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CIG Shanghai Co., Ltd. (6166) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of CIG Shanghai Co., Ltd. HK$22.18, price HK$123, upside -82.0%, quality 41 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
  3. Add to watchlist

Technology · HK

CS Thin data Sep 24, 2026

CIG Shanghai Co., Ltd.

6166 · HK

Structural break: The valuation model sees a lasting decline in earnings power for this stock, the confidence band is broken. Treat the target with caution.

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

!Fair value HK$22.18 · Strongly overvalued (−82%)
!Quality 41/100
!Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +15.0 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 6.7% net margin (TTM)
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
·0.26% dividend yield
!Mixed vs. peers (6/13)
!Narrow moat 42/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on past: 23 out of 100
!Weak on dividend: 5 out of 100
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

HK$160.20 HK$61.80 Fair Value HK$22.18 Oct 2025 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

11‑month range HK$61.80 – HK$160.20 · fair‑value band HK$16.65 – HK$27.79 · the HK$123.10 price screens above the HK$22.18 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

CIG Shanghai Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the research and development, production, and sale of edge computing, industrial interconnection, and high-speed optical module products in China and internationally.

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CIG Shanghai Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the research and development, production, and sale of edge computing, industrial interconnection, and high-speed optical module products in China and internationally. The company offers terminal equipment, including telecom broadband, wireless networks, and small base stations for telecommunications, data communications, and enterprise networks. It also provides a range of optical transceiver solutions for data centers, high-performance computing, telecommunications, 5G wireless networks, and other applications; wired access network products, such as XGS-PON, 10G EPON, single family units, residential gateway units, and multiple dwelling units; and wireless access products comprising routers/gateways, data switches, wireless access points (AP), AC controllers, and LTE 4G/5G small cells, as well as indoor and outdoor APs, outdoor CPE, and Wi-Fi mesh home gateway products. In addition, the company offers carrier-grade ethernet switches for SMBs, enterprises, and service providers; and edge computing solutions for use in industrial IoT, telematics, 5G infrastructure, network security, and other applications. It exports its products. CIG Shanghai Co., Ltd. was founded in 2005 and is headquartered in Shanghai, China.

Stock analysis

CIG Shanghai Co., Ltd. (6166) currently trades at HK$123.10, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$22.18, implying the stock looks roughly 454.9% overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of HK$19.86 per share, and 0 of the 16 models we run sit above the HK$123.10 price.

Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at HK$5.11, and 16 of the 16 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: HK$16.65 (bear) to HK$27.79 (bull), the price of HK$123.10 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 41/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

CIG Shanghai Co., Ltd. reported revenue of 4.8B CNY in FY2025 versus 2.9B CNY in FY2021, a compound +13.4%/yr. Reported net income was 263M CNY in FY2025, compounding +40.7%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap HK$42.1B (≈ $5.4B) · P/E ratio 85.4 · P/S ratio 4.66 · EPS (TTM) HK$0.9116 · Dividend yield 0.3% · Net margin 5.5% · Return on equity 5.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) 2.4%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 23% below its 52-week high and 99% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −46% fair-value upside, at −82%, 6166 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear HK$16.65 Fair Value HK$22.18 Bull HK$27.79
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (HK$0.4291 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Residual Income HK$14.70 HK$14.42 HK$12.44 76
EPV HK$17.23 HK$17.93 HK$18.54 74
ROIC Compounder HK$17.23 HK$17.93 HK$18.54 72
All 16 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd HK$4.87 HK$27.34 HK$37.98 63
Lynch FV HK$7.66 HK$10.94 HK$14.22 61
PEG = 1.0 HK$7.66 HK$10.94 HK$14.22 57
EPV HK$17.23 HK$17.93 HK$18.54 74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM HK$2.97 HK$5.91 HK$8.95 67
DDM Multi-Stage HK$2.97 HK$5.11 HK$6.24 67
Multiples
P/E Multiple HK$15.03 HK$20.03 HK$25.04 63
P/S Multiple HK$9.12 HK$12.16 HK$15.20 58
P/B Multiple HK$9.12 HK$12.16 HK$15.20 55
EV/EBIT HK$22.58 HK$25.86 HK$29.13 66
EV/EBITDA HK$30.46 HK$36.37 HK$42.27 67
EV/Revenue HK$17.73 HK$19.86 HK$21.98 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) HK$10.11 HK$13.55 HK$20.23 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income HK$14.70 HK$14.42 HK$12.44 76
ROIC Compounder HK$17.23 HK$17.93 HK$18.54 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E HK$13.30 HK$19.00 HK$24.70 67

