Ginar Technology Co Ltd (6151) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Ginar Technology Co Ltd TWD 22.76, price TWD 35.00, upside -35.0%, quality 72 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Ginar Technology Co.,Ltd. engages in the research, development, and production of engineering plastic and composite materials in Taiwan and China. It offers polyamide (PA), polypropylene, and polycarbonate, as well as color mating technology.
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Ginar Technology Co.,Ltd. engages in the research, development, and production of engineering plastic and composite materials in Taiwan and China. It offers polyamide (PA), polypropylene, and polycarbonate, as well as color mating technology. The company also provides GITA HPPA engineering plastics, including high-performance nylon composite engineering plastic and flame retardant; MAPEX polyamide engineering plastics comprising polyamide 6, polyamide 66, and high temperature nylon compounds; APLAX polypropylene engineering plastics, such as polypropylene compounds; and KAPEX polycarbonate engineering plastics. Its products are used in materials for automotive, sports, daily life, consumer electronics, and electrical and electronics applications. The company was founded in 1982 and is headquartered in Taoyuan City, Taiwan.
Stock analysis
Ginar Technology Co Ltd (6151) currently trades at 35.00 TWD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 22.76 TWD, implying the stock looks roughly 53.8% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of 36.12 TWD per share, and 9 of the 24 models we run sit above the 35.00 TWD price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at 11.81 TWD, and 15 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: 17.07 TWD (bear) to 28.45 TWD (bull), the price of 35.00 TWD sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 72/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.
Ginar Technology Co Ltd reported revenue of 1.7B TWD in FY2025 versus 2.5B TWD in FY2021, a compound −8.5%/yr. Reported net income was 64.1M TWD in FY2025, compounding −26.8%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 1.9B TWD (≈ $60.7M) · P/E ratio 15.0 · P/S ratio 0.56 · EPS (TTM) 2.34 TWD · Dividend yield 4.3% · Net margin 3.7% · Return on equity 13.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) 9.1%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 47 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 30% below its 52-week high and 28% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −40% fair-value upside, at −35%, 6151 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 17.07 TWDFair Value 22.76 TWDBull 28.45 TWD
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (0.6168 TWD per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.40/100
Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.
Revenue growth 1 year
+3.4%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+0.4%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+1.0%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 8 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−1.5%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in TWD ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in TWD: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
−7.0%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−11.3%
Dividend (yield on the price)4.3%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.8% → 9%
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 2.3%/yr over ~6Y (margins intact) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
Growth Forecast
Price in line with expectations
The price assumes about as much growth as the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+1.6%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Taiwan: IMF forecast 1.6% a year to 2030, 1.5% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +0.0% a year for the price.
Compare Ginar Technology Co Ltd with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Specialty Chemicals · 711 stocks
Beats the industry median on 12/14 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score72 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside−35% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)13% · Top 25%
Return on assets8% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM)7% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM)16% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth18% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM)4.3% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.02× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Specialty Chemicals median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)15.0× · Cheapest 25%
P/B1.95× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM)1.07× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF0.3× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA7.1× · Cheapest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)89· sector 21
PAST (return on equity)53· sector 23
HEALTH (low debt)99· sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)86· sector 29
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Ginar Technology Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/6151
Frequently asked questions
Is Ginar Technology Co Ltd (6151) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 22.76 TWD versus a price of 35.00 TWD, about −35% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 6151?
Our model-based fair value for Ginar Technology Co Ltd is 22.76 TWD (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 35.00 TWD.
What is the quality score of 6151?
Ginar Technology Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 72/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Ginar Technology Co Ltd (6151)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 22.76 TWD (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario 17.07 TWD, optimistic scenario 28.45 TWD. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Ginar Technology Co Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 22.76 TWD, about −35% upside versus a price of 35.00 TWD (overvalued). Cautious scenario 17.07 TWD, optimistic scenario 28.45 TWD. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Ginar Technology Co Ltd (6151)?
Ginar Technology Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.8B TWD (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Ginar Technology Co Ltd pay a dividend?
