DrayTek Corporation (6216) Fair Value & Analysis
Technology · TW · Market cap 2.2B TWD
Fair value as of: Jul 21, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated 20 days ago
Share price −5.4% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 46% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (12.18 TWD). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (48/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 21, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 18.15 TWD – 48.93 TWD · fair‑value band 8.91 TWD – 12.18 TWD · the 21.90 TWD price screens above the 11.88 TWD fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 21, 2026.
Analysis
DrayTek Corporation (6216) currently trades at 21.90 TWD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 11.88 TWD, implying the stock looks roughly 45.8% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 48/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, DrayTek Corporation generated revenue of 690M TWD at a net margin of 0.9%. Revenue declined 32.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 0.3%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 344M TWD. Fundamentals as of Jul 21, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 8.91 TWD (bear case) to 12.18 TWD (bull case); at 21.90 TWD, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 27% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -61% fair-value upside, at -46%, 6216 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: Dividend Discount (24.13 TWD) versus Earnings-Based (4.94 TWD). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 21, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 49 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 38
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
DrayTek Corporation engages in the research, development, production, and sale of wired and wireless communication machinery and equipment in Taiwan, Europe, Asia, Central and South America, and internationally.
Full company description
DrayTek Corporation engages in the research, development, production, and sale of wired and wireless communication machinery and equipment in Taiwan, Europe, Asia, Central and South America, and internationally. The company offers VPN, load balancing, DSL modem, cellular, and fiber routers; access points; managed PoE switches; and accessories, including rack-mount brackets, USB termometers, indoor antennas, passive copper cables, dual band USB wireless adapters, and PoE injectors. It also provides software/tools, including Vigor ACS 3, a network management system; VigorConnect, a local network management software; Smart VPN Client, a VPN client software; DrayTek Router and Wireless Apps for network management; and VigorSMS APP, a way to send SMS from LTE routers. In addition, the company offers information software services; internet gateway solutions for VPN, SSL VPN, VPN matcher, WAN load-balancing, hotspot web portal, wireless WAN, and work from home solutions; DrayDDNS, a DNS service; assisted Wi-Fi roaming and wireless solutions; identity and access management, URL/IP reputation, and NIS 2 security aligned solutions; switch stacking and OpenFlow VigorSwitch, which extends SDN; and AP and switch management solutions. DrayTek Corporation was founded in 1997 and is headquartered in Hsinchu City, Taiwan.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
DrayTek Corporation reported revenue of 757M TWD in FY2025 versus 931M TWD in FY2021, a compound −5.0%/yr. Reported net income was 57.6M TWD in FY2025, compounding −22.7%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue −2.0 pp · buybacks/dilution −1.9 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
6216 screens 46% overvalued. Compare with Cisco Systems, Inc →
Peer Group
Communication Equipment · 286 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Communication Equipment median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Communication Equipment stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 21, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cisco Systems, Inc CSCO | $119.25 | $43.05 | -64% |
| Zhongji Innolight Co 300308 | ¥1,094 | ¥171.09 | -84% |
| Foxconn Industrial Internet Co 601138 | ¥56.50 | ¥28.65 | -49% |
| Eoptolink Technology Inc 300502 | ¥482.88 | ¥155.05 | -68% |
| Nokia Oyj NOK | $11.25 | $2.67 | -76% |
| Motorola Solutions, Inc MSI | $413.31 | $190.43 | -54% |
| Suzhou TFC Optical Communication Co 300394 | ¥244.13 | ¥32.04 | -87% |
| Telefonaktiebolaget LM Ericsson (publ), ERIC | $11.72 | $15.96 | +36% |
| Accton Technology Corporation 2345 | 2,090 TWD | 846.28 TWD | -60% |
| ZTE Corporation 000063 | ¥40.00 | ¥15.75 | -61% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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