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 41/100

Of which business quality 42 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 52

Profitability 25
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 46
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 0
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 81
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 0
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 28
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 61
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 67
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 100
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 52/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+32.1%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+8.4%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+15.0%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +13.0% a year
Revenue growth 12 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+12.2%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) (mathematically smoothed) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Smoothed = median of all growth paths between the years of the window (trend line on the logarithm of earnings per share): a single extreme year cannot distort the rate. The reported figure stays in the tooltip.
+22.8%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+22.5%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.3%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.15% vs 9%, picking up
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.64% → 4%
2025 sits 89% above its own trend. The rate follows the median trend of the last 5 years, not that single year.
Start year 2020 (pandemic)

6166 screens 455% overvalued. Compare with Cisco Systems, Inc →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Communication Equipment · 311 stocks

Beats the industry median on 6/13 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 41 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −82% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 6% · Above median
Return on assets 4% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 7% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 17% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 44% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.3% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.01× · Below median

Valuation Multiplesvs Communication Equipment median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 85.4× · Priciest 25%
P/B 4.83× · Priciest 25%
P/S (TTM) 6.90× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA 50.4× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 38
PAST (return on equity)23 · sector 15
HEALTH (low debt)99 · sector 98
DIVIDEND (yield)5 · sector 23

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Communication Equipment stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Cisco Systems, Inc CSCO $106.44 $117.08 +10%
Zhongji Innolight Co 300308 ¥927.72 ¥349.40 −62%
Foxconn Industrial Internet Co 601138 ¥62.98 ¥14.18 −77%
Eoptolink Technology Inc 300502 ¥455.00 ¥329.86 −28%
Nokia Oyj NOK $10.82 $3.74 −65%
Motorola Solutions, Inc MSI $456.70 $248.10 −46%
Ciena Corporation CIEN $368.56 $48.80 −87%
Suzhou TFC Optical Communication Co 300394 ¥275.84 ¥87.34 −68%
Accton Technology Corporation 2345 1,895 TWD 2,085 TWD +10%
Ubiquiti Inc UI $580.88 $542.64 −7%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "CIG Shanghai Co., Ltd. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/6166