Ginar Technology Co Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 4.29% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Ginar Technology Co Ltd (6151)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Ginar Technology Co Ltd would have to grow free cash flow by +1.6 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.8 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +1.0 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 6151 use?
Our models discount Ginar Technology Co Ltd at 11.8 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), damped by beta 0.32, country premium for Taiwan. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Ginar Technology Co Ltd that is +1.6 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (11.8 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Ginar Technology Co Ltd (6151) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Ginar Technology Co Ltd grew +1.0 % a year. The price currently implies +1.6 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Ginar Technology Co Ltd (6151) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +3.3 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Ginar Technology Co Ltd (+1.6 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Ginar Technology Co Ltd (6151)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 10.46 %: that much free cash flow Ginar Technology Co Ltd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.8 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Ginar Technology Co Ltd (6151)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Ginar Technology Co Ltd it is 22.76 TWD per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 35.00 TWD. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Ginar Technology Co Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 6151 trades above its calculated fair value: price 35.00 TWD, fair value 22.76 TWD, a gap of about −35% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 6151?
No. The price is what the market pays today (35.00 TWD); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (22.76 TWD). For Ginar Technology Co Ltd the two are 12.24 TWD per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Ginar Technology Co Ltd worth?
The market values Ginar Technology Co Ltd at about 1.9B TWD (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 35.00 TWD; our models calculate a fair value of 22.76 TWD per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 6151?
Our models span a range for Ginar Technology Co Ltd: cautious scenario 17.07 TWD, base 22.76 TWD, optimistic 28.45 TWD per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 35.00 TWD). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 6151?
Ginar Technology Co Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 15.0 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 22.76 TWD is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 2.0, P/S 1.1, EV/EBITDA 7.1.
How solid is the balance sheet of Ginar Technology Co Ltd (6151)?
Balance-sheet figures for Ginar Technology Co Ltd (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 13.1%, debt of 0.02 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 72/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 6151 from its 52-week high?
Ginar Technology Co Ltd trades at 35.00 TWD, about 30% below its 52-week high of 49.80 TWD and 28% above the low of 27.25 TWD (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 22.76 TWD is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Ginar Technology Co Ltd?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Linde plc, The Sherwin-Williams Company, Ecolab Inc, Air Products and Chemicals, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Ginar Technology Co Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 35.00 TWD, calculated fair value 22.76 TWD (−35%), Quality Score 72/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 6151 calculated?
We run Ginar Technology Co Ltd through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 22.76 TWD, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.2 % above its aggregate fair value. Ginar Technology Co Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Ginar Technology Co Ltd (6151)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was 35.00 TWD. Our model-based fair value is 22.76 TWD, about −35% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Ginar Technology Co Ltd right now?
A high-quality business (quality 72/100), yet the market already pays well above fair value. Quality at a full price, with little margin of safety. The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (28.45 TWD). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
Key figures of Ginar Technology Co Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Ginar Technology Co Ltd (6151)?
The market capitalisation of Ginar Technology Co Ltd is 1.9B TWD (≈ $60.7M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Ginar Technology Co Ltd (6151)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Ginar Technology Co Ltd is 0.56 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Ginar Technology Co Ltd (6151)?
Earnings per share at Ginar Technology Co Ltd are 2.34 TWD (price ÷ EPS = P/E 15.0). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Ginar Technology Co Ltd (6151)?
The dividend yield of Ginar Technology Co Ltd is 4.3% (payout 64.1%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Ginar Technology Co Ltd (6151)?
The net margin of Ginar Technology Co Ltd is 3.7% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Ginar Technology Co Ltd (6151)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Ginar Technology Co Ltd is 13.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Ginar Technology Co Ltd (6151)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Ginar Technology Co Ltd is 9.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Ginar Technology Co Ltd (6151)?
The operating margin of Ginar Technology Co Ltd is 15.8% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Ginar Technology Co Ltd (6151)?
Revenue at Ginar Technology Co Ltd is growing +17.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg +0.4%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Ginar Technology Co Ltd (6151)?
Earnings per share at Ginar Technology Co Ltd are growing +193% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Ginar Technology Co Ltd (6151) carry?
The net debt of Ginar Technology Co Ltd is 129M TWD (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 0.6 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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