 HK$3.26 65

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 69/100

Of which business quality 65 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 72

Profitability 35
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 64
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 75
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 45
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 18
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 100
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 86
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 100
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 40/100
Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.
Revenue growth 1 year
+3.1%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−0.2%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−42.7% (2022) → 8.0% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: rate outside our plausibility band
not computed

Growth Forecast

Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−12.9%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (figures in CNY, China: IMF forecast 1.7% a year to 2030, 1.4% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −14.3% a year for the price.

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Software - Application · 674 stocks

Beats the industry median on 10/13 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 69 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +61.6% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 13.1% · Above median
Return on assets 1.4% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 10.3% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 7.6% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 7.8% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.28× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Software - Application median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 10.2× · Cheapest 25%
P/B 1.33× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 1.10× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 7.0× · Cheapest 25%
EV/EBITDA 7.6× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)100 · sector 29
FUTURE (revenue growth)39 · sector 41
PAST (return on equity)52 · sector 19
HEALTH (low debt)86 · sector 97
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 34

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Software - Application stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
SAP SE SAP €186.74 €172.46 −8%
Salesforce, Inc CRM $229.57 $342.73 +49%
Shopify Inc SHOP $151.39 $64.36 −57%
ServiceNow, Inc NOW $134.01 $147.41 +10%
Uber Technologies, Inc UBER $68.11 $103.69 +52%
Snowflake Inc SNOW $341.04 $74.36 −78%
Automatic Data Processing, Inc ADP $257.68 $150.01 −42%
Adobe Inc ADBE $239.94 $454.04 +89%
Datadog, Inc DDOG $277.22 $32.52 −88%
Cadence Design Systems, Inc CDNS $351.35 $225.48 −36%

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HK$1.98 +38%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "YOUZAN TECHNOLOGY LTD Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/6051

Frequently asked questions

Is YOUZAN TECHNOLOGY LTD (6051) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 5, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$1.98 versus a price of HK$1.23, about +62% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 6051?
Our model-based fair value for YOUZAN TECHNOLOGY LTD is HK$1.98 (as of Oct 5, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$1.23.
What is the quality score of 6051?
YOUZAN TECHNOLOGY LTD has a Quality Score of 69/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for YOUZAN TECHNOLOGY LTD (6051)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$1.98 (as of Oct 5, 2026) from 22 valuation models. Cautious scenario HK$1.70, optimistic scenario HK$2.39. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the YOUZAN TECHNOLOGY LTD stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at HK$1.98, about +62% upside versus a price of HK$1.23 (undervalued). Cautious scenario HK$1.70, optimistic scenario HK$2.39. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of YOUZAN TECHNOLOGY LTD (6051)?
YOUZAN TECHNOLOGY LTD reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.5B CNY (latest available figure, as of Oct 5, 2026).
What growth is priced into YOUZAN TECHNOLOGY LTD (6051)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, YOUZAN TECHNOLOGY LTD would have to grow free cash flow by -12.9 % per year for five years (discount rate 14.4 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 3 years revenue grew -0.2 % per year. As of Oct 5, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 6051 use?
Our models discount YOUZAN TECHNOLOGY LTD at 14.4 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), damped by beta 1.34, country premium for Hong Kong. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For YOUZAN TECHNOLOGY LTD that is -12.9 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (14.4 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has YOUZAN TECHNOLOGY LTD (6051) delivered so far?
Over the past 3 years revenue at YOUZAN TECHNOLOGY LTD grew -0.2 % a year. The price currently implies -12.9 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of YOUZAN TECHNOLOGY LTD (6051) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +16.8 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into YOUZAN TECHNOLOGY LTD (-12.9 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of YOUZAN TECHNOLOGY LTD (6051)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 14.31 %: that much free cash flow YOUZAN TECHNOLOGY LTD produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (14.4 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of YOUZAN TECHNOLOGY LTD (6051)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For YOUZAN TECHNOLOGY LTD it is HK$1.98 per share (as of Oct 5, 2026), against a price of HK$1.23. It is the blended result of 22 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is YOUZAN TECHNOLOGY LTD stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 5, 2026, 6051 trades below its calculated fair value: price HK$1.23, fair value HK$1.98, a gap of about +62% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 6051?
No. The price is what the market pays today (HK$1.23); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (HK$1.98). For YOUZAN TECHNOLOGY LTD the two are HK$0.7550 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is YOUZAN TECHNOLOGY LTD worth?
The market values YOUZAN TECHNOLOGY LTD at about HK$2.0B (market capitalisation, as of Oct 5, 2026). Per share that is HK$1.23; our models calculate a fair value of HK$1.98 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 6051?
Our models span a range for YOUZAN TECHNOLOGY LTD: cautious scenario HK$1.70, base HK$1.98, optimistic HK$2.39 per share (as of Oct 5, 2026, price HK$1.23). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 6051?
YOUZAN TECHNOLOGY LTD trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 10.2 (as of Oct 5, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of HK$1.98 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.3, P/S 1.1, EV/EBITDA 7.6.
How solid is the balance sheet of YOUZAN TECHNOLOGY LTD (6051)?
Balance-sheet figures for YOUZAN TECHNOLOGY LTD (as of Oct 5, 2026): return on equity 13.1%, debt of 0.28 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 69/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 6051 from its 52-week high?
YOUZAN TECHNOLOGY LTD trades at HK$1.23, about 27% below its 52-week high of HK$1.67 and 1,650% above the low of HK$0.0700 (as of Oct 5, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of HK$1.98 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to YOUZAN TECHNOLOGY LTD?
From the same area (Technology) we also value SAP SE, Salesforce, Inc, Shopify Inc, ServiceNow, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is YOUZAN TECHNOLOGY LTD stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 5, 2026: price HK$1.23, calculated fair value HK$1.98 (+62%), Quality Score 69/100, from 22 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 6051 calculated?
We run YOUZAN TECHNOLOGY LTD through 22 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of HK$1.98, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.0 % above its aggregate fair value. YOUZAN TECHNOLOGY LTD currently trades 38 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of YOUZAN TECHNOLOGY LTD (6051)?
The closing price on Oct 5, 2026 was HK$1.23. Our model-based fair value is HK$1.98, about +62% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with YOUZAN TECHNOLOGY LTD right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case (HK$1.70). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid quality (69/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.

Key figures of YOUZAN TECHNOLOGY LTD

How large is the market capitalisation of YOUZAN TECHNOLOGY LTD (6051)?
The market capitalisation of YOUZAN TECHNOLOGY LTD is HK$2.0B (≈ $252M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of YOUZAN TECHNOLOGY LTD (6051)?
The price-to-sales ratio of YOUZAN TECHNOLOGY LTD is 1.12 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the net margin of YOUZAN TECHNOLOGY LTD (6051)?
The net margin of YOUZAN TECHNOLOGY LTD is 11.0% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of YOUZAN TECHNOLOGY LTD (6051)?
The return on equity (ROE) of YOUZAN TECHNOLOGY LTD is 13.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of YOUZAN TECHNOLOGY LTD (6051)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of YOUZAN TECHNOLOGY LTD is −2.9% (avg 4y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of YOUZAN TECHNOLOGY LTD (6051)?
The operating margin of YOUZAN TECHNOLOGY LTD is 7.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at YOUZAN TECHNOLOGY LTD (6051)?
Revenue at YOUZAN TECHNOLOGY LTD is growing +7.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg −0.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at YOUZAN TECHNOLOGY LTD (6051)?
Earnings per share at YOUZAN TECHNOLOGY LTD are growing −0.6% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
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