Frequently asked questions

Is CIG Shanghai Co., Ltd. (6166) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$22.18 versus a price of HK$123.10, about −82% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 6166?
Our model-based fair value for CIG Shanghai Co., Ltd. is HK$22.18 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$123.10.
What is the quality score of 6166?
CIG Shanghai Co., Ltd. has a Quality Score of 41/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for CIG Shanghai Co., Ltd. (6166)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$22.18 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 16 valuation models. Cautious scenario HK$16.65, optimistic scenario HK$27.79. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the CIG Shanghai Co., Ltd. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at HK$22.18, about −82% upside versus a price of HK$123.10 (overvalued). Cautious scenario HK$16.65, optimistic scenario HK$27.79. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of CIG Shanghai Co., Ltd. (6166)?
CIG Shanghai Co., Ltd. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 5.2B CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does CIG Shanghai Co., Ltd. pay a dividend?
CIG Shanghai Co., Ltd. currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.26% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of CIG Shanghai Co., Ltd. (6166)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For CIG Shanghai Co., Ltd. it is HK$22.18 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of HK$123.10. It is the blended result of 16 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is CIG Shanghai Co., Ltd. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 6166 trades above its calculated fair value: price HK$123.10, fair value HK$22.18, a gap of about −82% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 6166?
No. The price is what the market pays today (HK$123.10); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (HK$22.18). For CIG Shanghai Co., Ltd. the two are HK$100.92 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is CIG Shanghai Co., Ltd. worth?
The market values CIG Shanghai Co., Ltd. at about HK$42.1B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is HK$123.10; our models calculate a fair value of HK$22.18 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 6166?
Our models span a range for CIG Shanghai Co., Ltd.: cautious scenario HK$16.65, base HK$22.18, optimistic HK$27.79 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price HK$123.10). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 6166?
CIG Shanghai Co., Ltd. trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 85.4 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of HK$22.18 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 4.8, P/S 6.9, EV/EBITDA 50.4.
How solid is the balance sheet of CIG Shanghai Co., Ltd. (6166)?
Balance-sheet figures for CIG Shanghai Co., Ltd. (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 5.7%, debt of 0.01 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 41/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 6166 from its 52-week high?
CIG Shanghai Co., Ltd. trades at HK$123.10, about 23% below its 52-week high of HK$160.20 and 99% above the low of HK$61.80 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of HK$22.18 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to CIG Shanghai Co., Ltd.?
From the same area (Technology) we also value Cisco Systems, Inc, Zhongji Innolight Co, Foxconn Industrial Internet Co, Eoptolink Technology Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is CIG Shanghai Co., Ltd. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price HK$123.10, calculated fair value HK$22.18 (−82%), Quality Score 41/100, from 16 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 6166 calculated?
We run CIG Shanghai Co., Ltd. through 16 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of HK$22.18, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. CIG Shanghai Co., Ltd. itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of CIG Shanghai Co., Ltd. (6166)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was HK$123.10. Our model-based fair value is HK$22.18, about −82% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with CIG Shanghai Co., Ltd. right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (HK$27.79). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (41/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.

Key figures of CIG Shanghai Co., Ltd.

How large is the market capitalisation of CIG Shanghai Co., Ltd. (6166)?
The market capitalisation of CIG Shanghai Co., Ltd. is HK$42.1B (≈ $5.4B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of CIG Shanghai Co., Ltd. (6166)?
The price-to-sales ratio of CIG Shanghai Co., Ltd. is 4.66 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of CIG Shanghai Co., Ltd. (6166)?
Earnings per share at CIG Shanghai Co., Ltd. are HK$0.9116 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 85.4). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of CIG Shanghai Co., Ltd. (6166)?
The dividend yield of CIG Shanghai Co., Ltd. is 0.3% (payout 35.7%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of CIG Shanghai Co., Ltd. (6166)?
The net margin of CIG Shanghai Co., Ltd. is 5.5% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of CIG Shanghai Co., Ltd. (6166)?
The return on equity (ROE) of CIG Shanghai Co., Ltd. is 5.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of CIG Shanghai Co., Ltd. (6166)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of CIG Shanghai Co., Ltd. is 2.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of CIG Shanghai Co., Ltd. (6166)?
The operating margin of CIG Shanghai Co., Ltd. is 17.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at CIG Shanghai Co., Ltd. (6166)?
Revenue at CIG Shanghai Co., Ltd. is growing +44.0% versus a year earlier (3y avg +8.4%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at CIG Shanghai Co., Ltd. (6166)?
Earnings per share at CIG Shanghai Co., Ltd. are growing +183% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does CIG Shanghai Co., Ltd. (6166) generate?
The free cash flow of CIG Shanghai Co., Ltd. is −1.4B CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does CIG Shanghai Co., Ltd. (6166) hold?
CIG Shanghai Co., Ltd. holds more cash than debt, 2.7B CNY net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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